XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s3

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1807

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0686

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.072719	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.07185	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070006	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070439	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.071776	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.075083	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.077545	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.073261	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.076093	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.073676	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.081257	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.07983	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.077392	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.076303	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.080271	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083475	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.087878	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.089778	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.088055	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.085932	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.088244	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.085871	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.08647	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.088436	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.095936	-9.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.100563	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.102866	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.100786	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.084094	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.090838	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.092908	-5.19%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0826	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.082595	-7.44%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0872	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.085222	-7.55%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1212	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.086562	-7.73%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1418	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.080592	-7.81%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1208	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.075836	-6.35%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0160	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076763	-6.25%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0225	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.079266	-5.54%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0506	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.07431	-4.48%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0077	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.076983	-3.84%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0368	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.079816	-3.23%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0141	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.081128	-3.52%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0435	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.086237	-3.31%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0952	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.093444	-4.98%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1735	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.089795	-3.38%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1080	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.088155	-1.59%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0859	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.091555	-1.68%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0842	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093014	-0.20%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1014	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097634	+1.21%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0900	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083847	+0.68%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0515	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083881	+1.50%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0287	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.086078	+2.63%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0023	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.085735	+1.96%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0048	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.089354	+2.86%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0005	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087619	+3.61%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0704	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.096405	+6.87%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0713	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.092725	+5.71%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1206	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094541	+4.50%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0556	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.100891	+3.62%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2088	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.103318	+1.65%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2179	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.097437	+3.97%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1606	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.105571	+3.91%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2177	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088863	-0.01%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1051	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078297	-2.63%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0235	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.071212	-6.16%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0287	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.071178	-6.44%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1091	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.069281	-7.41%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1014	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.070326	-7.27%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1363	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.07055	-7.61%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1919	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.069703	-7.50%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1509	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.068136	-7.82%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1042	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.071947	-8.38%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1216	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.072211	-8.22%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0912	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070778	-7.61%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0379	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070691	-7.09%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0292	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070524	-6.91%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0851	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069656	-7.22%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0367	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.069842	-6.84%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0289	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.072239	-7.26%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0647	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071948	-7.26%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1521	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.070576	-7.14%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1437	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069599	-7.39%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1506	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.068179	-7.30%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1083	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072804	-6.72%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1041	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071834	-6.89%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1230	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.077353	-7.42%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1776	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073387	-6.93%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1330	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.08006	-6.09%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1373	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.077932	-6.39%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0679	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.079332	-6.28%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0243	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.077235	-4.82%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0497	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.081458	-4.05%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0210	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.080959	-3.22%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0397	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.081564	-4.10%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1007	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077429	-3.70%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0201	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.079727	-3.59%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0401	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.081707	-4.10%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0645	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.082667	-4.32%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0687	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.08761	-4.77%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1009	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.088604	-4.93%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1290	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084572	-5.51%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1595	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084235	-5.19%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0656	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.085812	-5.60%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0900	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.086436	-5.89%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1377	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.089084	-6.62%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1999	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.084831	-6.68%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1784	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.091655	-7.23%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2221	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.100655	-7.82%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3087	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.098364	-7.77%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2445	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098233	-7.85%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2452	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.098404	-7.78%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2822	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.088736	-6.69%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1970	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.085032	-6.35%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2144	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.081256	-6.17%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1818	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.096378	-8.12%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2998	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.088849	-7.26%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1515	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.09282	-7.96%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2399	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.0949	-8.49%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2150	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.095409	-9.05%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2303	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.085692	-6.86%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0799	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.083147	-6.37%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0785	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.079749	-6.01%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0138	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.083114	-6.82%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0697	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.087209	-7.52%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0478	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.092011	-8.72%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1633	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.089643	-8.34%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1256	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.099515	-11.62%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1432	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.084493	-7.46%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0667	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.083454	-7.43%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1354	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.083117	-7.24%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1321	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.080903	-7.01%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1582	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.077068	-6.70%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1371	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.071426	-5.27%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2357	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.059282	-3.13%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3747	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.063519	-3.91%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3713	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.06672	-4.69%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3286	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.065836	-5.00%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4054	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.062566	-4.48%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4846	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.063628	-5.03%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4581	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.07764	-8.01%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3309	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.084283	-10.24%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2686	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.07819	-9.29%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3144	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.081797	-12.05%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3368	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.078604	-11.78%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.4161	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.079663	-12.46%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5615	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.07815	-11.89%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4995	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.08399	-12.05%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4767	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.076881	-9.66%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6153	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.079614	-9.63%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6328	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.077924	-9.44%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5550	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074023	-8.95%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5194	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.076347	-9.43%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3930	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.07495	-8.82%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4556	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.080848	-9.87%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4492	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.078863	-9.56%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5574	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.074791	-8.40%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5788	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.076396	-8.78%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6646	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.076135	-8.93%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4418	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.078528	-9.43%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3957	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.080374	-9.69%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.4011	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.086462	-10.26%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3663	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.084483	