XCH

Chia · native · gru_s3

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0802

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4587	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4933	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5452	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5476	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5781	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5771	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5723	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5518	-1.53%	1.4765	-6.31%	0.0613	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.6034	-1.72%	1.512	-7.32%	0.0570	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5594	-1.68%	1.5675	-1.17%	0.0042	✓	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5629	-1.73%	1.57	-1.29%	0.0209	✗	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5644	-1.83%	1.6035	+0.63%	0.0398	✗	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4941	-1.77%	1.6015	+5.29%	0.0797	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4465	-1.53%	1.5965	+8.68%	0.0944	✗	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4704	-1.64%	1.576	+5.42%	0.0858	✗	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5423	-1.61%	1.6315	+4.08%	0.0787	✗	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5561	-1.73%	1.586	+0.16%	0.0565	✗	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5577	-1.75%	1.5905	+0.32%	0.0474	✗	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5452	-1.86%	1.5935	+1.21%	0.0483	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.5048	-1.91%	1.521	-0.85%	0.0295	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5658	-2.08%	1.469	-8.13%	0.0339	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5879	-2.28%	1.495	-8.00%	0.0576	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5602	-2.06%	1.5675	-1.60%	0.0126	✓	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5263	-2.04%	1.5835	+1.64%	0.0160	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5488	-1.95%	1.5855	+0.38%	0.0075	✓	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6146	-2.09%	1.5745	-4.52%	0.0277	✓	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6183	-2.13%	1.534	-7.23%	0.0567	✓	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5985	-1.93%	1.599	-1.90%	0.0033	✓	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5188	-1.63%	1.625	+5.25%	0.0741	✗	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6	-1.60%	1.593	-2.03%	0.0147	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6888	-1.87%	1.558	-9.47%	0.0564	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5202	-1.25%	1.5795	+2.60%	0.0164	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5186	-1.10%	1.649	+7.39%	0.0613	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4917	-0.85%	1.6535	+9.90%	0.0820	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.4131	-0.59%	1.63	+14.67%	0.0946	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3788	-0.12%	1.544	+11.84%	0.0646	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.367	+0.00%	1.626	+18.95%	0.1122	✓	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4674	-0.25%	1.721	+17.00%	0.1172	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4758	-0.21%	1.5395	+4.09%	0.0191	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4924	-0.11%	1.5355	+2.78%	0.0078	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4896	+0.04%	1.5045	+1.04%	0.0088	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4948	+0.12%	1.4215	-4.79%	0.0492	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5711	+0.04%	1.3805	-12.10%	0.1182	✗	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6183	-0.01%	1.367	-15.54%	0.1537	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.648	+0.18%	1.471	-10.58%	0.1089	✗	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5146	+1.41%	1.479	-0.97%	0.0011	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4735	+1.65%	1.494	+3.07%	0.0302	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4428	+1.89%	1.489	+5.16%	0.0498	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4698	+2.00%	1.493	+3.61%	0.0511	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4366	+1.24%	1.5705	+10.68%	0.0820	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4634	+1.06%	1.6185	+11.77%	0.0931	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4409	+1.22%	1.645	+15.56%	0.1286	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4299	+1.20%	1.4935	+5.70%	0.0213	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4018	+1.32%	1.4495	+4.77%	0.0214	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4156	+1.15%	1.416	+1.18%	0.0136	✗	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4296	+1.32%	1.441	+2.13%	0.0005	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.3915	+0.94%	1.419	+2.94%	0.0327	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.3977	+0.77%	1.448	+4.40%	0.0444	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4	+0.87%	1.4235	+2.56%	0.0200	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5001	+0.34%	1.413	-5.48%	0.0593	✗	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5123	+0.42%	1.3835	-8.13%	0.0997	✗	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5339	+0.81%	1.3995	-8.02%	0.0873	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4426	+0.14%	1.411	-2.05%	0.0864	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.435	-0.76%	1.3785	-4.67%	0.1472	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3612	-1.29%	1.387	+0.58%	0.1381	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3674	-1.13%	1.388	+0.36%	0.1556	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3572	-1.40%	1.495	+8.61%	0.0838	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.3103	-1.33%	1.506	+13.40%	0.0297	