AVAAI

? · · gru_s4

token id: #791
symbol: AVAAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-04
predictions: 1,737

Track record at +1d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0559

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007525	0.007496	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.00756	0.007497	-0.84%	0.007525	-0.46%	0.0022	✓	-0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.007405	0.007376	-0.39%	0.00756	+2.09%	0.0316	✗	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.00711	0.007083	-0.38%	0.007405	+4.15%	0.0435	✗	-0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.007295	0.007232	-0.87%	0.00711	-2.54%	0.0132	✓	-0.49
2026-10-16	oos	0.00736	0.007338	-0.30%	0.007295	-0.88%	0.0066	✓	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.00747	0.00745	-0.26%	0.00736	-1.47%	0.0157	✓	-0.46
2026-10-14	oos	0.007585	0.007571	-0.18%	0.00747	-1.52%	0.0104	✓	-0.46
2026-10-13	oos	0.007845	0.007832	-0.17%	0.007585	-3.31%	0.0412	✓	-0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.008115	0.008097	-0.22%	0.007845	-3.33%	0.0238	✓	-0.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.00849	0.008475	-0.18%	0.008115	-4.42%	0.0548	✓	-0.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.008855	0.008833	-0.25%	0.00849	-4.12%	0.0354	✓	-0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.008635	0.008622	-0.15%	0.008855	+2.55%	0.0287	✗	-0.46
2026-10-08	oos	0.009345	0.009321	-0.26%	0.008635	-7.60%	0.0718	✓	-0.44
2026-10-07	oos	0.009275	0.009258	-0.18%	0.009345	+0.75%	0.0009	✓	-0.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.00931	0.009299	-0.12%	0.009275	-0.38%	0.0147	✓	-0.45
2026-10-05	oos	0.00941	0.009399	-0.12%	0.00931	-1.06%	0.0106	✓	-0.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.00963	0.009619	-0.11%	0.00941	-2.28%	0.0259	✓	-0.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.009195	0.009193	-0.02%	0.00963	+4.73%	0.0561	✗	-0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.009955	0.009939	-0.16%	0.009195	-7.63%	0.0765	✓	-0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.00995	0.009934	-0.16%	0.009955	+0.05%	0.0002	✓	-0.47
2026-09-30	oos	0.009625	0.009611	-0.14%	0.00995	+3.38%	0.0413	✗	-0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.00986	0.009839	-0.21%	0.009625	-2.38%	0.0225	✓	-0.50
2026-09-28	oos	0.010215	0.010179	-0.35%	0.00986	-3.48%	0.0308	✓	-0.50
2026-09-27	oos	0.00985	0.009823	-0.27%	0.010215	+3.71%	0.0336	✗	-0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.01024	0.010208	-0.31%	0.00985	-3.81%	0.0354	✓	-0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.00975	0.009735	-0.16%	0.01024	+5.03%	0.0526	✗	-0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.009845	0.00984	-0.05%	0.00975	-0.96%	0.0110	✓	-0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.009825	0.009821	-0.04%	0.009845	+0.20%	0.0025	✗	-0.52
2026-09-22	oos	0.010185	0.010183	-0.02%	0.009825	-3.53%	0.0482	✓	-0.58
2026-09-21	oos	0.011175	0.011151	-0.22%	0.010185	-8.86%	0.0926	✓	-0.44
2026-09-20	oos	0.01132	0.011255	-0.58%	0.011175	-1.28%	0.0270	✗	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.009885	0.009875	-0.10%	0.01132	+14.52%	0.1361	✗	-0.49
2026-09-18	oos	0.00951	0.00951	+0.00%	0.009885	+3.94%	0.0408	✓	-0.48
2026-09-17	oos	0.00962	0.009609	-0.11%	0.00951	-1.14%	0.0182	✗	-0.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.00954	0.009538	-0.02%	0.00962	+0.84%	0.0100	✗	-0.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.01028	0.010256	-0.24%	0.00954	-7.20%	0.0690	✓	-0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01038	0.01033	-0.48%	0.01028	-0.96%	0.0201	✓	-0.45
2026-09-13	oos	0.00893	0.008944	+0.16%	0.01038	+16.24%	0.1586	✓	-0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.00878	0.008784	+0.04%	0.00893	+1.71%	0.0132	✓	-0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.00872	0.008711	-0.11%	0.00878	+0.69%	0.0083	✗	-0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.007835	0.007847	+0.15%	0.00872	+11.30%	0.1102	✓	-0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.008415	0.008427	+0.14%	0.007835	-6.89%	0.0863	✗	-0.60
2026-09-08	oos	0.008665	0.008665	+0.00%	0.008415	-2.89%	0.0305	✗	-0.56
