ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s4
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0981
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0005
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008317 | -0.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007359 | +0.36% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1184 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006909 | +0.75% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0829 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005789 | +1.28% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1661 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.00694 | +1.06% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1818 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007735 | +0.94% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1214 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008756 | +0.65% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1257 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008713 | +0.72% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007601 | +1.15% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008773 | +0.95% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1713 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011111 | +0.10% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010702 | +0.40% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012564 | -0.12% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013554 | -0.34% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013914 | -0.69% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013461 | -0.65% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013855 | -0.75% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014189 | -0.88% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013255 | -0.56% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0563 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015346 | -0.93% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014142 | -0.65% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0951 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013959 | -0.57% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014558 | -0.83% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019061 | -0.67% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2633 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021372 | -0.60% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0957 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023873 | -0.61% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024555 | -0.81% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |