ARK

ARK · native · gru_s4

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0544

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0213

actual -0.0093

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.179257	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.181895	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.170015	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.169657	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.165391	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.169277	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.175012	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.177507	-2.55%	0.18393	+0.98%	0.0127	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.176324	-2.72%	0.18695	+3.14%	0.0315	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.184037	-3.53%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0514	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.182661	-3.26%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0497	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.198553	-4.06%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1437	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.205243	-3.56%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1539	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.206365	-3.82%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1290	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.212851	-5.25%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1602	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.204139	-4.83%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.1005	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.202283	-3.07%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0318	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.210836	-3.39%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0660	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.215597	-3.79%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0100	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.218344	-5.55%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0047	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.201599	-4.75%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0847	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.228468	-6.07%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0181	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.242249	-7.03%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1184	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.237833	-5.32%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1522	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.222545	-6.75%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0442	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.233944	-5.42%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0645	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.240107	-7.85%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0413	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.233021	-8.38%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1006	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.183584	-5.03%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2761	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.15342	-3.35%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5392	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.151597	-4.05%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5349	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.148126	-3.81%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5134	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.148072	-2.43%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4700	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.149515	-2.56%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5142	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.139018	-2.28%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5620	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.13371	-2.47%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2561	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.143643	-4.08%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0150	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.139644	-3.80%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0251	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.159441	-5.42%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1376	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.132666	-3.69%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0841	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.129818	-2.34%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1210	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.112775	-1.60%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1889	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.10871	-1.22%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2342	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.116566	-0.92%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2753	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.115276	-0.90%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2633	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.113574	-0.80%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.4052	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.117161	-0.54%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.2012	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.116786	-0.69%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1580	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.116631	-0.82%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0099	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.113289	-0.55%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0256	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.108895	-0.92%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0657	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.108144	-0.78%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0605	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.10931	-0.77%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0402	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.10827	-0.94%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0536	✗	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.11052	-0.92%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0445	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.11111	-1.20%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0365	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.113404	-0.81%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0063	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.111422	-1.01%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0057	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.106061	-0.69%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0399	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.106327	-0.81%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0400	✗	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.107157	-1.12%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0205	✗	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.107067	-1.32%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0274	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.105464	-1.36%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0698	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.095105	-1.98%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.1050	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.090095	-2.01%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1155	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.084815	-1.40%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0799	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.085851	-1.86%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0632	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086942	-1.16%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0482	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088531	-1.21%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0412	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087341	-1.19%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0256	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.088877	-1.30%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0265	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087984	-1.47%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0296	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.089519	-1.89%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0546	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091199	-1.43%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0490	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.09212	-1.44%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0196	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.092709	-1.93%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0090	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092459	-1.89%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0197	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093084	-1.63%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0220	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.09204	-1.06%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0145	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092319	-1.14%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0049	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093579	-1.26%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0173	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091741	-1.26%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0005	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091342	-1.34%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0060	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092396	-1.45%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0075	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.092976	-1.53%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0238	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.091437	-1.55%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0079	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095211	-1.50%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0220	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096013	-1.65%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0099	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.102528	-1.65%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0763	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.101861	-1.68%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0766	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.100202	-1.76%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0509	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.101586	-1.81%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0691	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.103309	-1.74%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0800	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.103709	-1.73%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0383	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.101106	-1.71%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0174	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.100891	-1.75%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0251	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.103439	-1.89%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0075	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.10205	-1.96%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0028	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.102137	-2.11%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0028	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.104076	-2.64%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0063	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.105763	-1.84%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0205	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.102984	-1.91%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0384	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.104888	-1.97%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0331	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105461	-2.17%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0132	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.105897	-2.31%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0142	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.103188	-2.64%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.102643	-1.55%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0095	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.105084	-1.64%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0044	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.108775	-1.80%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0138	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.108692	-1.83%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0176	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.109387	-2.09%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0231	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.109678	-2.07%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0315	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.106832	-2.17%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0288	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103317	-2.46%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0192	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.110274	-1.94%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.0977	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.107934	-2.24%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0301	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.109695	-2.79%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0245	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105262	-1.48%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0276	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.102699	-1.38%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0369	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.104961	-1.52%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0230	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106676	-1.77%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.1096	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.10926	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.110858	-1.78%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0476	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114284	-1.94%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0459	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111786	-1.92%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0027	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.112948	-2.42%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0363	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.119088	-1.81%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0641	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121628	-1.99%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0743	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.122302	-2.11%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0641	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.121618	-2.39%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0416	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.120026	-1.21%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0265	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118323	-1.11%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0365	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.120034	-1.14%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0265	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.119246	