2026-09-07	oos	0.00862	0.008618	-0.03%	0.008665	+0.52%	0.0009	✗	-0.56
2026-09-06	oos	0.00832	0.008326	+0.07%	0.00862	+3.61%	0.0250	✓	-0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.00847	0.008471	+0.01%	0.00832	-1.77%	0.0140	✗	-0.62
2026-09-04	oos	0.00848	0.008488	+0.09%	0.00847	-0.12%	0.0010	✗	-0.56
2026-09-03	oos	0.008545	0.008544	-0.01%	0.00848	-0.76%	0.0189	✓	-0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.0081	0.008093	-0.09%	0.008545	+5.49%	0.0827	✗	-0.57
2026-09-01	oos	0.00816	0.008145	-0.18%	0.0081	-0.74%	0.0062	✓	-0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.008515	0.008494	-0.24%	0.00816	-4.17%	0.0485	✓	-0.56
2026-08-30	oos	0.00861	0.008586	-0.28%	0.008515	-1.10%	0.0027	✓	-0.49
2026-08-29	oos	0.008825	0.008784	-0.47%	0.00861	-2.44%	0.0225	✓	-0.35
2026-08-28	oos	0.009015	0.008951	-0.71%	0.008825	-2.11%	0.0124	✓	-0.35
2026-08-27	oos	0.008675	0.008618	-0.65%	0.009015	+3.92%	0.0350	✗	-0.32
2026-08-26	oos	0.008715	0.008641	-0.85%	0.008675	-0.46%	0.0090	✗	-0.32
2026-08-25	oos	0.0089	0.008824	-0.86%	0.008715	-2.08%	0.0104	✓	-0.31
2026-08-24	oos	0.00901	0.00895	-0.66%	0.0089	-1.22%	0.0075	✓	-0.31
2026-08-23	oos	0.008855	0.008825	-0.34%	0.00901	+1.75%	0.0256	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.00889	0.008876	-0.16%	0.008855	-0.39%	0.0003	✓	-0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.00965	0.009634	-0.16%	0.00889	-7.88%	0.0859	✓	-0.34
2026-08-20	oos	0.01943	0.018563	-4.46%	0.00965	-50.33%	0.7252	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.014135	0.013881	-1.80%	0.01943	+37.46%	0.3037	✗	0.63
2026-08-18	oos	0.012725	0.012588	-1.07%	0.014135	+11.08%	0.0818	✗	0.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.01269	0.012546	-1.14%	0.012725	+0.28%	0.0126	✗	0.50
2026-08-16	oos	0.013505	0.013326	-1.33%	0.01269	-6.03%	0.0639	✓	0.58
2026-08-15	oos	0.013505	0.013352	-1.13%	0.013505	+0.00%	0.0131	✗	0.58
2026-08-14	oos	0.01464	0.014299	-2.33%	0.013505	-7.75%	0.0576	✓	0.62
2026-08-13	oos	0.01464	0.014197	-3.02%	0.01464	+0.00%	0.0353	✗	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.01266	0.012306	-2.79%	0.01464	+15.64%	0.1735	✗	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.00852	0.008488	-0.37%	0.01266	+48.59%	0.4009	✗	0.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.00858	0.008545	-0.41%	0.00852	-0.70%	0.0011	✓	0.67
2026-08-09	oos	0.00846	0.008421	-0.46%	0.00858	+1.42%	0.0271	✗	0.58
2026-08-08	oos	0.00894	0.008878	-0.69%	0.00846	-5.37%	0.0477	✓	0.59
2026-08-07	oos	0.0084	0.008342	-0.69%	0.00894	+6.43%	0.0691	✗	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.0089	0.008808	-1.04%	0.0084	-5.62%	0.0526	✓	0.54
2026-08-05	oos	0.008635	0.00851	-1.45%	0.0089	+3.07%	0.0477	✗	0.54
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.008382	-1.39%	0.008635	+1.59%	0.0256	✗	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.00825	0.008169	-0.98%	0.0085	+3.03%	0.0355	✗	0.46
2026-08-02	oos	0.00774	0.00767	-0.91%	0.00825	+6.59%	0.0731	✗	0.40
2026-08-01	oos	0.00771	0.007598	-1.46%	0.00774	+0.39%	0.0139	✓	0.40
2026-07-31	oos	0.007635	0.00756	-0.99%	0.00771	+0.98%	0.0201	✗	0.40
2026-07-30	oos	0.00719	0.007139	-0.71%	0.007635	+6.19%	0.0812	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.007175	0.007117	-0.82%	0.00719	+0.21%	0.0029	✓	0.58
2026-07-28	oos	0.007545	0.007426	-1.58%	0.007175	-4.90%	0.0348	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.00718	0.007123	-0.80%	0.007545	+5.08%	0.0564	✗	0.52
2026-07-26	oos	0.00804	0.007911	-1.60%	0.00718	-10.70%	0.0856	✓	0.45
2026-07-25	oos	0.008155	0.008024	-1.60%	0.00804	-1.41%	0.0048	✓	0.42
2026-07-24	oos	0.008755	0.008571	-2.10%	0.008155	-6.85%	0.0514	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.00817	0.008045	-1.53%	0.008755	+7.16%	0.0923	✗	0.52
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008167	-1.42%	0.00817	-1.39%	0.0090	✓	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.00929	0.009085	-2.20%	0.008285	-10.82%	0.0887	✓	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.008425	0.008306	-1.42%	0.00929	+10.27%	0.1060	✗	0.30
2026-07-19	oos	0.010075	0.009766	-3.07%	0.008425	-16.38%	0.1507	✓	0.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.00858	0.008397	-2.13%	0.010075	+17.42%	0.1830	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.0072	0.007115	-1.19%	0.00858	+19.17%	0.1803	✗	0.50
2026-07-16	oos	0.006605	0.006569	-0.55%	0.0072	+9.01%	0.0908	✗	0.50
2026-07-15	oos	0.006445	0.00642	-0.39%	0.006605	+2.48%	0.0377	✗	0.63
2026-07-14	oos	0.00651	0.006477	-0.50%	0.006445	-1.00%	0.0024	✓	0.63
2026-07-13	oos	0.006445	0.00639	-0.85%	0.00651	+1.01%	0.0095	✓	0.66
2026-07-12	oos	0.00661	0.006535	-1.14%	0.006445	-2.50%	0.0014	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.005985	0.00597	-0.26%	0.00661	+10.44%	0.1023	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.006075	0.006058	-0.27%	0.005985	-1.48%	0.0070	✓	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.00596	0.005936	-0.41%	0.006075	+1.93%	0.0094	✗	0.92
2026-07-08	oos	0.00582	0.005808	-0.21%	0.00596	+2.41%	0.0122	✗	0.91
2026-07-07	oos	0.005875	0.005861	-0.24%	0.00582	-0.94%	0.0092	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.00595	0.005936	-0.23%	0.005875	-1.26%	0.0005	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.005985	0.00597	-0.24%	0.00595	-0.58%	0.0094	✓	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	0.00595	0.005934	-0.26%	0.005985	+0.59%	0.0014	✓	0.91
2026-07-03	oos	0.005965	0.005946	-0.32%	0.00595	-0.25%	0.0072	✓	0.88
2026-07-02	oos	0.005235	0.005225	-0.19%	0.005965	+13.94%	0.1190	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.00587	0.005857	-0.22%	0.005235	-10.82%	0.1352	✓	0.91
2026-06-30	oos	0.00581	0.005795	-0.26%	0.00587	+1.03%	0.0093	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.005865	0.005848	-0.28%	0.00581	-0.94%	0.0191	✗	0.93
2026-06-28	oos	0.00615	0.006115	-0.57%	0.005865	-4.63%	0.0526	✓	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.00522	0.005211	-0.17%	0.00615	+17.82%	0.1732	✗	0.98
2026-06-26	oos	0.005615	0.005601	-0.24%	0.00522	-7.03%	0.0694	✓	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.006115	0.006093	-0.35%	0.005615	-8.18%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.005745	0.00573	-0.26%	0.006115	+6.44%	0.0872	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.006925	0.006854	-1.02%	0.005745	-17.04%	0.1510	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.006105	0.006066	-0.63%	0.006925	+13.43%	0.1545	✗	1.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.00552	0.005513	-0.12%	0.006105	+10.60%	0.0903	✗	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.005575	0.005569	-0.11%	0.00552	-0.99%	0.0068	✗	1.01
2026-06-19	oos	0.005625	0.005619	-0.10%	0.005575	-0.89%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.005965	0.005957	-0.14%	0.005625	-5.70%	0.0670	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.0062	0.006191	-0.14%	0.005965	-3.79%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006445	0.006433	-0.18%	0.0062	-3.80%	0.0186	✓	1.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.006055	0.006054	-0.02%	0.006445	+6.44%	0.0751	✗	1.25
2026-06-14	oos	0.00592	0.005917	-0.06%	0.006055	+2.28%	0.0124	✗	1.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.005765	0.00576	-0.09%	0.00592	+2.69%	0.0009	✗	1.35
2026-06-12	oos	0.005605	0.005601	-0.07%	0.005765	+2.85%	0.0091	✗	1.41
2026-06-11	oos	0.005835	0.005827	-0.13%	0.005605	-3.94%	0.0383	✓	1.42
2026-06-10	oos	0.00564	0.005632	-0.13%	0.005835	+3.46%	0.0126	✓	1.42
2026-06-09	oos	0.00566	0.005648	-0.20%	0.00564	-0.35%	0.0040	✗	1.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.00503	0.005029	-0.02%	0.00566	+12.52%	0.1514	✗	1.50
2026-06-07	oos	0.00482	0.00482	-0.00%	0.00503	+4.36%	0.0484	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.00463	0.004634	+0.08%	0.00482	+4.10%	0.0210	✗	1.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.00478	0.004781	+0.03%	0.00463	-3.14%	0.0274	✗	1.59
2026-06-04	oos	0.00502	0.005027	+0.14%	0.00478	-4.78%	0.0209	✓	1.60
2026-06-03	oos	0.00608	0.006068	-0.19%	0.00502	-17.43%	0.1841	✓	1.52
2026-06-02	oos	0.00593	0.00592	-0.17%	0.00608	+2.53%	0.0913	✗	1.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.00592	0.005912	-0.13%	0.00593	+0.17%	0.1289	✗	1.86
