ARK

ARK · native · gru_s4

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

76.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1319

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0229

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.158674	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.159433	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.158216	-9.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.154879	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.157838	-8.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.16304	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.166136	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.165619	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.173989	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.171428	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.184863	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.18942	-11.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.19172	-10.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.197457	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.188475	-12.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.187109	-10.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.19528	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.201122	-10.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.204381	-11.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.189985	-10.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.2125	-12.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.22056	-15.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.217646	-13.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.207103	-13.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.217272	-12.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.222437	-14.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.213391	-16.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.176576	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.152168	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.154516	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.151134	-1.86%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1840	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.144089	-5.05%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1681	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.145691	-5.05%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1695	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.137197	-3.56%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1943	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.130726	-4.64%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2099	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.140164	-6.40%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1711	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.136757	-5.79%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1928	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.155535	-7.74%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1103	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.132216	-4.02%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2947	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.130552	-1.78%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3170	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.117357	+2.40%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.4922	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.112838	+2.53%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5603	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.117883	+0.20%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5515	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.116702	+0.32%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6192	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.115557	+0.93%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5732	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.120404	+2.21%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4953	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.119614	+1.71%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5389	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.119453	+1.58%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5573	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.118061	+3.64%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6338	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.111037	+1.03%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5630	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.111157	+1.99%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6982	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.113778	+3.29%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7720	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.113168	+3.54%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7300	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.118247	+6.01%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6459	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.118487	+5.36%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6651	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.121625	+6.38%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7176	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.119598	+6.25%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.6999	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.115983	+8.60%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4477	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.117388	+9.51%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2436	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.117599	+8.51%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2029	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.118001	+8.76%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1617	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.120075	+12.31%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2019	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.105967	+9.22%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2811	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.097374	+5.91%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2531	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.08795	+2.24%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3152	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.089753	+2.60%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3817	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.08855	+0.67%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3448	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.089956	+0.37%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4543	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.088787	+0.44%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2785	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.09038	+0.37%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2257	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.090081	+0.88%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0776	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.09236	+1.23%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0218	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.093012	+0.53%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0660	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.094258	+0.85%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0494	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.095946	+1.49%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0100	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.095713	+1.56%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0276	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.095134	+0.53%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0283	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.09242	-0.65%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0627	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092147	-1.33%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0108	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.0928	-2.08%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0003	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.090814	-2.26%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0119	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.090299	-2.47%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0094	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.091061	-2.88%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0036	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.091456	-3.14%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0338	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.089852	-3.26%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0579	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.094174	-2.57%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0010	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.094683	-3.01%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0103	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.101474	-2.66%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0916	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.100622	-2.87%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.0982	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.099077	-2.87%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0623	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.100576	-2.79%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0578	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.102699	-2.32%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0929	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.103356	-2.06%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1363	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.100642	-2.16%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1360	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.100467	-2.16%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1552	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.103118	-2.20%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1607	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.101907	-2.10%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1341	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.102584	-1.68%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1258	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.105694	-1.13%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1574	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.105724	-1.88%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1413	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.102364	-2.50%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1513	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.104538	-2.30%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1334	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105513	-2.12%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1331	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.106553	-1.70%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1401	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.104697	-1.22%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1239	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.101554	-2.60%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1080	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.103879	-2.77%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1050	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.10747	-2.97%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1517	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.107932	-2.51%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1505	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.10923	-2.23%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1467	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.109389	-2.33%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1754	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.106934	-2.08%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1599	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.104153	-1.67%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1405	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.108169	-3.81%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2202	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.107657	-2.49%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1668	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110178	-2.36%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1718	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.103472	-3.15%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0640	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.10111	-2.91%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0374	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.10389	-2.53%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0593	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106216	-2.19%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0578	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.108216	-2.69%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0563	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.109859	-2.67%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0829	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.113789	-2.36%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1139	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.112165	-1.59%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1044	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.114543	-1.05%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.1089	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.118567	-2.24%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1229	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121749	-1.89%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1303	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.123232	-1.36%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1215	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.123263	-1.07%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1251	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.118513	-2.45%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0903	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.1172	-2.05%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0939	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.118649	-2.28%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0989	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.116534	-3.05%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1117	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.112211	-2.56%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0792	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.136374	-4.93%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1760	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.141151	-4.90%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1864	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.149777	-5.09%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2076	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.150946	-3.66%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1044	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.146546	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.144325	-3.14%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1010	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.141203	-3.86%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0620	