AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0554
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0449
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.01866 | -4.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018876 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019715 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018606 | -4.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019499 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020852 | -5.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019384 | -5.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017652 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018323 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017787 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.01948 | -5.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.020982 | -6.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018752 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018717 | -6.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.02077 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020282 | -6.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.020835 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021082 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021044 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.02093 | -8.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021141 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.021692 | -8.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.020785 | -7.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020131 | -7.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.02258 | -9.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023108 | -9.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.022566 | -8.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022146 | -8.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021521 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.022991 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.021985 | -5.74% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.0750 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019831 | -6.18% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020133 | -5.79% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020453 | -5.31% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019315 | -5.38% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019475 | -5.35% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0618 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020094 | -5.68% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019454 | -4.83% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0848 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019322 | -4.64% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020564 | -4.66% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019557 | -4.36% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017871 | -4.11% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.01939 | -3.63% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019854 | -3.17% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020249 | -2.53% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0464 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020254 | -1.69% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.0203 | -1.41% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 1.00 |