2026-05-31	oos	0.007	0.00698	-0.28%	0.00592	-15.43%	0.1085	✓	1.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.00695	0.006935	-0.22%	0.007	+0.72%	0.0141	✗	1.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.00684	0.006825	-0.22%	0.00695	+1.61%	0.0082	✗	1.80
2026-05-28	oos	0.006745	0.006721	-0.36%	0.00684	+1.41%	0.0211	✗	1.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.006985	0.006971	-0.20%	0.006745	-3.44%	0.0139	✓	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.00688	0.006871	-0.13%	0.006985	+1.53%	0.0524	✗	1.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.00712	0.007107	-0.18%	0.00688	-3.37%	0.0039	✗	1.96
2026-05-24	oos	0.006995	0.006986	-0.13%	0.00712	+1.79%	0.0121	✗	1.96
2026-05-23	oos	0.00723	0.007221	-0.12%	0.006995	-3.25%	0.0398	✓	1.89
2026-05-22	oos	0.00717	0.007157	-0.18%	0.00723	+0.84%	0.0200	✓	1.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.00747	0.007452	-0.24%	0.00717	-4.02%	0.0139	✗	1.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.00715	0.007133	-0.24%	0.00747	+4.48%	0.0444	✗	1.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.006985	0.006973	-0.17%	0.00715	+2.36%	0.0075	✗	1.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.00721	0.007193	-0.23%	0.006985	-3.12%	0.0250	✓	1.91
2026-05-17	oos	0.00716	0.007146	-0.19%	0.00721	+0.70%	0.0203	✗	1.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.00792	0.007894	-0.33%	0.00716	-9.60%	0.0808	✓	1.87
2026-05-15	oos	0.008605	0.008532	-0.85%	0.00792	-7.96%	0.0519	✓	1.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.009	0.008955	-0.50%	0.008605	-4.39%	0.0072	✗	1.86
2026-05-13	oos	0.009115	0.009028	-0.96%	0.009	-1.26%	0.0454	✓	1.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.01031	0.010168	-1.38%	0.009115	-11.59%	0.0819	✓	1.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.008235	0.008193	-0.51%	0.01031	+25.20%	0.2594	✗	1.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.008425	0.008389	-0.42%	0.008235	-2.26%	0.0075	✓	1.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.0091	0.009059	-0.45%	0.008425	-7.42%	0.1101	✓	1.98
2026-05-07	oos	0.008435	0.008383	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-05-06	oos	0.00761	0.007586	-0.31%	0.008435	+10.84%	0.1356	✗	1.66
2026-05-05	oos	0.007865	0.007831	-0.44%	0.00761	-3.24%	0.0381	✓	1.45
2026-05-04	oos	0.00863	0.008573	-0.66%	0.007865	-8.86%	0.1053	✓	1.46
2026-05-01	oos	0.00842	0.008396	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-04-30	oos	0.007465	0.00745	-0.20%	0.00842	+12.79%	0.0925	✗	1.20
2026-04-29	oos	0.00896	0.008901	-0.66%	0.007465	-16.69%	0.1848	✓	1.22
2026-04-28	oos	0.00955	0.009419	-1.37%	0.00896	-6.18%	0.0411	✓	1.19
2026-04-27	oos	0.009655	0.009581	-0.77%	0.00955	-1.09%	0.0130	✗	1.19
2026-04-26	oos	0.008935	0.008873	-0.70%	0.009655	+8.06%	0.1048	✗	1.21
2026-04-25	oos	0.007945	0.007882	-0.79%	0.008935	+12.46%	0.1098	✗	1.19
2026-04-24	oos	0.008115	0.008076	-0.48%	0.007945	-2.09%	0.0193	✓	1.19
2026-04-23	oos	0.008985	0.008881	-1.16%	0.008115	-9.68%	0.0777	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.008285	0.00823	-0.66%	0.008985	+8.45%	0.0867	✗	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	0.00987	0.009814	-0.57%	0.008285	-16.06%	0.1993	✓	1.25
2026-04-20	oos	0.009995	0.00994	-0.55%	0.00987	-1.25%	0.0152	✓	1.27
2026-04-19	oos	0.008755	0.008724	-0.35%	0.009995	+14.16%	0.1016	✗	1.26
2026-04-18	oos	0.01023	0.010157	-0.71%	0.008755	-14.42%	0.1168	✓	1.24
2026-04-17	oos	0.01058	0.010477	-0.97%	0.01023	-3.31%	0.0018	✓	1.24
2026-04-16	oos	0.009235	0.009204	-0.33%	0.01058	+14.56%	0.1087	✗	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.008915	0.008879	-0.40%	0.009235	+3.59%	0.0340	✗	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.00885	0.008793	-0.65%	0.008915	+0.73%	0.0032	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.00846	0.008441	-0.23%	0.00885	+4.61%	0.0516	✗	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.007195	0.007187	-0.11%	0.00846	+17.58%	0.1074	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.00799	0.007975	-0.19%	0.007195	-9.95%	0.0682	✓	1.07
2026-04-10	oos	0.0085	0.00848	-0.23%	0.00799	-6.00%	0.0608	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.00848	0.008454	-0.30%	0.0085	+0.24%	0.0125	✓	1.08