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2873	-1.32%	1.5215	+16.63%	0.0140	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2967	-1.39%	1.4405	+9.54%	0.0067	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2837	-1.33%	1.446	+11.15%	0.0460	✗	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3282	-1.14%	1.379	+2.64%	0.0229	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3558	-1.25%	1.383	+0.73%	0.0132	✗	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3166	-1.23%	1.3765	+3.26%	0.0693	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3883	-1.23%	1.328	-5.51%	0.0210	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2951	-1.25%	1.3045	-0.53%	0.0314	✗	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3471	-1.24%	1.315	-3.59%	0.0133	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4392	-1.39%	1.301	-10.86%	0.0856	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4892	-1.54%	1.3435	-11.17%	0.0963	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5128	-1.73%	1.373	-10.82%	0.1027	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6871	-2.48%	1.333	-22.95%	0.2530	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4306	-1.74%	1.4055	-3.47%	0.0424	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3918	-1.71%	1.3115	-7.38%	0.0832	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4116	-1.66%	1.364	-4.98%	0.0291	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3466	-1.60%	1.4595	+6.65%	0.0731	✗	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3127	-1.60%	1.5125	+13.38%	0.1395	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2453	-1.29%	1.5395	+22.04%	0.2145	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3034	-1.26%	1.73	+31.06%	0.3013	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2637	-1.16%	1.456	+13.88%	0.1569	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1459	-0.88%	1.416	+22.49%	0.2238	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1494	-0.78%	1.4355	+23.91%	0.2253	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2298	-0.79%	1.3685	+10.41%	0.1272	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1964	-0.75%	1.334	+10.66%	0.1335	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1958	-0.84%	1.2615	+4.60%	0.0691	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2682	-0.96%	1.32	+3.08%	0.0330	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3103	-1.00%	1.2785	-3.40%	0.0190	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3538	-0.97%	1.156	-15.44%	0.1601	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3773	-1.02%	1.1585	-16.74%	0.1867	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4638	-1.20%	1.2395	-16.33%	0.1799	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3907	-0.99%	1.2055	-14.17%	0.1583	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.388	-0.86%	1.206	-13.86%	0.1730	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4146	-0.87%	1.2805	-10.27%	0.1099	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4384	-0.83%	1.3235	-8.76%	0.0938	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4735	-0.87%	1.367	-8.04%	0.0726	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5222	-0.97%	1.3915	-9.47%	0.0962	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5035	-0.66%	1.4815	-2.11%	0.0401	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5456	-0.70%	1.4045	-9.77%	0.1127	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6069	-0.78%	1.4	-13.55%	0.1199	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5891	-0.74%	1.427	-10.87%	0.1092	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6428	-0.80%	1.4505	-12.41%	0.1317	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6673	-0.73%	1.4865	-11.49%	0.1318	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7169	-0.78%	1.537	-11.18%	0.1293	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7401	-0.74%	1.5135	-13.66%	0.1658	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7141	-0.49%	1.5565	-9.64%	0.1527	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5619	-0.17%	1.6195	+3.52%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.613	-0.25%	1.601	-0.99%	0.0619	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6074	-0.22%	1.656	+2.79%	0.0118	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6862	-0.34%	1.6795	-0.74%	0.0374	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7	-0.29%	1.7305	+1.50%	0.0061	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6998	-0.36%	1.753	+2.75%	0.0456	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8006	-0.69%	1.7225	-4.99%	0.0115	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8847	-0.91%	1.5645	-17.74%	0.1370	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8837	-0.88%	1.617	-14.92%	0.1034	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8708	-0.96%	1.611	-14.72%	0.0925	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9078	-0.92%	1.692	-12.13%	0.0732	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9784	-1.03%	1.705	-14.71%	0.1052	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9987	-1.15%	1.706	-15.63%	0.1118	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0369	-1.33%	1.813	-12.18%	0.0770	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0611	-1.29%	1.902	-8.91%	0.0475	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.1064	-1.27%	1.9005	-10.92%	0.0682	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.1374	-1.23%	1.889	-12.71%	0.1204	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	2.0051	-0.84%	1.9255	-4.77%	0.0396	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0204	-0.81%	1.999	-1.87%	0.0005	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9941	-0.37%	2.022	+1.02%	0.0315	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.051	-0.36%	2.0645	+0.29%	0.0523	