XRD

Radix · native · gru_s3

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2734

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0316

actual -0.1628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000180867	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000200296	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000159203	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000155467	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000143913	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.00020357	+0.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000261573	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000285109	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000296036	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000306979	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000300163	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000297446	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000290746	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000297084	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000313523	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000322298	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000335432	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000348868	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.00034086	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000350712	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000362839	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000357864	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000384581	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.00039017	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000417449	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000430103	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000411305	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000440003	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000461009	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000491591	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000446098	-4.94%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.9085	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000482743	-11.60%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.8531	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000469439	-10.62%	0.0001597	-69.59%	1.0744	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000498583	-12.17%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.1583	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000496817	-13.76%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.1983	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000446421	-11.32%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.7575	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000485123	-12.69%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.5443	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.00045612	-9.65%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3940	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000448004	-9.15%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.3220	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000465307	-8.90%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.3147	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000450264	-7.07%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.3179	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.00045675	-6.79%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.3389	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000450777	-3.99%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.3665	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000465496	-2.94%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.3726	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000430713	-0.64%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.2417	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000486371	+0.84%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.3488	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000485992	+2.92%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.3041	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000528462	+5.29%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.3591	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000522784	+8.25%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.3705	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000623469	+9.36%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.5234	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000652037	+10.25%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.5359	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000695944	+11.76%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.5980	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000913884	+10.17%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.8055	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000957661	+10.43%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.8354	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000962359	+10.32%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.7776	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000922833	+13.59%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.7034	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000923926	+12.78%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.7513	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.001007	+11.43%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.7665	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.001038	+11.96%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.7425	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000985323	+11.58%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.6311	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000883009	+11.66%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.6364	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.001023	+11.04%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.6267	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000964772	+4.41%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.6034	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000957996	-0.87%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.5275	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000980969	-5.63%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5671	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000858981	-3.58%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5620	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.00088077	-4.94%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.4990	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.00091001	-5.27%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6336	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000875985	-4.72%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6154	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000894995	-4.68%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.6018	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000929643	-5.19%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6942	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000885836	-4.42%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6300	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000872197	-3.95%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6623	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000887408	-3.51%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6549	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000899855	-3.51%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7713	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000894647	-3.39%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6602	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000879182	-3.73%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6640	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000924043	-4.03%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6501	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000907167	-4.14%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6753	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000933963	-4.85%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5342	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000936083	-4.86%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.4988	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000903271	-4.86%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4156	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000916733	-4.91%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1414	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000927285	-3.62%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.1061	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000924109	-4.16%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.0980	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000936229	-4.27%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1880	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000950011	-4.47%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.1920	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000984627	-3.66%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1226	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000955629	-3.71%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0696	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001044	-6.01%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2091	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000818349	-0.93%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0940	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000825865	-0.45%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0506	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000809762	-0.12%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.0993	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000824473	-1.04%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1361	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000832595	-1.36%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2220	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000850093	-1.43%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0487	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.00087602	-2.00%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0622	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000860833	-1.72%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1141	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000854547	-1.12%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.0850	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.00084385	-0.83%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1173	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000833314	-1.42%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1544	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000905577	-2.11%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0245	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000846207	-1.22%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0697	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000876902	-1.46%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0430	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000894481	-1.76%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0301	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000901482	-1.85%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0095	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000890083	-1.29%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0194	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000901035	-1.10%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0623	✗	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000920796	-1.22%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0247	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000891605	-0.73%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.0941	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000876581	-0.46%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1099	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000886685	-0.68%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0607	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000882847	-0.71%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0706	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000847739	-0.36%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.0922	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000855458	-0.41%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.0990	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000866038	-0.63%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.0956	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000860068	-0.59%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1233	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000885662	-1.03%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1119	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.00090357	-1.42%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0664	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000928649	-1.73%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1575	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000952696	-2.09%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1592	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001025	-3.13%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2243	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001031	-3.32%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2602	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001069	-3.90%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2548	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001052	-3.81%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2278	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001057	-4.04%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2154	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001048	-3.88%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1556	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001061	-4.04%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.1816	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001074	-4.20%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.2081	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001069	-4.17%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2236	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001078	-4.40%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2305	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001056	-4.15%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1338	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001064	-4.38%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2182	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001063	-4.43%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.1941	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001073	-4.75%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1735	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001047	-4.57%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1253	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001014	-4.28%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1172	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.000996296	-3.93%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1092	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.000988837	-4.00%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0759	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001028	-5.20%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1303	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001002	-5.03%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1187	