2026-04-08	oos	0.00788	0.007862	-0.22%	0.00848	+7.61%	0.0650	✗	1.07
2026-04-07	oos	0.007705	0.007692	-0.18%	0.00788	+2.27%	0.0366	✗	1.07
2026-04-06	oos	0.007535	0.007503	-0.43%	0.007705	+2.26%	0.0210	✓	1.10
2026-04-05	oos	0.00697	0.006958	-0.17%	0.007535	+8.11%	0.0821	✗	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.007145	0.007126	-0.26%	0.00697	-2.45%	0.0497	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.007545	0.00751	-0.47%	0.007145	-5.30%	0.0552	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.00692	0.006881	-0.57%	0.007545	+9.03%	0.0911	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.00696	0.006888	-1.03%	0.00692	-0.57%	0.0246	✗	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.00588	0.005873	-0.11%	0.00696	+18.37%	0.1715	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.00583	0.005823	-0.13%	0.00588	+0.86%	0.0148	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.0065	0.006486	-0.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.00699	0.006972	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.00744	0.007397	-0.58%	0.00699	-6.05%	0.0165	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.00665	0.006641	-0.14%	0.00744	+11.88%	0.1018	✗	1.09
2026-03-23	oos	0.006775	0.006765	-0.15%	0.00665	-1.85%	0.0118	✓	1.09
2026-03-22	oos	0.00665	0.006635	-0.22%	0.006775	+1.88%	0.0276	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.00658	0.006566	-0.22%	0.00665	+1.06%	0.0302	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.006735	0.006727	-0.12%	0.00658	-2.30%	0.0031	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.00703	0.007022	-0.11%	0.006735	-4.20%	0.0510	✓	1.12
2026-03-18	oos	0.00754	0.007524	-0.21%	0.00703	-6.76%	0.0479	✓	1.07
2026-03-17	oos	0.00968	0.009639	-0.43%	0.00754	-22.11%	0.2098	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.00966	0.009593	-0.70%	0.00968	+0.21%	0.0217	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.00812	0.00809	-0.37%	0.00966	+18.97%	0.1501	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0071	0.007088	-0.17%	0.00812	+14.37%	0.1159	✗	0.91
2026-03-13	oos	0.00702	0.007018	-0.03%	0.0071	+1.14%	0.0079	✗	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.00747	0.00746	-0.14%	0.00702	-6.02%	0.0662	✓	0.93
2026-03-10	oos	0.0094	0.009377	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.0069	0.006896	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-03-07	oos	0.008	0.007987	-0.17%	0.0069	-13.75%	0.1294	✓	0.87
2026-03-06	oos	0.00777	0.007764	-0.08%	0.008	+2.96%	0.0407	✗	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.00777	0.00777	+0.01%	0.00777	+0.00%	0.0351	✓	0.88
2026-03-04	oos	0.008	0.008	-0.01%	0.00777	-2.87%	0.0065	✓	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.00719	0.007189	-0.01%	0.008	+11.27%	0.0539	✗	0.86
2026-03-02	oos	0.00896	0.008948	-0.14%	0.00719	-19.75%	0.2127	✓	0.83
2026-02-28	oos	0.007825	0.007821	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-02-27	oos	0.007995	0.007985	-0.13%	0.007825	-2.13%	0.0333	✓	0.79
2026-02-26	oos	0.00808	0.008065	-0.18%	0.007995	-1.05%	0.0107	✗	0.79
2026-02-25	oos	0.00843	0.008404	-0.31%	0.00808	-4.15%	0.0335	✓	0.79
2026-02-24	oos	0.006895	0.006892	-0.04%	0.00843	+22.26%	0.1625	✗	0.66
2026-02-23	oos	0.00707	0.007064	-0.09%	0.006895	-2.48%	0.0186	✓	0.65
2026-02-22	oos	0.0073	0.007298	-0.03%	0.00707	-3.15%	0.0026	✓	0.64
2026-02-21	oos	0.00756	0.007559	-0.01%	0.0073	-3.44%	0.0316	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.007695	0.007693	-0.03%	0.00756	-1.75%	0.0171	✓	0.64
2026-02-19	oos	0.0076	0.007595	-0.06%	0.007695	+1.25%	0.0035	✗	0.64
2026-02-18	oos	0.00738	0.00738	+0.00%	0.0076	+2.98%	0.0239	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.00772	0.007716	-0.06%	0.00738	-4.40%	0.0343	✓	0.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.00775	0.007745	-0.07%	0.00772	-0.39%	0.0103	✗	0.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.00758	0.007579	-0.02%	0.00775	+2.24%	0.0217	✗	0.65
2026-02-14	oos	0.00798	0.007974	-0.07%	0.00758	-5.01%	0.0417	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.00777	0.007764	-0.07%	0.00798	+2.70%	0.0188	✗	0.61
2026-02-12	oos	0.007225	0.007221	-0.05%	0.00777	+7.54%	0.0508	✗	0.58
