XRD

Radix · native · gru_s3

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1188

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0154

actual -0.0501

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000185806	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000202784	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000163875	+2.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.00016021	+3.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000149727	+3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000204499	+1.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000266162	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000295685	-2.19%	0.00018625	-38.39%	0.4502	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000306812	-2.29%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4131	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000322538	-2.73%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.7019	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000309961	-2.13%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.7063	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000308283	-2.13%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7682	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000300563	-1.87%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.4070	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000309497	-2.09%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1333	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000325334	-2.21%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0897	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000328889	-1.74%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0693	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000342116	-1.75%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0698	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000352886	-1.47%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1352	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000349116	-1.88%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1209	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000360132	-1.98%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1812	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000371823	-1.92%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1935	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000370619	-2.31%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.1107	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.00039832	-2.32%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1557	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000405204	-2.44%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1305	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000431998	-2.31%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1687	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000446764	-2.45%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2246	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000426638	-2.47%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1456	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.00045821	-2.61%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1852	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000483017	-2.83%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2493	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000512943	-2.68%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2542	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000458654	-2.27%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1272	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000523298	-4.18%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1474	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000504907	-3.86%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0775	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000543085	-4.34%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1970	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.00054888	-4.72%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.1020	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000484379	-3.78%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0795	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.00053232	-4.20%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0573	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000488696	-3.20%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0012	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000479491	-2.76%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1534	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000497296	-2.63%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0760	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000476172	-1.72%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.1954	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000483522	-1.32%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1742	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000467897	-0.34%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0627	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000480031	+0.09%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1330	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000438174	+1.08%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1379	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000487676	+1.11%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0069	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000480534	+1.76%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0476	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000513277	+2.27%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0691	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.00049525	+2.55%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0310	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000586909	+2.95%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2224	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000607995	+2.81%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2363	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000639318	+2.67%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3876	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000849931	+2.46%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5659	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000887189	+2.31%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6307	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000890013	+2.03%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5728	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000832033	+2.42%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5446	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000836041	+2.06%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3816	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000918776	+1.68%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4394	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000942445	+1.64%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4139	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000896256	+1.49%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0774	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000800877	+1.27%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0790	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000932343	+1.21%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0667	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000924451	+0.05%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1250	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000955807	-1.10%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1579	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001016	-2.29%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1577	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000875955	-1.68%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0232	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000907907	-2.01%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0718	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000940339	-2.11%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2147	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000901604	-1.94%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0233	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000920699	-1.94%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0256	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000960025	-2.09%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0126	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000909608	-1.86%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1298	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000892402	-1.73%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0036	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000904668	-1.63%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0304	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000917306	-1.64%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0522	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000911134	-1.61%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0150	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000897834	-1.68%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0473	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.00094567	-1.78%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0397	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000929246	-1.80%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0011	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000962024	-1.99%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0591	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000964242	-2.00%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0515	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000930521	-1.99%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0043	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000944732	-2.01%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0263	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000945992	-1.67%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0338	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000946649	-1.82%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0147	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000959857	-1.86%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0149	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.00097546	-1.91%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0070	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001004	-1.72%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0150	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000975108	-1.74%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0221	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001082	-2.53%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1115	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.00081714	-1.07%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1651	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000821559	-0.97%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1717	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000803401	-0.90%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2110	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000823785	-1.12%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1971	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000833987	-1.20%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1995	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000851869	-1.22%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1555	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000881694	-1.37%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2297	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000864549	-1.30%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0531	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000854159	-1.16%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0383	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000841575	-1.10%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0475	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.0008351	-1.21%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0232	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000912088	-1.41%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0832	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000846623	-1.18%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0116	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000878861	-1.24%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0185	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000898603	-1.31%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0296	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000906381	-1.32%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0639	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.00089093	-1.19%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0570	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000900503	-1.16%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0516	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000921029	-1.20%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0035	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000888674	-1.06%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0404	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000872019	-0.97%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0111	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000883892	-1.00%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0196	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.00088081	-0.94%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0280	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000844602	-0.73%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0385	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.00085197	-0.82%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0458	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000864277	-0.83%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0512	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000858069	-0.82%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0272	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000886422	-0.95%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0217	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000907119	-1.03%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0268	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000933889	-1.18%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0417	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000960188	-1.32%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0912	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001041	-1.61%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1680	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001048	-1.65%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1604	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001092	-1.82%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2061	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001075	-1.78%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1610	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001082	-1.82%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1460	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.00107	-1.81%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1041	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001085	-1.86%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0924	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.0011	-1.91%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0249	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001094	-1.89%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0113	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001106	-1.92%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0064	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001082	-1.83%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0115	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001092	-1.87%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0131	