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000964542	-4.97%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0358	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000985318	-5.26%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0022	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001028	-4.82%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0559	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001022	-4.50%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0559	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001037	-4.71%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0407	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001036	-4.44%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0485	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001072	-4.25%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0548	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001118	-3.83%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0600	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001092	-2.16%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0144	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001009	-0.87%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1060	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001005	-1.05%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.1808	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001039	-2.32%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1526	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001059	-1.28%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.1849	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001067	-1.33%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.1716	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001101	-2.32%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1494	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.00112	-2.44%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1031	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001123	-2.16%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.0966	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001149	-2.07%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.0863	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001173	-1.79%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.0757	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001203	-0.62%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.0885	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001202	-1.71%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0566	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001232	-1.16%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0511	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001249	-0.08%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.0799	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001256	+0.77%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.0879	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001258	-0.11%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0340	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001248	+0.26%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0020	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001266	+0.39%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0154	✗	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001306	+1.73%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0117	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.0013	+2.07%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.0461	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001309	+1.67%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0077	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.00128	+1.36%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0694	✗	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001285	+1.62%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.1121	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.00128	+1.62%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.1076	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.00126	-0.11%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.1246	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001272	-0.57%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.1196	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001281	-0.13%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.1272	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001339	+0.73%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.1353	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001394	+2.24%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.1417	✗	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001368	+1.27%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1980	✗	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001351	+1.83%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.2760	✗	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001339	+3.56%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.2516	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001334	+3.45%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.1847	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.00129	+0.57%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.2027	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001285	-0.09%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1984	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001266	-2.18%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1583	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001288	+0.21%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.1320	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001352	+2.28%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.1680	✗	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001241	-0.02%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0970	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.00125	-0.07%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.1045	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001235	-0.32%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.1142	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001234	+0.48%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0758	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001147	-2.56%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0517	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001177	-0.43%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0583	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001193	-0.30%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0826	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001216	-1.57%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0892	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001225	-2.22%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.1135	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001246	-1.74%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.1027	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.00126	-4.35%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1693	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001182	-3.12%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.1035	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001144	-3.22%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0710	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001148	-3.05%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0805	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001138	-2.50%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0734	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001149	-1.91%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0601	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001181	-1.83%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0576	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001151	-1.53%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0339	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001173	-1.52%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0703	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001227	-1.53%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0889	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001309	-1.82%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1456	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001423	-2.41%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1829	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001476	-2.29%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1961	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001487	-2.34%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2529	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001506	-2.21%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2616	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001493	-1.85%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2821	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001549	-2.02%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2920	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001546	-1.92%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.2288	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001712	-3.24%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3766	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001719	-3.51%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3520	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001775	-3.90%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3766	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001788	-4.23%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3564	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001781	-4.62%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.3833	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001758	-4.83%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4084	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001756	-5.14%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.3970	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.00172	-5.28%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4152	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001719	-5.59%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4057	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001699	-5.94%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3478	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001758	-6.47%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.3822	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001719	-6.42%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4026	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001801	-7.13%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3394	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001795	-7.40%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4007	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001911	-8.23%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4229	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.001977	-8.69%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4229	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001901	-8.49%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.4640	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002024	-9.27%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5361	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002002	-9.15%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5488	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.00223	-10.71%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6421	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002183	-10.50%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6073	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002093	-10.08%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5002	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002094	-10.32%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4258	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.001977	-9.17%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.3789	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002152	-10.78%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.4567	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002264	-12.06%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4399	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002137	-11.74%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.3711	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001707	-7.29%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1131	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001655	-6.68%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0745	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001638	-6.46%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.0992	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001634	-6.64%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0442	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001503	-5.57%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1350	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001501	-5.56%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1335	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001547	-6.19%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1152	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001652	-7.15%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0628	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001668	-7.10%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0233	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001692	-7.59%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0298	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001797	-8.94%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0146	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001801	-9.37%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0096	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001845	-9.97%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0166	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.00186	-10.36%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0229	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.00183	-10.71%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0735	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.0016	-7.71%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.1263	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001848	-11.59%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.1034	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002091	-13.68%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0424	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.0021	-14.06%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0861	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.001954	-13.61%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.1411	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002082	-14.82%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1580	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002532	-17.21%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.0480	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002491	-17.77%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0888	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.00238	-17.03%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1674	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002172	-16.00%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.2006	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001706	-11.61%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.4092	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001701	-12.02%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3581	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002058	