-0.80%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0270	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.114557	-0.52%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0226	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.139982	-2.41%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1163	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.144375	-2.73%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1588	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.153823	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.151762	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.148342	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.14524	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144489	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.148227	-1.84%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0848	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.150623	-2.43%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0870	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.154964	-2.59%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0825	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.155612	-1.59%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0432	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.160275	-1.73%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0236	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.155703	-1.60%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0214	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.161002	-1.68%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0490	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.157913	-1.35%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0113	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.156104	-1.32%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0013	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.160707	-1.50%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0133	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.159945	-1.54%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0069	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.163862	-1.80%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0104	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.167339	-1.84%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0174	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.175484	-1.47%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0328	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.173067	-1.90%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0580	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.180716	-1.04%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.0931	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.187059	-1.11%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.0865	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.186492	-0.75%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.0888	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.177312	-0.94%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0062	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.178371	-1.01%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0133	✗	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.174842	-1.50%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0492	✗	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.172245	-1.57%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0683	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.174092	-2.08%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0266	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.169887	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.17083	-1.64%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.172278	-1.87%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0352	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.177309	-2.52%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0639	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.169635	-1.31%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0044	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.174292	-1.29%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0215	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.171006	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.169952	-1.44%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0098	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.169837	-1.08%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0511	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.170609	-1.17%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0645	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.171366	-1.37%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0601	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.169383	-1.41%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0075	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164386	-1.48%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0011	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.171518	-1.65%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0151	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.175987	-1.61%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0256	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.172897	-1.74%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0522	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.169587	-1.67%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0313	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.16555	-1.81%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0163	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.167251	-2.06%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0060	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.159599	-2.56%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0035	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.165837	-1.59%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0100	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.16786	-1.64%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0017	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.166579	-1.74%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0030	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.165454	-1.85%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0167	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.167583	-2.04%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0291	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.161569	-2.70%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0325	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.161634	-2.66%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0149	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162335	-1.79%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0562	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.163451	-2.00%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0547	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.157232	-2.27%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0045	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.163943	-1.54%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0206	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.160295	-1.51%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0053	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.158703	-1.57%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0097	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155277	-1.37%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0159	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159182	-1.41%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0212	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.159727	-1.40%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0330	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.16413	-1.44%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0116	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.170282	-1.51%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0299	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.168805	-1.55%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0016	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.168656	-1.62%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0238	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.161295	-1.75%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0082	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168098	-1.55%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0036	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.173074	-1.68%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0030	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.172796	-1.85%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0180	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.174599	-2.43%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0107	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.183982	-2.73%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0165	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.185433	-1.63%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0150	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.172288	-1.48%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0317	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.167988	-1.51%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0537	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.169684	-1.74%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0438	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.170464	-2.30%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0422	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.167641	-1.45%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0487	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.163486	-1.51%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0838	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.161043	-1.76%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0560	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.160975	-1.24%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0305	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.161956	-1.28%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0140	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.167471	-1.42%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0159	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.169201	-1.49%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0365	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.171859	-1.59%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0294	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.169535	-1.54%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0491	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.169217	-1.57%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0248	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.168734	-1.52%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0383	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.172224	-1.77%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0538	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.171706	-1.65%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0511	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.175486	-1.98%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0809	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.177579	-1.75%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.0974	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.168253	-1.35%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0560	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.170005	-1.35%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0647	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.177698	-1.53%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0029	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.182829	-1.61%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0242	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.181549	-1.54%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0006	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.179849	-1.41%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0139	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.17927	-1.35%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0203	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.186125	-1.64%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0259	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187773	-1.90%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0101	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185839	-2.17%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0089	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.200865	-1.98%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0466	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.196461	-2.10%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0492	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.182942	-1.21%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0161	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.179118	-1.36%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0247	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.183184	-0.96%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0548	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.180401	-0.94%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0797	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.179875	-0.92%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0785	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.183382	-1.24%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.1023	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.183132	-1.02%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1195	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.162364	+1.47%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0727	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.201306	-0.96%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0274	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.205243	-1.43%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0223	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.211838	-2.40%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0522	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.206333	-1.89%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0506	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.215632	-1.79%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0313	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.229755	-2.28%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0552	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.233696	-1.75%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1045	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.250975	-1.95%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0338	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.254985	-2.03%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0561	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.253988	-2.03%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0557	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.244483	-1.95%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0474	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.252774	-1.98%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0330	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.251911	-1.95%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0154	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.253977	-1.98%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0160	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.257085	-2.08%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0043	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.257484	-2.04%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0513	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.268058	