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.1755	-0.80%	2.088	-4.79%	0.0873	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1995	-0.74%	2.1335	-3.72%	0.0646	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.0371	+0.55%	2.164	+6.81%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1821	+0.14%	2.022	-7.21%	0.1081	✗	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1965	-0.21%	2.037	-7.45%	0.0722	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.2012	-0.08%	2.0015	-9.15%	0.0599	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.237	-0.58%	2.0585	-8.51%	0.0146	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.4262	-1.73%	2.193	-11.18%	0.0027	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.3061	-1.34%	2.216	-5.20%	0.0977	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.3225	-1.42%	2.026	-14.01%	0.0335	✗	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.4057	-1.69%	2.179	-10.95%	0.0667	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2999	-1.29%	2.201	-5.54%	0.0842	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5367	-2.12%	2.203	-14.99%	0.0147	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6389	-2.51%	2.25	-16.88%	0.0524	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.867	-3.16%	2.469	-16.60%	0.0814	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6766	-2.85%	2.3375	-15.15%	0.0962	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8411	-3.56%	2.356	-20.03%	0.1534	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8467	-3.14%	2.447	-16.74%	0.1267	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.2292	-4.19%	2.33	-30.87%	0.2834	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.4537	-5.00%	2.5915	-28.72%	0.2538	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1897	-4.77%	2.707	-19.18%	0.1544	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.743	-3.09%	2.9605	+4.59%	0.0731	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.6005	-2.15%	2.755	+3.67%	0.0623	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5635	-1.93%	2.946	+12.70%	0.1547	✗	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3631	-1.15%	2.939	+22.94%	0.2591	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4999	-1.71%	3.3705	+32.51%	0.3375	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4764	-1.89%	3.6355	+44.04%	0.4042	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.2102	-0.17%	3.3495	+51.29%	0.4606	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3125	-0.32%	2.8305	+22.00%	0.2586	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4236	-0.39%	2.6575	+9.23%	0.1473	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3387	-0.06%	2.614	+11.71%	0.1407	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3958	-0.34%	2.3905	-0.56%	0.0105	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1938	+0.52%	2.5435	+16.54%	0.1363	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1325	+1.00%	2.524	+19.54%	0.1916	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1419	+0.96%	2.214	+4.36%	0.0371	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1316	+0.79%	2.32	+9.69%	0.0672	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1494	+0.53%	2.433	+13.80%	0.0899	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1576	+0.45%	2.34	+8.94%	0.0626	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1805	+0.30%	2.404	+10.58%	0.0790	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2521	-0.33%	2.1825	-3.41%	0.0678	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2591	-0.44%	2.1115	-6.94%	0.1234	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2541	-0.35%	2.1215	-6.21%	0.1052	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2696	-0.04%	2.115	-6.85%	0.0947	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3667	+0.03%	2.138	-9.64%	0.1005	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.352	-0.09%	2.148	-8.75%	0.1009	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4543	-0.07%	2.174	-11.48%	0.1290	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5968	-0.07%	2.2595	-13.05%	0.1194	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7679	-0.47%	2.269	-18.41%	0.1741	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5697	-0.61%	2.262	-12.51%	0.1272	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4625	-0.52%	2.2705	-8.28%	0.0959	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3761	-0.70%	2.366	-1.13%	0.0512	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4326	-0.49%	2.354	-3.70%	0.0514	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2912	+0.14%	2.456	+7.34%	0.0659	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3074	-0.33%	2.5985	+12.25%	0.0877	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1918	-0.12%	2.781	+26.73%	0.2046	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1528	-0.15%	2.5855	+19.92%	0.1612	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2373	-0.19%	2.4755	+10.44%	0.0868	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2195	-0.67%	2.393	+7.09%	0.0419	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3031	-0.62%	2.4445	+5.48%	0.0317	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2639	-0.62%	2.288	+0.44%	0.0326	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3767	-0.91%	2.315	-3.48%	0.0630	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.303	-0.71%	2.1945	-5.39%	0.0892	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3671	-0.85%	2.156	-9.70%	0.1181	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2903	-1.11%	2.2415	-3.22%	0.0829	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3427	-1.13%	2.2345	-5.70%	0.0670	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.317	-1.22%	2.3175	-1.19%	0.0670	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3602	-1.29%	2.278	-4.73%	0.1059	