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.145888	-3.39%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1424	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.150841	-2.29%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1818	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.1557	-2.13%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1889	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.152004	-3.87%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1707	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.155758	-4.50%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1896	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.151263	-4.41%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1500	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.157524	-3.81%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1500	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.157126	-1.85%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1609	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.155298	-1.83%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1338	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.160288	-1.75%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1353	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.161615	-0.51%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1307	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.16935	+1.49%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1722	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.175393	+2.88%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1896	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.183265	+2.90%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2237	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.179956	+2.01%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2169	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.182584	-0.01%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2086	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.189751	+0.32%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2189	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.193031	+2.73%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2812	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.183606	+2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.188269	+4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.186701	+5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.182115	+4.07%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0026	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.182282	+2.53%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0251	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.178125	+2.64%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0604	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.173062	-0.35%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0941	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.174504	-0.60%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1225	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.181407	-0.27%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1695	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.172927	+0.60%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0904	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.179409	+1.60%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1090	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.176706	+1.74%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0992	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.175847	+1.98%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0992	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.175127	+2.00%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0475	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.175655	+1.76%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0639	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.174174	+0.24%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0793	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.171977	+0.10%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0955	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.165865	-0.59%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0906	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.174873	+0.27%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0869	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.179626	+0.43%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1050	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.175131	-0.47%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0911	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.173538	+0.62%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0788	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.170664	+1.22%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0562	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.17334	+1.51%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0523	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.164654	+0.53%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0421	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.168778	+0.16%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0125	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.170586	-0.04%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0374	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.168575	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167331	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.171581	+0.30%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0785	✗	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.166062	+0.01%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.1070	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.166486	+0.26%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.1149	✗	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162886	-1.46%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1220	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.16418	-1.57%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1014	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.159757	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.163326	-1.91%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0964	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.159613	-1.93%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0426	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.157117	-2.55%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0333	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.153617	-2.43%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0037	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.157259	-2.60%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0853	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.157613	-2.70%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0790	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.162636	-2.34%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0729	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.169765	-1.81%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0791	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.167919	-2.07%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0970	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.168243	-1.86%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0869	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.160773	-2.07%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0577	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.165561	-3.04%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0729	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.171522	-2.56%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0802	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.171866	-2.38%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0768	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.176562	-1.33%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0778	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.187765	-0.73%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0838	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.185765	-1.46%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0735	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.172575	-1.31%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0440	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.168162	-1.41%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0344	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.170507	-1.26%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0372	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.173869	-0.34%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0716	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.167364	-1.61%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0244	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.163444	-1.54%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0075	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.161088	-1.73%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0026	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.157687	-3.26%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0173	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.158833	-3.18%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0175	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.164106	-3.40%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0031	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.166655	-2.97%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0521	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.169321	-3.05%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0788	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.165957	-3.62%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0057	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.165937	-3.48%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0159	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.164773	-3.84%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0561	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.169146	-3.53%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0438	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.167777	-3.90%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0654	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.172639	-3.57%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0457	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.173206	-4.17%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0374	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.164467	-3.57%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0743	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.166391	-3.44%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0800	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.173621	-3.79%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0636	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.178817	-3.77%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.0929	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.177756	-3.60%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0770	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.175899	-3.58%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0644	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.175239	-3.57%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0681	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.18223	-3.70%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0769	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.185697	-2.98%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0777	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185023	-2.60%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0638	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.196906	-3.92%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1265	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.193502	-3.57%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1680	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.179849	-2.88%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1373	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.177214	-2.41%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0900	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.17878	-3.34%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0525	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.17629	-3.19%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0374	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.175897	-3.11%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0528	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.179046	-3.57%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0749	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.17841	-3.57%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0144	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.15646	-2.22%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0289	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.192197	-5.44%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0619	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.19692	-5.43%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0807	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.205902	-5.14%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0967	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.199461	-5.15%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0456	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.20763	-5.44%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0649	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.222522	-5.35%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0359	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.223432	-6.06%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0276	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.24088	-5.89%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0537	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.245486	-5.68%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0669	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.244768	-5.58%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0731	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.235384	-5.60%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0599	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.243172	-5.70%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0666	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.243068	-5.40%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0548	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.245531	-5.24%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0392	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.247104	-5.88%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0605	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.249749	-4.98%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0084	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.260293	-4.95%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0138	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.27473	-4.91%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0660	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.273901	-4.49%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0650	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.275932	-4.10%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0092	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.286026	-3.70%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0376	