XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s3

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1009

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0207

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.077781	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.076608	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074945	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.075402	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077217	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080974	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083672	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079035	-1.53%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0148	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081386	-1.54%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0364	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.079372	-1.39%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0409	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.08677	-1.85%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0920	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085656	-1.91%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0571	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.083138	-1.75%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0142	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.082254	-1.78%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0330	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085866	-1.97%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0369	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088146	-1.84%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0207	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092852	-2.07%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0697	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094438	-1.95%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0141	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093434	-2.32%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0333	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.091122	-2.36%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0372	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093683	-2.57%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0528	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092053	-2.96%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0442	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092739	-3.16%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0684	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.094991	-3.35%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0457	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.102584	-3.30%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1041	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.107629	-3.44%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1246	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.110156	-3.90%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1743	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.106916	-3.55%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1157	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.08776	-2.49%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0951	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094088	-2.37%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0669	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.09572	-2.32%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0842	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.087118	-2.37%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1365	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089929	-2.45%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1571	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091486	-2.48%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1664	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086035	-1.58%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1020	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080719	-0.32%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0468	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081642	-0.29%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0439	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083672	-0.29%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0060	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.078485	+0.89%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0484	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080745	+0.86%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0602	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.083086	+0.73%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0544	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084472	+0.45%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0379	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.08929	+0.12%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0579	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.097281	-1.08%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1137	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.09297	+0.03%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0837	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.090774	+1.33%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0793	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094047	+1.00%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1065	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094706	+1.62%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0861	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.098673	+2.28%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0605	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.085133	+2.23%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0241	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.084618	+2.39%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1261	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.086321	+2.92%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0630	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.08588	+2.13%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0105	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.088756	+2.17%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0181	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.086191	+1.92%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0437	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.092587	+2.64%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0231	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.089117	+1.59%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0354	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.09118	+0.78%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0775	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097605	+0.24%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1441	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101014	-0.62%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1822	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093492	-0.24%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0951	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100795	-0.79%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1669	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.08786	-1.14%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0996	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079154	-1.56%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0710	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074027	-2.45%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0729	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074182	-2.49%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0184	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.0728	-2.71%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0246	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07385	-2.62%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0537	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074301	-2.70%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0054	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073382	-2.62%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0149	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071956	-2.66%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0221	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076291	-2.84%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0320	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076478	-2.80%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0183	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074659	-2.55%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0504	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074305	-2.34%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0657	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.074029	-2.28%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0765	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.073394	-2.25%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0463	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.073384	-2.12%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0355	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.076157	-2.23%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0427	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.07596	-2.09%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0246	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.074503	-1.97%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0041	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073735	-1.88%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0191	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.072309	-1.69%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0020	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076534	-1.94%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0087	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.07575	-1.81%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0263	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081712	-2.20%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0524	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077433	-1.80%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0071	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083601	-1.93%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0550	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081689	-1.87%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0494	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083047	-1.89%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0935	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079974	-1.45%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0171	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083652	-1.47%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0329	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082574	-1.29%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0702	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083785	-1.49%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0272	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079439	-1.19%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0564	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.08163	-1.29%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0303	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083962	-1.45%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0040	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085055	-1.56%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0763	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090309	-1.84%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0899	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091378	-1.96%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1198	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087809	-1.89%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0951	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.08712	-1.95%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1008	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.088945	-2.15%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0964	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089735	-2.30%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0463	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.092989	-2.53%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0881	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.088604	-2.53%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0234	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096025	-2.81%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0695	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.105887	-3.03%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1266	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.103481	-2.97%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1562	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.103439	-2.97%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1458	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.103568	-2.93%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1590	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.092757	-2.46%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0125	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088794	-2.21%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0319	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.084894	-1.97%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0409	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.101929	-2.83%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0105	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.093481	-2.42%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0471	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.098119	-2.71%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0183	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.100725	-2.87%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0057	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.101639	-3.11%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1038	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089889	-2.29%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0331	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.086807	-2.24%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0954	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.082954	-2.23%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3253	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087031	-2.43%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1884	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091763	-2.69%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1969	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097753	-3.02%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1440	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095029	-2.83%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1764	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.107186	-4.81%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0748	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.08869	-2.86%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0733	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087455	-2.99%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0266	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087086	-2.81%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0853	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084662	-2.69%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1132	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.08026	-2.83%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2295	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.073832	-2.08%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2987	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060897	-0.49%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5442	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065532	-0.86%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2399	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.0691	-1.29%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1927	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068427	-1.26%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2134	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065194	-0.47%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2067	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066516	-0.72%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1592	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082451	-2.31%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0847	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.09085	-3.25%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3386	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083732	-2.86%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1226	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089193	-4.09%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0775	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.085518	-4.02%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0005	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087151	-4.23%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0153	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.08517	-3.98%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0194	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.091454	-4.24%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1235	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.082405	-3.17%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3504	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.085271	-3.21%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2033	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083349	-3.14%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2411	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078974	-2.86%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1947	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081737	-3.04%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1681	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.080001	-2.68%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1478	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086829	-3.20%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1789	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.084549	-3.04%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0717	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079644	-2.46%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1201	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081545	-2.63%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0476	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081359	-2.68%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0081	