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001092	-1.80%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0204	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001106	-1.86%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0236	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001077	-1.83%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0195	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001041	-1.70%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0542	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001023	-1.38%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0756	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001016	-1.33%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0644	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001064	-1.83%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0463	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001037	-1.72%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0878	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000996892	-1.78%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1620	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001018	-2.07%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1455	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001058	-2.01%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0882	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.00105	-1.91%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0991	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001067	-1.94%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0814	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001064	-1.85%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1098	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.0011	-1.81%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0462	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001142	-1.74%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0432	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001101	-1.31%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0036	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001009	-0.86%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.0990	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001007	-0.86%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0878	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001052	-1.16%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0541	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001063	-0.96%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0585	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001071	-0.95%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0756	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001114	-1.19%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0518	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001134	-1.23%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0189	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001135	-1.15%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1048	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001159	-1.15%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1194	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001181	-1.12%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0721	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001199	-0.89%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0817	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.00121	-1.10%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0974	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001235	-1.00%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0605	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001241	-0.76%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0361	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001239	-0.55%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0353	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.00125	-0.70%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0414	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001238	-0.55%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0265	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001255	-0.50%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0452	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001281	-0.21%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0234	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001273	-0.06%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0158	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001286	-0.09%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0518	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001262	-0.07%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0578	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001264	+0.01%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0291	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.00126	+0.04%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0375	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001255	-0.46%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0493	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001271	-0.61%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0724	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001276	-0.51%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0644	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001325	-0.27%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0632	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001366	+0.13%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0766	✗	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001348	-0.21%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0790	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001325	-0.12%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0621	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001297	+0.27%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0019	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001292	+0.18%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0266	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001275	-0.62%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0067	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001276	-0.80%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0171	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001276	-1.36%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0022	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001275	-0.78%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0309	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001318	-0.32%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.00123	-0.90%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0067	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001239	-0.93%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0069	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001226	-1.02%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0147	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001218	-0.85%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0347	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001159	-1.57%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0660	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001169	-1.06%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0564	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001185	-1.03%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0518	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001218	-1.34%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0306	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001234	-1.50%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0418	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.00125	-1.39%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0425	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.00129	-2.02%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1372	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.0012	-1.62%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0476	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001165	-1.44%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0766	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001168	-1.32%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0710	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001154	-1.08%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0104	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001159	-0.99%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0306	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001191	-0.99%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0047	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001161	-0.65%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0915	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001184	-0.59%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0196	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001237	-0.74%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0613	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001321	-0.93%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1192	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001439	-1.30%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1797	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.00149	-1.36%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1918	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001502	-1.35%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1862	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.00152	-1.32%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1971	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001504	-1.11%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2022	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001562	-1.22%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1836	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001556	-1.25%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0878	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001741	-1.60%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1586	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001752	-1.70%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1487	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001813	-1.85%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1208	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001831	-1.95%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1107	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001829	-2.05%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1050	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001808	-2.09%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.0970	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001811	-2.18%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1317	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001776	-2.22%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0060	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001779	-2.31%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0147	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001762	-2.42%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0149	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001832	-2.54%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0840	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001791	-2.48%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0714	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001886	-2.72%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0860	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001883	-2.84%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0631	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002018	-3.12%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.0999	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002094	-3.28%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1018	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002011	-3.19%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1336	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002155	-3.41%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1303	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002131	-3.33%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1516	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002403	-3.76%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2191	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.00235	-3.67%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2276	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002245	-3.57%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1269	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.00225	-3.64%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1093	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002107	-3.20%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0822	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002324	-3.66%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1069	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002468	-4.12%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0845	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.00232	-4.16%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0885	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001794	-2.53%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3393	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001734	-2.21%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2869	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001716	-2.02%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2844	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001715	-2.01%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2897	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.00157	-1.35%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4944	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.00157	-1.21%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5123	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001624	-1.49%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4265	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001745	-1.88%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0660	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001766	-1.61%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0085	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001799	-1.76%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0173	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001925	-2.44%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0751	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001936	-2.58%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1772	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001992	-2.79%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2041	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002017	-2.80%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2094	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.00199	-2.89%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0863	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001727	-0.38%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0122	✓	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002019	-3.39%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0292	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002317	-4.33%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0936	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002332	-4.56%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0792	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002164	-4.33%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0065	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002327	-4.80%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0297	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002883	-5.72%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2766	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002848	-5.96%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3861	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002701	