2026-02-11	oos	0.006995	0.006992	-0.05%	0.007225	+3.29%	0.0402	✗	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.007205	0.007197	-0.11%	0.006995	-2.91%	0.0126	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.00743	0.007418	-0.16%	0.007205	-3.03%	0.0179	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.007305	0.007291	-0.19%	0.00743	+1.71%	0.0205	✗	0.63
2026-02-07	oos	0.00745	0.007431	-0.26%	0.007305	-1.95%	0.0265	✓	0.63
2026-02-06	oos	0.00764	0.007615	-0.33%	0.00745	-2.49%	0.0102	✓	0.64
2026-02-05	oos	0.0071	0.007095	-0.07%	0.00764	+7.61%	0.0006	✓	0.63
2026-02-04	oos	0.008245	0.00819	-0.67%	0.0071	-13.89%	0.0709	✓	0.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.008465	0.008411	-0.64%	0.008245	-2.60%	0.0033	✓	0.46
2026-02-02	oos	0.00849	0.008446	-0.52%	0.008465	-0.29%	0.0227	✗	0.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.00988	0.009751	-1.30%	0.00849	-14.07%	0.1527	✓	0.62
2026-01-31	oos	0.00818	0.00816	-0.25%	0.00988	+20.78%	0.2083	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.00799	0.007976	-0.17%	0.00818	+2.38%	0.0840	✗	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.00854	0.008496	-0.52%	0.00799	-6.44%	0.0572	✓	0.88
2026-01-28	oos	0.00866	0.008643	-0.20%	0.00854	-1.39%	0.0400	✗	0.97
2026-01-27	oos	0.00907	0.009053	-0.19%	0.00866	-4.52%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.00863	0.008617	-0.15%	0.00907	+5.10%	0.0419	✗	0.96
2026-01-24	oos	0.00918	0.00916	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-01-23	oos	0.00991	0.00988	-0.30%	0.00918	-7.37%	0.0694	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	0.00946	0.009436	-0.26%	0.00991	+4.76%	0.0489	✗	0.95
2026-01-21	oos	0.01008	0.010042	-0.38%	0.00946	-6.15%	0.0608	✓	0.96
2026-01-20	oos	0.00853	0.00852	-0.11%	0.01008	+18.17%	0.1573	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	0.00937	0.009357	-0.14%	0.00853	-8.96%	0.0534	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	0.01061	0.010585	-0.24%	0.00937	-11.69%	0.1126	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	0.01091	0.010888	-0.20%	0.01061	-2.75%	0.0135	✓	0.79
2026-01-16	oos	0.01143	0.011391	-0.34%	0.01091	-4.55%	0.0400	✓	0.76
2026-01-15	oos	0.01061	0.010586	-0.23%	0.01143	+7.73%	0.0774	✗	0.78
2026-01-14	oos	0.01078	0.010755	-0.23%	0.01061	-1.58%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.0109	0.010879	-0.19%	0.01078	-1.10%	0.0227	✓	0.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.01092	0.01089	-0.28%	0.0109	-0.18%	0.0396	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.01061	0.010569	-0.38%	0.01092	+2.92%	0.0295	✗	0.92
2026-01-10	oos	0.01035	0.01033	-0.19%	0.01061	+2.51%	0.0216	✗	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.0103	0.01028	-0.19%	0.01035	+0.49%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.00995	0.009935	-0.16%	0.0103	+3.52%	0.0411	✗	0.88
2026-01-07	oos	0.01011	0.010096	-0.13%	0.00995	-1.58%	0.0095	✓	1.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.01065	0.010629	-0.20%	0.01011	-5.07%	0.0015	✓	1.84
2026-01-05	oos	0.01071	0.010696	-0.13%	0.01065	-0.56%	0.0014	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.01088	0.010865	-0.14%	0.01071	-1.56%	0.0634	✓	1.91
2026-01-03	oos	0.01056	0.010546	-0.14%	0.01088	+3.03%	0.0122	✗	1.93
2026-01-02	oos	0.01001	0.009998	-0.12%	0.01056	+5.49%	0.0411	✗	1.91
2026-01-01	oos	0.00981	0.009796	-0.14%	0.01001	+2.04%	0.0045	✓	1.91
2025-12-31	oos	0.00922	0.009209	-0.12%	0.00981	+6.40%	0.0365	✗	1.90
2025-12-30	oos	0.00912	0.009114	-0.06%	0.00922	+1.10%	0.0309	✗	1.90
2025-12-29	oos	0.00901	0.009004	-0.06%	0.00912	+1.22%	0.0149	✓	1.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.00913	0.009123	-0.07%	0.00901	-1.31%	0.0040	✗	1.89
2025-12-27	oos	0.00926	0.009251	-0.10%	0.00913	-1.40%	0.0146	✓	1.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.00933	0.009317	-0.14%	0.00926	-0.75%	0.0168	✓	1.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.00897	0.008963	-0.08%	0.00933	+4.01%	0.0375	✗	1.82
2025-12-24	oos	0.00947	0.009449	-0.22%	0.00897	-5.28%	0.0429	✓	1.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.00969	0.009659	-0.32%	0.00947	-2.27%	0.0235	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.01004	0.010005	-0.35%	0.00969	-3.49%	0.0085	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.00998	0.009924	-0.56%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0134	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.0105	0.010433	-0.63%	0.00998	-4.95%	0.0512	✓	1.90
2025-12-19	oos	0.01023	0.010164	-0.65%	0.0105	+2.64%	0.0276	✗	1.90
2025-12-18	oos	0.01094	0.010819	-1.11%	0.01023	-6.49%	0.1164	✓	1.99
2025-12-17	oos	0.01009	0.010024	-0.66%	0.01094	+8.42%	0.1049	✗	2.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.01143	0.011271	-1.39%	0.01009	-11.72%	0.0736	✓	1.96
2025-12-15	oos	0.00933	0.009311	-0.20%	0.01143	+22.51%	0.1739	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.00819	0.008197	+0.09%	0.00933	+13.92%	0.1687	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.00886	0.008861	+0.01%	0.00819	-7.56%	0.0335	✗	1.94
2025-12-12	oos	0.00883	0.008838	+0.09%	0.00886	+0.34%	0.0030	✓	1.94
2025-12-11	oos	0.00935	0.009356	+0.07%	0.00883	-5.56%	0.0099	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01041	0.010408	-0.02%	0.00935	-10.18%	0.1180	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.01022	0.010223	+0.03%	0.01041	+1.86%	0.0320	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.01078	0.010776	-0.03%	0.01022	-5.19%	0.0978	✓	2.02
2025-12-07	oos	0.01075	0.010751	+0.01%	0.01078	+0.28%	0.0029	✗	2.02
2025-12-06	oos	0.01164	0.011637	-0.03%	0.01075	-7.65%	0.1053	✓	2.06
2025-12-05	oos	0.01061	0.010621	+0.10%	0.01164	+9.71%	0.0934	✓	2.07
2025-12-04	oos	0.01177	0.011778	+0.06%	0.01061	-9.86%	0.0425	✗	2.04
2025-12-03	oos	0.01243	0.012434	+0.03%	0.01177	-5.31%	0.0249	✗	2.04
2025-12-02	oos	0.01279	0.01279	-0.00%	0.01243	-2.81%	0.0772	✓	2.09
2025-12-01	oos	0.01306	0.013049	-0.08%	0.01279	-2.07%	0.1508	✓	2.31
2025-11-30	oos	0.01361	0.01358	-0.22%	0.01306	-4.04%	0.0713	✗	2.38
2025-11-29	oos	0.012045	0.012046	+0.01%	0.01361	+12.99%	0.1340	✓	2.36
2025-11-28	oos	0.01104	0.011049	+0.08%	0.012045	+9.10%	0.0883	✓	2.36
2025-11-27	oos	0.011235	0.011243	+0.07%	0.01104	-1.74%	0.0075	✗	2.36
2025-11-26	oos	0.01114	0.011148	+0.08%	0.011235	+0.85%	0.0139	✗	2.32
2025-11-25	oos	0.01105	0.011056	+0.05%	0.01114	+0.81%	0.0768	✗	2.39
2025-11-24	oos	0.01073	0.010738	+0.08%	0.01105	+2.98%	0.0543	✓	2.40
2025-11-23	oos	0.00993	0.009947	+0.17%	0.01073	+8.06%	0.0361	✓	2.38
2025-11-22	oos	0.01035	0.010362	+0.12%	0.00993	-4.06%	0.1045	✗	2.50
2025-11-21	oos	0.00991	0.009932	+0.22%	0.01035	+4.44%	0.0525	✓	2.49
2025-11-20	oos	0.01144	0.011445	+0.04%	0.00991	-13.37%	0.1020	✗	2.45
2025-11-19	oos	0.01182	0.011816	-0.03%	0.01144	-3.21%	0.1102	✗	2.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.01244	0.01243	-0.08%	0.01182	-4.98%	0.0098	✓	2.57
2025-11-17	oos	0.012795	0.012764	-0.24%	0.01244	-2.77%	0.0485	✓	2.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.011855	0.011844	-0.09%	0.012795	+7.93%	0.1364	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.01158	0.011571	-0.07%	0.011855	+2.37%	0.0626	✗	2.67
2025-11-14	oos	0.01169	0.011686	-0.04%	0.01158	-0.94%	0.0386	✓	2.69
2025-11-13	oos	0.012335	0.012325	-0.08%	0.01169	-5.23%	0.0961	✗	2.83
2025-11-12	oos	0.01321	0.013194	-0.12%	0.012335	-6.62%	0.0105	✓	2.83
2025-11-11	oos	0.01342	0.013414	-0.04%	0.01321	-1.56%	0.0231	✗	2.87
2025-11-10	oos	0.01488	0.014865	-0.10%	0.01342	-9.81%	0.0227	✓	2.80
2025-11-09	oos	0.014945	0.014925	-0.14%	0.01488	-0.43%	0.0371	✓	2.79
2025-11-08	oos	0.01458	0.014556	-0.17%	0.014945	+2.50%	0.0400	✓	2.85
2025-11-07	oos	0.01479	0.014756	-0.23%	0.01458	-1.42%	0.0192	✗	3.22
2025-11-06	oos	0.014025	0.013994	-0.22%	0.01479	+5.45%	0.0075	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.01395	0.013926	-0.18%	0.014025	+0.54%	0.0895	✗	3.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.0129	0.012888	-0.10%	0.01395	+8.14%	0.0030	✗	3.26
2025-11-03	oos	0.013235	0.013226	-0.07%	0.0129	-2.53%	0.1456	✗	3.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.01428	0.014266	-0.10%	0.013235	-7.32%	0.0561	✗	3.58
2025-11-01	oos	0.015055	0.01503	-0.17%	0.01428	-5.15%	0.0669	✓	3.58
2025-10-31	oos	0.01473	0.014705	-0.17%	0.015055	+2.21%	0.0074	✗	3.56
