AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

60.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0414

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019453	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019669	-0.12%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0064	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020631	-0.23%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0621	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019418	-0.14%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0653	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020503	-0.21%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0622	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022068	-0.48%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0697	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020412	-0.64%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0922	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018616	-0.17%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0903	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019337	-0.20%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0141	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018787	-0.16%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0114	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020606	-0.27%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0653	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022355	-0.51%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0892	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019897	-0.24%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1167	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019888	-0.23%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0087	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022254	-0.36%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0908	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021674	-0.35%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0599	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022416	-0.44%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0274	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022772	-0.49%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022723	-0.49%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0161	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022674	-0.49%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0039	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022848	-0.45%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0018	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02353	-0.47%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0427	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022438	-0.42%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0534	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021755	-0.43%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0326	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024775	-0.60%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1129	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025357	-0.61%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0178	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024649	-0.57%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023978	-0.49%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0367	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023176	-0.44%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0389	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024496	-0.43%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023232	-0.39%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021073	-0.30%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021313	-0.27%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.02155	-0.23%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020384	-0.14%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020549	-0.13%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021263	-0.20%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020432	-0.05%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0756	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020257	-0.03%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021515	-0.25%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020459	+0.06%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018697	+0.32%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0808	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020177	+0.28%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020573	+0.34%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020862	+0.43%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0092	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020715	+0.55%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0185	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020702	+0.54%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0112	✗	1.00