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.286461	-3.35%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0918	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.26514	-3.72%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1007	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.270204	-4.32%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1212	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.274624	-5.12%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1736	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.2747	-5.19%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1618	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.276082	-5.09%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1259	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.277378	-5.34%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0951	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.271525	-4.26%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0326	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.269145	-3.93%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0276	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.258367	-4.99%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0009	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.260885	-5.38%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0227	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.249255	-5.03%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0195	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.245189	-4.93%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0055	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.253308	-4.05%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0084	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.254185	-4.05%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0209	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.251586	-3.79%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0171	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.249421	-4.65%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0327	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.239714	-4.12%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0493	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.240634	-3.97%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0439	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.246063	-4.67%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0185	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.246155	-4.57%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0240	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.248707	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.244368	-3.81%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0761	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.248833	-3.68%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0011	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.245897	-3.32%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0350	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.232742	-4.17%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0896	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.24287	-4.28%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0449	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.251373	-4.24%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0353	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.254253	-4.47%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0177	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.259012	-5.64%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0413	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.267233	-5.54%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0179	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.265124	-5.33%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0554	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.271463	-5.22%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0921	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.274773	-5.99%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0728	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.276185	-5.82%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0733	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.268869	-5.62%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0780	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.273457	-4.73%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0059	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.276994	-4.60%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0485	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.284235	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.282937	-3.22%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0195	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.28395	-3.15%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0175	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.280261	-2.36%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0303	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.271585	-2.22%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0697	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.288974	-2.70%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0621	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.30235	-2.60%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0791	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.282389	-1.37%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0340	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.278049	-1.73%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0113	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.26911	-1.84%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0286	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.268396	-1.86%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0664	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.271894	-1.44%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0423	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.268269	-1.10%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0487	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.253652	-2.00%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0345	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.256542	-1.89%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0647	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.261791	-2.72%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0404	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.271241	-2.25%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0109	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.279631	-2.48%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0215	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.280317	-3.06%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0034	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.281225	-2.72%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0331	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.287838	-2.55%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0691	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.28911	-2.18%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0503	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.294816	-1.75%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1138	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.306397	-2.18%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0954	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.316299	-1.87%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0677	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.307939	-1.26%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1740	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.302429	-2.52%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1512	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.280331	-1.81%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2238	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.271573	-0.89%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3199	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.261168	-1.75%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2632	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.277367	-0.64%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2657	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.315583	-1.04%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1965	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.314924	-1.71%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2476	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.307853	-0.65%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2585	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.305324	-1.03%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2865	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.31499	-1.34%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1945	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.318974	-0.06%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2116	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.328727	+0.13%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1801	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.339886	-0.03%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2049	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.327152	-1.38%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2010	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.32395	-1.09%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2129	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.322167	-1.07%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1975	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.311829	-1.19%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1970	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.318409	-1.17%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1891	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.326925	-1.58%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1350	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.32159	-1.83%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1272	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.314772	-2.20%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1496	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.312781	-2.62%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.1102	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.326295	-3.33%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0908	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.341073	-3.18%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0974	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.352001	-2.86%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0321	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.372571	-2.85%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0142	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.371648	-3.56%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0200	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.34314	-2.64%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0335	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.3448	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.411224	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.421902	-3.68%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1221	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.421331	-4.23%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2070	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.438507	-3.11%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2865	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.429601	-2.62%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2837	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.432871	-2.37%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2979	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.435094	-3.60%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2075	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.434913	-3.97%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2113	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.414281	-4.41%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2164	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.403115	-4.97%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2184	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.396147	-4.92%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1743	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.400362	-5.35%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2336	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.393052	-5.41%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2249	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.398423	-5.18%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2079	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.387373	-5.16%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1821	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.413655	-4.93%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2111	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.417962	-5.45%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2306	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.40043	-4.79%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1854	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.423873	-6.09%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2073	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.433785	-6.14%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2156	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.425176	-6.16%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1906	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.440763	-6.54%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2148	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.436091	-6.56%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2031	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.42926	-6.32%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1527	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.428788	-6.69%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1499	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.458656	-7.31%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2123	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.429979	-5.82%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1071	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.430134	-5.12%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0990	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.429308	-5.77%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1459	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.423327	-6.41%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1692	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.41954	-6.59%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0854	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.421044	-6.59%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0802	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.401921	-6.51%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0186	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.39925	-6.38%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0206	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.400313	-6.51%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0327	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.395987	-6.94%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0061	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.