-2.12%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0007	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.282337	-2.28%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0307	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.280204	-2.29%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0269	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.280991	-2.34%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0204	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.289538	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.288458	-2.68%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0214	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.267032	-3.03%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0293	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.273601	-3.12%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0268	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.28027	-3.17%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0173	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.280468	-3.20%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.279729	-3.83%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0202	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.281328	-3.99%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0182	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.272953	-3.75%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0606	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.269995	-3.63%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0553	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.262086	-3.63%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.1023	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.265189	-3.82%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0809	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.253194	-3.53%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.1079	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.249066	-3.43%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.1116	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.25529	-3.30%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0341	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.255922	-3.40%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0010	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.253091	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.256423	-1.98%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0218	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.24537	-1.86%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0815	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.245497	-2.03%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0460	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.252823	-2.05%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0214	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.252784	-2.00%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0304	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.254792	-2.07%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0584	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.24891	-2.03%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0594	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.252578	-2.23%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0421	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.247964	-2.50%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0191	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.238636	-1.75%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0253	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.248597	-2.02%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0185	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.25629	-2.37%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0122	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.258444	-2.90%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0226	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.26928	-1.90%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0645	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.277076	-2.06%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0444	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.274143	-2.11%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0462	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.279912	-2.27%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0478	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.285285	-2.40%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0397	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.286046	-2.46%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0225	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.27808	-2.39%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0123	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.28079	-2.18%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0066	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.283705	-2.29%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0159	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.289034	-2.52%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0440	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.284879	-2.55%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0006	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.285991	-2.45%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0406	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.27939	-2.66%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0299	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.269791	-2.86%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0094	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.288433	-2.88%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0053	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.298351	-3.88%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0052	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.277418	-3.10%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0884	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.276884	-2.14%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0436	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.269299	-1.78%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0440	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.268663	-1.76%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0081	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.270395	-1.99%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0564	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.264977	-2.32%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0611	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.256127	-1.05%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0985	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.258178	-1.26%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0147	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.266066	-1.13%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0097	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.273718	-1.36%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0172	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.282169	-1.59%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0573	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.284523	-1.60%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0311	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.284038	-1.75%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0735	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.288748	-2.24%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0678	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.288108	-2.51%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0580	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.291951	-2.71%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1396	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.305135	-2.58%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0700	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.312007	-3.20%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0762	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.304318	-2.42%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1739	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.301181	-2.93%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.1168	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.279014	-2.27%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0977	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.269551	-1.62%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1836	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.263791	-0.76%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1770	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.275844	-1.18%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1315	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.313713	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.315679	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.30551	-1.41%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.1056	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.304677	-1.24%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0378	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.31505	-1.32%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0521	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.314998	-1.31%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0029	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.32382	-1.37%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0421	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.335381	-1.35%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0051	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.327556	-1.26%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0010	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.323466	-1.24%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0216	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.321625	-1.23%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0154	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.312266	-1.05%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0135	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.318625	-1.10%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0635	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.328586	-1.08%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0502	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.324295	-1.01%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0340	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.318981	-0.89%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0237	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.318411	-0.87%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0367	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.333915	-1.07%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0520	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.347023	-1.49%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0504	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.355637	-1.85%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0345	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.374021	-2.47%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0565	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.377616	-2.01%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0583	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.345539	-1.96%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0251	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.346993	-1.88%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0044	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.420078	-2.13%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.0957	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.428145	-2.25%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0832	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.429399	-2.40%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.0983	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.441084	-2.54%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0608	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.429566	-2.63%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.430094	-3.00%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.0975	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.44187	-2.10%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1420	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.44235	-2.33%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0394	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.424493	-2.05%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0046	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.415217	-2.12%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0011	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.40777	-2.13%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0113	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.412787	-2.41%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0408	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.405029	-2.52%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0350	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.407349	-3.06%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0215	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.397563	-2.67%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0159	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.424199	-2.50%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0284	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.429816	-2.77%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.407045	-3.22%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0072	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.440667	-2.37%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0116	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.450489	-2.52%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0204	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.441224	-2.62%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0109	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.457949	-2.90%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0338	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.452033	-3.15%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0070	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.440087	-3.95%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0525	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.444703	-3.22%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0290	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.472129	-4.58%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0446	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.439117	-3.82%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0534	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.43625	-3.77%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0422	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.441932	-3.00%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0485	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.440615	-2.59%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0312	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.436372	-2.84%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0086	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.436115	-3.25%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0159	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.417335	-2.93%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1247	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.413356	-3.07%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0393	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.412504	-3.67%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0377	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.