XCH

Chia · native · gru_s3

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

79.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1416

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0211

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4318	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4712	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5104	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5125	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5335	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5317	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5262	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5013	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5484	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.501	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5075	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5029	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4403	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.3985	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.425	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.4998	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5082	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5105	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.4916	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4531	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5052	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5192	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.4988	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.4749	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.4996	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5542	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5548	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.547	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.4882	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5652	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6488	-4.20%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.0802	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4849	-3.55%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0062	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4886	-3.05%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0476	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4686	-2.39%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0593	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3901	-2.21%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1121	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3614	-1.38%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1303	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3504	-1.21%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1287	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4494	-1.47%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0662	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.454	-1.69%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.0822	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4743	-1.32%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0497	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4725	-1.11%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0446	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4801	-0.86%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0395	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5531	-1.11%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0421	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5983	-1.25%	1.469	-9.24%	0.1007	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.634	-0.67%	1.495	-9.12%	0.1098	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5223	+1.93%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0022	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4895	+2.76%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0255	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.464	+3.39%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0320	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4997	+4.07%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0239	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4575	+2.71%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0003	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4937	+3.16%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0158	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4781	+3.84%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0593	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4828	+4.94%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0232	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4777	+6.81%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0143	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4958	+6.88%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0056	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.5383	+9.02%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0390	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4864	+7.83%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.0695	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4909	+7.49%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0444	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.51	+8.79%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0198	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5849	+6.02%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0467	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.6121	+7.05%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0171	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6826	+10.59%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.1139	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.5217	+5.64%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0633	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4539	+0.55%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0917	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3423	-2.66%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0768	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.355	-2.03%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1211	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3265	-3.63%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1268	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2807	-3.56%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0425	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2575	-3.60%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0026	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2659	-3.73%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0088	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2554	-3.50%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0087	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3077	-2.66%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0199	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3332	-2.90%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0109	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2966	-2.73%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0721	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3681	-2.66%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0276	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2806	-2.36%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0184	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3324	-2.32%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0927	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4183	-2.82%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1749	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4604	-3.44%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2076	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4751	-4.19%	1.419	-7.83%	0.2010	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6209	-6.31%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2765	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3917	-4.41%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1426	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3556	-4.26%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1142	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3881	-3.30%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1437	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3251	-3.17%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0779	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2968	-2.79%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0685	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.231	-2.42%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0285	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2966	-1.77%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0491	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.259	-1.53%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0321	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1469	-0.79%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1469	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1571	-0.12%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1598	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2432	+0.30%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.0999	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2062	+0.06%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1215	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1984	-0.63%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1475	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.265	-1.21%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0863	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3059	-1.33%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0609	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.348	-1.39%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0332	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3679	-1.69%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0214	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4501	-2.12%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0881	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3888	-1.11%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0385	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3778	-1.58%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0702	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4096	-1.22%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0457	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4315	-1.31%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0432	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.468	-1.24%	1.333	-10.33%	0.1039	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5125	-1.60%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0920	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5035	-0.66%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1638	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5488	-0.49%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1368	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.609	-0.65%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.1036	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5911	-0.62%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0555	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6438	-0.74%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0696	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6705	-0.53%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0246	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7157	-0.86%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1782	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7322	-1.19%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2345	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7076	-0.87%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2455	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5605	-0.25%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1800	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6026	-0.89%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2412	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6087	-0.15%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2924	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6836	-0.49%	1.32	-21.99%	0.3125	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6921	-0.76%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3406	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6954	-0.62%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4262	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7896	-1.29%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4658	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8657	-1.91%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4354	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8586	-2.21%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4736	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8406	-2.56%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4354	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8743	-2.66%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3966	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9383	-3.04%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4068	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.956	-3.26%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3510	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	1.9861	-3.80%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3315	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0137	-3.56%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2850	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0546	-3.70%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3705	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.078	-3.97%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3622	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9531	-3.41%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3168	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9614	-3.71%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3048	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9297	-3.59%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3016	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9855	-3.55%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2787	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.0949	-4.47%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3128	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1093	-4.81%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3042	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9474	-3.88%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2255	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0669	-5.14%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2879	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0812	-5.44%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2191	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0761	-5.76%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1916	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1038	-6.50%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1239	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.2933	-7.12%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1224	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2087	-5.51%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0392	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2199	