-10.32%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3255	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.085972	-10.49%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2292	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.09106	-11.07%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0247	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.095058	-11.45%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0602	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.093704	-11.77%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0726	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.096513	-12.42%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0172	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.094444	-11.40%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0338	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.090012	-10.03%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0712	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.084352	-8.86%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2974	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.081005	-8.37%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4181	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.08229	-8.26%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2519	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.083368	-7.98%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2323	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.083971	-7.83%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1364	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.083612	-8.32%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1289	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.085153	-8.49%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0828	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.088157	-8.26%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1307	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.090596	-7.93%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0082	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.093035	-7.61%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0042	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.09224	-7.90%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0624	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.092165	-7.88%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1167	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093285	-7.68%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0721	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.093803	-7.81%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0822	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.0934	-8.97%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0622	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.094608	-9.55%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1110	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.092803	-10.64%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1841	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.097327	-10.99%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1728	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.113291	-11.07%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3096	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.123971	-11.95%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4134	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.116063	-11.44%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3451	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.118198	-11.79%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3350	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.123221	-11.98%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3607	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.109393	-11.96%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3142	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.120245	-12.04%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3178	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.115228	-11.60%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2377	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.109237	-11.30%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.1908	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.110208	-11.62%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1689	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.11477	-11.92%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2230	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.105845	-11.87%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.2945	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.107371	-11.74%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3747	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.103868	-11.49%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4015	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.098633	-10.58%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3173	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.104192	-12.52%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3665	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.096342	-9.11%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2560	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.08628	-7.08%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1069	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.082499	-6.62%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0626	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.080899	-6.37%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0388	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.083022	-6.35%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0524	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083731	-6.18%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0614	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.08783	-6.21%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0454	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.094233	-6.24%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0602	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.091883	-5.95%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0557	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.091159	-5.58%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0328	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.086091	-5.45%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0044	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.087888	-5.19%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0348	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.089714	-4.81%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0796	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.094165	-4.88%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0329	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.102832	-5.18%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0986	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.112305	-5.27%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2022	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.117069	-5.44%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1138	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.102871	-4.26%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2385	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.104947	-4.81%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2243	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.103328	-4.64%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1882	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.101581	-4.62%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2455	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.095583	-4.03%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2535	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.095005	-4.18%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2219	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.087647	-3.68%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2980	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.089123	-4.22%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2516	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.090456	-4.58%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2486	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.093874	-4.89%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2400	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.110926	-6.75%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1297	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.107491	-5.87%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1446	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.108033	-6.63%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1302	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.099698	-4.69%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0773	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.09363	-4.07%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0642	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.097227	-4.59%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0905	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.088602	-3.38%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0274	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.091222	-3.57%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0024	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.09835	-4.88%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0606	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.084745	-2.70%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0004	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.084584	-2.78%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0331	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.086441	-3.47%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0616	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.092334	-4.51%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0159	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.090835	-4.54%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0053	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.08955	-4.38%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0065	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.088352	-4.33%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0211	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.091682	-5.09%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0255	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.095835	-6.23%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0750	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.09115	-5.25%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1601	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.095606	-6.45%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1584	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.091966	-5.48%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0756	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.08792	-4.28%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1235	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.079333	-2.78%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2308	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.078686	-2.92%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2670	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.080742	-3.48%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2077	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079868	-3.31%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2228	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.081059	-3.27%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1328	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.080911	-3.39%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2371	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077303	-2.02%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0852	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.089465	-5.68%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2502	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.08924	-6.16%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4372	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.095678	-7.96%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3594	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.093994	-7.21%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4830	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.097638	-8.15%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3807	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.109667	-10.73%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4735	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.111799	-11.06%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4652	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.126175	-12.98%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3953	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.121356	-12.31%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.4056	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.112316	-10.04%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5159	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.107626	-9.25%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4736	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.116837	-9.50%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4270	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.11348	-8.78%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3975	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.112667	-8.29%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4698	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.115733	-8.15%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4239	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.111375	-7.65%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4473	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.124166	-7.20%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4613	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.122791	-6.55%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5269	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.131957	-6.01%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4896	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.136448	-5.70%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4054	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.13462	-5.73%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4497	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.152681	-5.64%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.2969	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.151465	-6.33%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3114	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.141987	-7.38%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1995	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.151608	-7.84%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0636	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.147941	-8.11%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0578	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.154957	-8.42%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0053	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.150823	-8.65%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0941	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.162842	-8.87%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0281	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.189842	-9.25%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0227	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.174337	-8.15%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0636	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.175411	-8.92%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1510	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.179907	-9.50%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1937	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.176748	-9.64%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1617	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.157273	-8.03%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1145	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.148898	-7.63%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.151459	-7.53%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1415	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.146599	-7.33%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.14459	-6.96%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.142833	-6.71%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1396	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.131077	-6.21%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0916	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.125173	-6.03%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.125105	-5.94%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.12226	-5.88%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.120967	-5.79%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.121805	-5.80%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.128982	-5.85%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.123421	-5.93%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.111971	-6.14%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1193	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.117543	-6.15%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.125222	-6.17%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.126645	-6.36%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1299	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.142387	-6.05%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.147086	-5.84%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.1393	-6.13%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1597	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.15394	-5.70%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0685	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.