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.388	-0.97%	2.3985	-0.54%	0.0532	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4772	-1.07%	2.3195	-7.37%	0.1005	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5742	-1.22%	2.3875	-8.38%	0.1184	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5775	-1.11%	2.316	-11.15%	0.1327	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.6014	-1.14%	2.3695	-9.96%	0.1306	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6418	-1.17%	2.3455	-12.25%	0.1309	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5783	-1.03%	2.391	-8.21%	0.0829	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7814	-1.32%	2.4115	-14.44%	0.1202	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8065	-1.25%	2.504	-11.89%	0.0765	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7828	-1.25%	2.606	-7.52%	0.0383	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7026	-1.13%	2.6065	-4.65%	0.0134	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5925	-1.07%	2.6315	+0.42%	0.0380	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6242	-1.10%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0498	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6625	-1.08%	2.605	-3.21%	0.0278	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6998	-1.14%	2.8185	+3.20%	0.0566	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8021	-1.23%	2.842	+0.18%	0.0135	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1017	-1.55%	2.818	-10.55%	0.0577	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.95	-1.07%	2.7335	-8.33%	0.0306	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7548	-0.87%	2.6205	-5.70%	0.0071	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7105	-0.86%	2.6535	-2.94%	0.0055	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6338	-0.80%	2.6915	+1.37%	0.0268	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5813	-0.72%	2.731	+5.04%	0.0634	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5544	-0.57%	2.837	+10.43%	0.0931	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.515	-0.46%	3.1505	+24.70%	0.1810	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5259	-0.46%	2.982	+17.52%	0.0932	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5518	-0.24%	2.779	+8.64%	0.0027	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.4987	-0.27%	2.734	+9.12%	0.0416	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5905	-0.42%	2.655	+2.06%	0.0096	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7195	-0.75%	2.6	-5.11%	0.0408	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8448	-0.98%	2.569	-10.58%	0.0733	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6784	-0.58%	2.5265	-6.22%	0.0775	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6429	-0.51%	2.5375	-4.48%	0.0360	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6159	-0.17%	2.558	-2.39%	0.0250	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7162	-0.52%	2.5055	-8.24%	0.0845	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6828	-0.32%	2.6015	-3.34%	0.0598	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6446	-0.33%	2.74	+3.26%	0.0077	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6243	-0.26%	2.873	+9.20%	0.0319	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4207	+0.63%	2.694	+11.99%	0.0530	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6087	+0.14%	2.6565	+1.98%	0.0336	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7314	-0.30%	2.6205	-4.34%	0.0188	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6608	-0.16%	2.7305	+2.46%	0.0378	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6521	-0.15%	2.6915	+1.34%	0.0405	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6167	+0.12%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0077	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7182	+0.04%	2.631	-3.17%	0.0518	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9125	-0.22%	2.4055	-17.59%	0.1502	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9189	-0.28%	2.605	-11.00%	0.0629	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9593	-0.24%	2.7395	-7.65%	0.0634	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0878	-0.30%	2.665	-13.95%	0.1260	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9123	+0.18%	2.656	-8.63%	0.0826	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8372	+0.83%	2.6135	-7.13%	0.0910	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	3.0023	+0.31%	2.717	-9.22%	0.0931	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0695	+0.05%	2.919	-4.86%	0.0358	✗	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0766	+0.17%	2.927	-4.70%	0.0366	✗	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2551	+0.00%	2.9665	-8.86%	0.0766	✗	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.4251	+0.05%	3.097	-9.54%	0.1066	✗	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3391	+0.24%	2.907	-12.73%	0.1183	✗	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.1275	+1.74%	2.814	-8.46%	0.1504	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.3574	+0.34%	2.993	-10.55%	0.0165	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.369	+0.27%	3.068	-8.69%	0.0144	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.458	+0.13%	3.0715	-11.06%	0.0149	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.4465	+0.51%	3.255	-5.07%	0.0509	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5571	+0.29%	3.4235	-3.48%	0.1170	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.7387	-0.33%	3.331	-11.20%	0.1076	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.9013	-0.58%	3.074	-21.66%	0.1413	✗	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0186	-0.69%	3.346	-17.31%	0.0812	✗	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1883	-0.83%	3.36	-20.45%	0.0017	