-5.86%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1619	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002443	-5.52%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0686	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001854	-3.94%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3179	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001855	-4.04%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2422	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002301	-5.05%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0876	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002419	-5.41%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2482	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002784	-8.17%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.0971	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002064	-5.14%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3297	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001589	-3.01%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4862	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001257	-1.33%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4497	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001228	-1.02%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.4904	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001201	-0.70%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7335	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001243	-0.57%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7548	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001245	-0.48%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9243	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001149	-0.15%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6793	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001083	-0.40%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4553	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001065	-0.78%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1712	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001044	-0.81%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1557	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001054	-0.90%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1090	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001282	-1.14%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0571	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.00141	-1.23%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1508	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001426	-1.19%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2639	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001469	-0.97%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3152	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001466	-0.93%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2884	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001495	-1.15%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3444	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001494	-1.17%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3375	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001495	-1.17%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1474	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001482	-1.15%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0581	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001475	-1.10%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0561	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001483	-1.04%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0483	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001515	-1.08%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0859	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001537	-1.06%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0500	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001532	-1.01%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0395	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001494	-0.92%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0124	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001504	-0.89%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0178	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001531	-0.89%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0256	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.00149	-0.79%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0033	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001512	-0.79%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0261	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001549	-0.82%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0096	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001539	-0.78%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0108	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001516	-0.73%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0023	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001458	-0.57%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0240	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001579	-0.77%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0344	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001559	-0.75%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0335	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.00169	-0.91%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1236	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001745	-1.02%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1151	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001758	-1.04%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1074	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.00173	-0.98%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1048	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001757	-0.99%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1157	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001793	-1.02%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0660	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001827	-1.06%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1084	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001839	-1.07%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0374	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001848	-1.05%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0274	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001884	-1.08%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0682	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.00193	-1.14%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1081	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001918	-1.13%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0822	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001878	-1.04%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0232	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002085	-1.34%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1352	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002001	-1.09%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1206	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002061	-1.22%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0989	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002028	-1.15%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0464	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002079	-1.19%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0467	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002129	-1.24%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.1011	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002213	-1.32%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1832	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002105	-1.04%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0346	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002091	-1.04%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0134	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002049	-0.86%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0172	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002039	-0.63%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0559	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002017	-0.57%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0168	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002097	-0.82%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0198	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002106	-1.12%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0742	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002342	-1.54%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0347	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002341	-1.48%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0601	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002471	-1.76%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.00246	-1.75%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0590	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002453	-1.68%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0836	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.0025	-1.92%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0168	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002336	-1.68%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0266	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002317	-1.67%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1440	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002389	-1.77%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1555	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002402	-1.78%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1676	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002303	-1.62%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1607	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002315	-1.63%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1759	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002261	-1.48%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1386	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002282	-1.59%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0652	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.00231	-1.53%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0022	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002412	-1.83%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0150	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002511	-1.95%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0427	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002527	-1.98%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0166	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002487	-1.94%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0186	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.00245	-1.88%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0181	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002513	-1.95%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0097	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002496	-1.86%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0799	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002513	-1.80%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0685	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002523	-1.75%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0631	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002494	-1.76%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0527	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002547	-1.71%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0143	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002605	-1.75%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0194	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002515	-1.41%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0114	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002577	-1.44%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0686	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002724	-1.66%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1045	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002714	-1.46%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1232	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002581	-0.85%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0677	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002558	-0.44%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0395	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002332	+0.48%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1048	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002601	-0.66%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0187	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002725	-1.08%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0136	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.00283	-1.35%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0341	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002836	-1.38%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0460	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002748	-0.98%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0107	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003072	-1.77%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.1002	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003656	-1.33%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3274	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.00357	-1.15%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1839	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003501	-1.50%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1521	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003598	-1.03%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1280	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.0035	-1.20%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.1089	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003691	-1.35%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1610	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.00382	-1.37%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.1021	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003916	-1.59%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0667	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003837	-1.81%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1083	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003702	-2.10%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1169	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003704	-2.08%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1306	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003717	-2.09%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1742	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003683	-1.94%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1295	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003758	-1.92%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1129	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003765	-1.85%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0769	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003951	-2.07%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0724	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004023	-2.14%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0864	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004041	-2.17%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0855	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004198	-2.18%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0633	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004136	-2.15%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0209	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004476	-2.21%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0836	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.00449	-2.16%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0588	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004647	-2.21%	0.004035	-15.09%	0.1046	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.