2025-10-30	oos	0.013045	0.013037	-0.06%	0.01473	+12.92%	0.0817	✗	3.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.01405	0.014034	-0.12%	0.013045	-7.15%	0.0181	✓	3.48
2025-10-28	oos	0.013935	0.013919	-0.11%	0.01405	+0.83%	0.1017	✗	3.58
2025-10-27	oos	0.01474	0.014697	-0.29%	0.013935	-5.46%	0.0160	✓	3.58
2025-10-26	oos	0.015345	0.015258	-0.56%	0.01474	-3.94%	0.0201	✓	3.58
2025-10-25	oos	0.015695	0.015593	-0.65%	0.015345	-2.23%	0.1104	✓	3.70
2025-10-24	oos	0.01405	0.014025	-0.18%	0.015695	+11.71%	0.0919	✗	3.68
2025-10-23	oos	0.013835	0.013797	-0.28%	0.01405	+1.55%	0.0127	✓	3.69
2025-10-22	oos	0.013455	0.013413	-0.31%	0.013835	+2.82%	0.0555	✓	3.72
2025-10-21	oos	0.012415	0.012403	-0.10%	0.013455	+8.38%	0.1084	✗	3.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.012795	0.012773	-0.17%	0.012415	-2.97%	0.0481	✗	3.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.012955	0.012926	-0.22%	0.012795	-1.24%	0.0742	✓	3.71
2025-10-18	oos	0.013675	0.013598	-0.56%	0.012955	-5.27%	0.0996	✓	3.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.01244	0.012438	-0.01%	0.013675	+9.93%	0.0686	✗	3.74
2025-10-16	oos	0.012935	0.012924	-0.08%	0.01244	-3.83%	0.0226	✗	3.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.013855	0.013834	-0.15%	0.012935	-6.64%	0.0241	✗	3.84
2025-10-14	oos	0.014675	0.014632	-0.30%	0.013855	-5.59%	0.0234	✗	3.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.015605	0.015493	-0.72%	0.014675	-5.96%	0.0203	✗	3.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.01386	0.013839	-0.15%	0.015605	+12.59%	0.1134	✗	3.74
2025-10-11	oos	0.012495	0.012497	+0.02%	0.01386	+10.92%	0.0436	✗	3.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.00968	0.009722	+0.44%	0.012495	+29.08%	0.3325	✓	4.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.018125	0.018094	-0.17%	0.00968	-46.59%	0.4006	✓	3.02
2025-10-08	oos	0.01968	0.019647	-0.17%	0.018125	-7.90%	0.0417	✓	2.93
2025-10-07	oos	0.018695	0.018667	-0.15%	0.01968	+5.27%	0.0048	✗	3.02
2025-10-06	oos	0.020405	0.02037	-0.17%	0.018695	-8.38%	0.0033	✓	3.05
2025-10-05	oos	0.018995	0.018972	-0.12%	0.020405	+7.42%	0.0436	✗	3.03
2025-10-04	oos	0.019065	0.019042	-0.12%	0.018995	-0.37%	0.0289	✓	3.06
2025-10-03	oos	0.019705	0.01967	-0.18%	0.019065	-3.25%	0.0348	✓	3.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.019045	0.018996	-0.26%	0.019705	+3.47%	0.0064	✓	3.08
2025-10-01	oos	0.01877	0.018736	-0.18%	0.019045	+1.47%	0.0348	✓	3.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.01776	0.017731	-0.16%	0.01877	+5.69%	0.0707	✓	3.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.017835	0.017795	-0.22%	0.01776	-0.42%	0.0069	✗	3.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.018995	0.018911	-0.44%	0.017835	-6.11%	0.1269	✓	3.57
2025-09-27	oos	0.018745	0.018725	-0.11%	0.018995	+1.33%	0.0678	✓	3.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.01917	0.019152	-0.09%	0.018745	-2.22%	0.0210	✓	3.63
2025-09-25	oos	0.017775	0.017769	-0.03%	0.01917	+7.85%	0.0540	✗	3.62
2025-09-24	oos	0.019315	0.019292	-0.12%	0.017775	-7.97%	0.0634	✗	3.75
2025-09-23	oos	0.01906	0.019043	-0.09%	0.019315	+1.34%	0.0303	✓	3.77
2025-09-22	oos	0.019105	0.019096	-0.05%	0.01906	-0.24%	0.0218	✗	3.70
2025-09-21	oos	0.02267	0.022628	-0.19%	0.019105	-15.73%	0.0888	✓	3.60
2025-09-20	oos	0.024065	0.024006	-0.24%	0.02267	-5.80%	0.0424	✓	3.65
2025-09-19	oos	0.02346	0.023399	-0.26%	0.024065	+2.58%	0.0261	✗	3.63
2025-09-18	oos	0.02366	0.023581	-0.34%	0.02346	-0.85%	0.0399	✗	3.67
2025-09-17	oos	0.023985	0.023897	-0.37%	0.02366	-1.36%	0.0302	✓	3.73
2025-09-16	oos	0.022655	0.022584	-0.31%	0.023985	+5.87%	0.0713	✗	3.73
2025-09-15	oos	0.02217	0.022113	-0.26%	0.022655	+2.19%	0.0226	✓	3.74
2025-09-14	oos	0.02363	0.023559	-0.30%	0.02217	-6.18%	0.0629	✓	3.76
2025-09-13	oos	0.02563	0.025538	-0.36%	0.02363	-7.80%	0.0565	✓	3.74
2025-09-12	oos	0.025755	0.025665	-0.35%	0.02563	-0.49%	0.0031	✓	3.74
2025-09-11	oos	0.024105	0.02403	-0.31%	0.025755	+6.85%	0.0510	✗	3.74
2025-09-10	oos	0.02493	0.024841	-0.36%	0.024105	-3.31%	0.0814	✓	3.78
2025-09-09	oos	0.02357	0.023503	-0.29%	0.02493	+5.77%	0.0243	✓	3.86
2025-09-08	oos	0.02671	0.026597	-0.42%	0.02357	-11.76%	0.1025	✓	3.91

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.