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1709	-0.67%	3.4535	-17.75%	0.0379	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9892	-0.46%	3.429	-14.44%	0.0028	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1827	-0.67%	3.547	-15.77%	0.0037	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1513	-0.76%	3.751	-10.33%	0.0210	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.3003	-0.73%	3.924	-9.42%	0.0178	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5467	-1.00%	4.0465	-11.89%	0.1136	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4734	-1.03%	4.2235	-6.56%	0.0691	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5674	-1.04%	4.199	-9.02%	0.0207	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8401	-1.22%	4.0075	-18.21%	0.0853	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.9104	-1.26%	4.211	-15.32%	0.0682	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9117	-1.28%	4.183	-15.93%	0.0753	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0333	-1.41%	4.332	-15.15%	0.0636	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.34	-1.59%	4.5925	-15.37%	0.0446	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.3688	-1.76%	4.52	-17.29%	0.0722	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.1168	-1.87%	4.6155	-11.49%	0.1225	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.4035	-2.63%	4.9	-11.70%	0.1371	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9536	-2.47%	4.973	-2.09%	0.0622	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.1092	-2.08%	4.9755	-4.64%	0.0989	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8663	-2.32%	5.1055	+2.48%	0.0157	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9449	-2.50%	5.4265	+6.99%	0.0050	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.9485	-2.51%	5.465	+7.66%	0.0703	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.0851	-2.55%	5.2145	-0.07%	0.0728	✗	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.639	-2.28%	5.5495	+16.91%	0.1901	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6358	-1.99%	5.079	+7.38%	0.0953	✗	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.7254	-2.13%	5.2175	+8.07%	0.0891	✗	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.6265	-2.23%	4.982	+5.28%	0.0330	✗	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.4995	-1.53%	5.072	+11.00%	0.0523	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.5668	-1.63%	5.076	+9.34%	0.0127	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.5945	-1.52%	5.218	+11.84%	0.0082	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.7219	-1.63%	4.747	-1.10%	0.0589	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8949	-2.13%	4.73	-5.43%	0.0832	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.5101	-1.37%	4.828	+5.58%	0.0219	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.7054	-1.72%	4.732	-1.16%	0.0218	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8784	-1.58%	4.5695	-7.82%	0.0635	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7457	-1.53%	4.6425	-3.67%	0.0390	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7571	-1.63%	4.6655	-3.53%	0.0060	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.7448	-1.58%	4.8	-0.44%	0.0249	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.805	-1.58%	5.0015	+2.45%	0.0492	✗	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.8366	-1.45%	4.573	-6.82%	0.0419	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.4683	-0.91%	4.7875	+6.16%	0.0388	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.5426	-1.06%	4.957	+7.96%	0.0628	✗	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.771	-1.19%	4.8195	-0.19%	0.0175	✗	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.808	-1.31%	4.836	-0.74%	0.0316	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.9891	-1.13%	4.821	-4.46%	0.0423	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1694	-1.33%	4.882	-6.81%	0.0244	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.2219	-1.39%	4.9075	-7.33%	0.0249	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.397	-1.64%	4.5095	-17.81%	0.0585	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.5478	-1.84%	4.5915	-18.76%	0.0890	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.6619	-1.55%	4.8285	-16.04%	0.0773	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.4225	-1.26%	4.872	-11.28%	0.0344	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.4443	-1.32%	5.046	-8.54%	0.0381	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.5245	-1.15%	5.239	-6.26%	0.0698	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.4697	-1.08%	5.2955	-4.23%	0.0482	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.6758	-1.32%	5.487	-4.61%	0.0413	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.8089	-1.39%	5.652	-4.06%	0.0040	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.0206	-1.29%	5.751	-5.71%	0.0693	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.4862	-0.33%	5.4915	-0.24%	0.0752	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.8561	-0.73%	5.517	-6.48%	0.0602	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.9273	-0.71%	5.589	-6.37%	0.0324	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.8533	-0.56%	5.5295	-6.06%	0.0306	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.9291	-0.56%	5.752	-3.53%	0.0432	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.0697	-0.57%	5.891	-3.50%	0.0771	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.0871	-0.32%	6.0995	-0.11%	0.0654	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.2366	-0.36%	5.5045	-12.05%	0.0905	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.2279	-0.15%	5.899	-5.42%	0.1163	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.2513	+0.07%	5.9695	-4.44%	0.1573	✗	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.4275	