ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s4
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
75.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3015
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0209
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008205 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007381 | +0.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.007028 | +2.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.00601 | +5.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.007127 | +3.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007899 | +3.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008863 | +1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.00887 | +2.55% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.00784 | +4.32% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.00897 | +3.22% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011039 | -0.55% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010718 | +0.55% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012399 | -1.44% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013325 | -2.02% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013604 | -2.90% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013149 | -2.96% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013518 | -3.17% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.3940 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013831 | -3.38% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.012985 | -2.59% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1754 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.014937 | -3.57% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1483 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013771 | -3.26% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.01353 | -3.63% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.013903 | -5.29% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0482 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018293 | -4.67% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.2974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020585 | -4.26% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.3872 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023082 | -3.90% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023846 | -3.67% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4363 | ✓ | 1.00 |