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084163	-2.93%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0311	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086259	-3.08%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0258	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093009	-3.47%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0336	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091084	-3.31%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0072	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.09276	-3.42%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0554	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098578	-3.73%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0738	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.103164	-3.90%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1217	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.102104	-3.86%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1160	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.105603	-4.17%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1501	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.102716	-3.64%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0835	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.096967	-3.08%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0050	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090318	-2.41%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0681	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086608	-2.03%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1391	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087959	-1.94%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1426	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.088887	-1.89%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1470	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.089421	-1.84%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1779	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089428	-1.94%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1136	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.091115	-2.08%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0015	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.094047	-2.14%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0951	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.096262	-2.17%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1281	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098461	-2.22%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0912	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097814	-2.33%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0947	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097614	-2.43%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0828	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098506	-2.52%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0416	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099028	-2.68%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0180	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099449	-3.07%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0337	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.101085	-3.36%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0544	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.099996	-3.71%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0842	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.104843	-4.12%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0814	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.122103	-4.16%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2058	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.134615	-4.39%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3459	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.125589	-4.17%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2744	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.128285	-4.26%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2657	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.133883	-4.37%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2744	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.11904	-4.19%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1972	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.130852	-4.28%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2296	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.124919	-4.17%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0572	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118237	-3.99%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1106	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119658	-4.04%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0189	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.124851	-4.18%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0273	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115248	-4.04%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0837	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.116824	-3.97%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0260	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112915	-3.78%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0752	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106539	-3.41%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0816	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.113456	-4.74%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0168	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102881	-2.94%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1306	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090988	-2.00%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2828	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086919	-1.62%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2783	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.085166	-1.43%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2912	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087285	-1.54%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2750	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087846	-1.57%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2145	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091906	-1.86%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2994	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098377	-2.11%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1410	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095767	-1.98%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0173	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.0947	-1.92%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0177	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089553	-1.64%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0050	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091119	-1.71%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0281	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092577	-1.77%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0511	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.09718	-1.84%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0128	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106241	-2.04%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0567	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.115977	-2.17%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1031	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.120897	-2.34%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1447	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105472	-1.84%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0470	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108066	-1.98%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1055	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.106246	-1.94%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1107	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104448	-1.93%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0409	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.097866	-1.74%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0813	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097371	-1.79%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1166	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089573	-1.57%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1942	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.09152	-1.64%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0133	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093027	-1.87%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0844	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.09666	-2.07%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0542	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.115786	-2.66%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0765	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.111399	-2.45%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0618	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.112567	-2.71%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1629	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102472	-2.03%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1098	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.095912	-1.73%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0350	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.099935	-1.93%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0594	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.090313	-1.51%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0385	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093067	-1.62%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1717	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.101216	-2.11%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0209	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086099	-1.15%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2042	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085966	-1.19%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1068	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.08822	-1.49%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1410	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.094961	-1.80%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0916	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093463	-1.77%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0267	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092101	-1.65%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0157	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.090915	-1.55%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0950	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.094865	-1.80%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0112	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.099975	-2.18%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0483	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094506	-1.76%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0293	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.100001	-2.15%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0042	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095663	-1.68%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0117	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.09099	-0.94%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0127	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081687	+0.11%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1356	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081179	+0.16%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2022	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083623	-0.03%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2264	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082838	+0.29%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1804	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.08429	+0.59%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1814	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084398	+0.77%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1782	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.080911	+2.55%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0352	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.094779	-0.07%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0374	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.094955	-0.15%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0601	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.102904	-1.01%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0586	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101091	-0.21%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0078	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.105674	-0.59%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0659	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.120034	-2.29%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0626	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.122802	-2.31%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2699	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.139577	-3.74%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0854	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133884	-3.26%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0435	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.122713	-1.71%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0979	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117445	-0.97%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1218	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126945	-1.67%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1027	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.122795	-1.29%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1405	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121538	-1.07%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1626	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.124555	-1.15%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1571	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119751	-0.70%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1243	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.131713	-1.56%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0553	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.129421	-1.51%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.0964	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.137961	-1.74%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0847	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.141989	-1.87%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0178	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.139936	-2.01%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0224	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.158289	-2.17%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0504	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.157819	-2.40%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0977	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.149294	-2.61%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1461	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.159836	-2.84%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2701	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.156209	-2.98%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2330	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.163859	-3.16%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2566	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.159563	-3.35%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2329	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.172593	-3.42%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2135	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.201682	-3.59%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2585	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.183702	-3.21%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1181	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.186045	-3.40%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1065	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.191719	-3.56%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1684	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.188239	-3.76%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1222	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165731	-3.08%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0623	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.156519	-2.90%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0902	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.159133	-2.85%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2151	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.153807	-2.78%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1355	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.151185	-2.71%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2018	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.149152	-2.58%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2561	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136611	-2.25%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3289	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.130454	-2.06%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2528	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.130328	-2.01%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2139	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127521	-1.83%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2394	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.126114	-1.78%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2431	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.127021	-1.76%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2103	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.134427	-1.88%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1359	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128897	-1.76%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0899	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117772	-1.28%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1033	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123275	-1.58%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0598	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130909	-1.90%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.132594	-1.96%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0566	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.148441	-2.05%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.152919	-2.10%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.145128	-2.20%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.159712	-2.17%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2121	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.