-15.07%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.2288	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002147	-16.04%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.2430	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002416	-20.33%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0645	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.00187	-14.04%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0357	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001508	-7.96%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1919	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.00125	-1.90%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.4830	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001233	-0.63%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5043	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001219	+0.78%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4247	✓	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001268	+1.47%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.3932	✓	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001276	+1.98%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4188	✓	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.00119	+3.41%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.5741	✓	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001109	+2.00%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.6774	✓	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001072	-0.07%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7058	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001049	-0.35%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.7872	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001058	-0.61%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.7733	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001282	-1.17%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6188	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001407	-1.45%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5609	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001425	-1.27%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.5765	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001479	-0.26%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.4860	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001479	-0.08%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5523	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001496	-1.04%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6414	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001495	-1.13%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6111	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001496	-1.12%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5442	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001483	-1.09%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.5998	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001477	-0.97%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7602	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001489	-0.69%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7473	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001518	-0.88%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6173	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001541	-0.75%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5056	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001539	-0.56%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2220	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001504	-0.25%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2577	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001515	-0.15%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4518	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001543	-0.11%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.4875	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001505	+0.23%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.6810	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001528	+0.29%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3457	✓	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001565	+0.21%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0485	✓	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001555	+0.28%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2384	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001533	+0.39%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2617	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001474	+0.56%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2832	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001592	+0.04%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.3226	✗	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001574	+0.19%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2970	✗	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001697	-0.47%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4845	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001749	-0.78%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5401	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001763	-0.72%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.5051	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001738	-0.51%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.5065	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001767	-0.41%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4877	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001801	-0.57%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.3145	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001834	-0.70%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2358	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001843	-0.85%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2503	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001853	-0.81%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2514	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001886	-1.01%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2833	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001928	-1.24%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2628	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001919	-1.08%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2244	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001886	-0.65%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1872	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002071	-1.97%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.2965	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001995	-1.39%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.3044	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002053	-1.63%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2935	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002024	-1.36%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2399	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002072	-1.53%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2564	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.00212	-1.68%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2774	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002196	-2.10%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3434	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002095	-1.51%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3212	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002081	-1.50%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2914	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.00204	-1.32%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.3123	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002028	-1.19%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3252	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002005	-1.14%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2864	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002079	-1.68%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.3109	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002088	-1.96%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2746	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002301	-3.29%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3675	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002299	-3.23%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.3025	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002413	-4.06%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3595	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002404	-3.99%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2418	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002398	-3.87%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2374	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002439	-4.31%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2114	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002295	-3.39%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1394	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002279	-3.28%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1284	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002347	-3.51%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.0974	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002358	-3.60%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.1041	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002266	-3.21%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0615	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002277	-3.22%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0470	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002229	-2.90%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0146	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002246	-3.15%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0325	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002271	-3.20%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0448	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002362	-3.87%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0560	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002457	-4.08%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.0921	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002469	-4.23%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1099	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002431	-4.14%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.0887	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002395	-4.08%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0646	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002455	-4.22%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0798	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002448	-3.74%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1547	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002471	-3.45%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2126	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002484	-3.26%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2114	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002447	-3.63%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1717	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.0025	-3.51%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1472	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.00255	-3.81%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1441	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002465	-3.36%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1211	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002525	-3.43%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1245	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002667	-3.71%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0293	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002655	-3.58%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.0926	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002534	-2.66%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1272	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002513	-2.17%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1534	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002297	-1.02%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2514	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002561	-2.16%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.1786	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002679	-2.77%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1139	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.00278	-3.09%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0109	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002778	-3.40%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0187	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002675	-3.61%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0364	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.00298	-4.70%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0968	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003644	-1.66%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2549	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003577	-0.95%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.2099	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003468	-2.42%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1901	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003621	-0.41%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.2168	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003504	-1.08%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.1587	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003678	-1.69%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.2312	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003805	-1.76%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2707	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003875	-2.62%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2922	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003765	-3.66%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2971	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003577	-5.39%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2960	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003577	-5.43%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2836	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.00357	-5.95%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3475	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003522	-6.22%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3714	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003595	-6.17%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3933	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003598	-6.20%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3799	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003804	-5.72%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3565	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003859	-6.12%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3526	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.00388	-6.07%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3562	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004053	-5.54%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3531	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003998	-5.41%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.3028	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004331	-5.38%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3684	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004356	-5.08%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3930	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004503	-5.23%	0.002569	-45.94%	0.4406	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.