-0.14%	5.8865	-8.55%	0.1930	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.7623	-0.42%	5.9625	-12.19%	0.2100	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.8855	-0.96%	6.1045	-12.20%	0.1026	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.1264	-1.25%	6.1065	-15.38%	0.0535	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.1703	-1.28%	6.259	-13.83%	0.0666	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.3716	-1.45%	6.237	-16.62%	0.0358	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.5763	-1.72%	6.247	-18.96%	0.0011	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.7752	-1.83%	6.4365	-18.74%	0.0180	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.7814	-2.03%	6.7905	-14.50%	0.1094	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.8307	-2.39%	6.9525	-13.34%	0.0672	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.891	-1.90%	7.2165	-10.29%	0.0880	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.4802	-2.36%	7.2635	-16.37%	0.0802	✗	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.9963	-3.37%	7.48	-19.66%	0.0024	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.6436	-1.70%	7.709	-0.86%	0.1193	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	8.0374	-2.72%	7.9205	-4.13%	0.1270	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.3202	-0.59%	7.9425	+24.93%	0.2527	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9622	-0.41%	8.0225	+34.01%	0.3297	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7948	-0.11%	8.044	+38.65%	0.3050	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.316	-0.55%	8.6855	+36.76%	0.3267	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7711	-0.93%	9.31	+36.22%	0.3991	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7338	-0.94%	7.776	+14.39%	0.2534	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2866	-0.74%	8.262	+30.45%	0.3607	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3941	-0.68%	6.3575	-1.25%	0.0942	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.7377	-0.81%	5.9865	-11.87%	0.0339	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.722	-0.58%	5.8015	-14.19%	0.0129	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9332	-0.66%	6.351	-9.00%	0.0144	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8086	-0.58%	6.8345	-0.20%	0.0572	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5486	-0.45%	6.798	+3.34%	0.0594	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.7134	-0.54%	6.3335	-6.16%	0.0377	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.8542	-0.64%	6.438	-6.67%	0.0373	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.8273	-0.51%	6.7925	-1.02%	0.0399	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9542	-0.36%	6.761	-3.12%	0.0919	✓	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.1589	-0.40%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0747	✓	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.2263	-0.36%	6.848	-5.58%	0.1353	✓	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0813	-0.25%	6.5785	-7.33%	0.1366	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.1162	-0.21%	6.7495	-5.36%	0.1178	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.4735	-0.43%	6.898	-8.10%	0.1070	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4642	-0.48%	6.8625	-8.51%	0.0388	✓	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5625	-0.41%	6.979	-8.10%	0.0144	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7618	-0.46%	7.1875	-7.83%	0.0114	✓	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7566	-0.54%	7.2525	-7.01%	0.0212	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0545	-0.24%	7.099	+0.39%	0.0542	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.5207	+0.11%	7.1315	+9.49%	0.1841	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.6346	-0.53%	7.506	-13.53%	0.0215	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8605	-0.51%	7.5005	-15.78%	0.0560	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.7087	-0.48%	7.594	-13.22%	0.0687	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9191	-0.37%	7.798	-12.89%	0.0545	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.5904	-0.34%	7.799	-9.52%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.5023	-0.47%	7.0715	-17.22%	0.0839	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.6828	-0.50%	6.5135	-25.36%	0.2081	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7389	-0.55%	8.6805	-1.21%	0.0158	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.5803	-0.64%	8.906	+3.13%	0.0022	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1432	-0.65%	8.751	+6.77%	0.0105	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3855	-0.82%	8.952	+5.88%	0.0231	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.6125	-0.98%	8.6195	-0.90%	0.1032	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.4753	-1.05%	8.5425	-0.26%	0.1117	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.6569	-1.15%	8.7265	-0.35%	0.1101	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.4341	-1.16%	8.787	+2.98%	0.0679	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.9573	-1.37%	8.6355	-4.92%	0.0843	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.9218	-1.53%	8.1965	-9.54%	0.1038	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.9703	-1.61%	8.4545	-7.27%	0.0740	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.4654	-1.69%	8.698	-9.66%	0.0571	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.3635	-1.77%	8.565	-10.14%	0.0338	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.418	-1.85%	8.7575	-8.74%	0.0167	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.6831	-1.83%	8.533	-13.49%	0.0505	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.6442	-1.76%	9.082	-7.49%	0.0313	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.