-5.78%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1698	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.2867	-6.55%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1576	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.1919	-5.93%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1231	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.3973	-7.49%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1668	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.484	-8.24%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1777	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.6705	-9.79%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2469	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5	-9.26%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1425	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.6237	-10.94%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1617	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.6296	-10.53%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.1689	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	2.9411	-12.74%	1.889	-43.95%	0.2912	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.1197	-14.19%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3225	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	2.9044	-13.29%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2174	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.5563	-9.69%	2.022	-28.56%	0.0887	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.4608	-7.40%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0390	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.4328	-6.93%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0161	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.2826	-4.51%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0945	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4174	-4.96%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0890	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.393	-5.19%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0253	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.2255	+0.52%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1357	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3491	+1.26%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1067	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4253	-0.32%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.0999	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3577	+0.76%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1523	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.4075	+0.15%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1295	✓	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.2424	+2.75%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1376	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.2209	+5.18%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2299	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.2343	+5.32%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1665	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1859	+3.35%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1736	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1885	+2.36%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1511	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.2028	+2.55%	2.469	+14.94%	0.1878	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.2202	+2.12%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.0978	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.254	-0.24%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0702	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2539	-0.67%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1069	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2604	-0.07%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0589	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.3035	+1.45%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1485	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.4112	+1.91%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1437	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3987	+1.90%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2144	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5183	+2.54%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0947	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.674	+2.90%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1131	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8302	+1.77%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0656	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6419	+2.18%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2318	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5377	+2.51%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3437	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4291	+1.51%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.2925	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.5162	+2.93%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1059	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.4123	+5.43%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.0938	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.4137	+4.26%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0504	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2663	+3.27%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0117	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.2239	+3.15%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0665	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.315	+3.28%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0386	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.243	+0.38%	2.214	-0.92%	0.1145	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3597	+1.82%	2.32	+0.11%	0.1044	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2962	+0.80%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0359	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3885	-0.42%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1138	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3241	+0.20%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0620	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.381	-0.27%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1717	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2669	-2.12%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2029	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3239	-1.92%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2161	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2796	-2.81%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2142	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3069	-3.52%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2063	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3547	-2.35%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2239	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4472	-2.27%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2310	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5344	-2.75%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2065	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5321	-2.85%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2140	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5374	-3.58%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2350	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.5763	-3.62%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2533	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5218	-3.19%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2037	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.722	-3.42%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2440	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.7704	-2.52%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1885	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7373	-2.86%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1376	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6669	-2.44%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0393	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5469	-2.81%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0814	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5915	-2.34%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1244	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6362	-2.05%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1345	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6602	-2.59%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1502	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7651	-2.53%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2559	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0582	-2.93%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2918	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9505	-1.06%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2955	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7603	-0.67%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2619	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7079	-0.95%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2247	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6328	-0.84%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1619	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5856	-0.55%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1381	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5666	-0.09%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1507	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5364	+0.39%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0767	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5378	+0.01%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1207	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5552	-0.11%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1398	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5064	+0.04%	2.316	-7.56%	0.0987	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5963	-0.20%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.1024	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7211	-0.69%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1052	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8512	-0.76%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1081	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6827	-0.42%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0893	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6453	-0.42%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0465	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6144	-0.23%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0347	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7166	-0.51%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0384	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.669	-0.84%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0154	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6422	-0.42%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0269	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6282	-0.11%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0126	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4269	+0.89%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0903	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6012	-0.14%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0079	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7358	-0.14%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.669	+0.15%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0105	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6583	+0.09%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0127	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.625	+0.44%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0123	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7071	-0.36%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0548	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.8873	-1.09%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0840	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.8885	-1.32%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0453	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9226	-1.48%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0174	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0392	-1.87%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0753	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8611	-1.58%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0737	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.777	-1.32%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0723	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9259	-2.24%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1393	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	2.9899	-2.54%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1581	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	2.9973	-2.42%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1553	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1496	-3.24%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2170	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.2933	-3.80%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2518	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2206	-3.31%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1753	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	2.9977	-2.48%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2375	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.2325	-3.39%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1373	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2596	-2.99%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0996	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3509	-2.97%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0623	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3234	-3.08%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0682	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.4192	-3.60%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0898	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6182	-3.54%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0110	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7687	-3.96%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0249	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9449	-2.51%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0180	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1041	-2.83%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0648	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0986	-2.39%	2.631	-37.34%	0.1011	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9005	-2.67%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0917	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1116	-2.36%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0413	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0707	-2.68%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0317	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2331	-2.28%	2.665	-38.48%	0.1062	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4511	-3.08%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1628	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3646	-3.44%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1598	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5024	-2.45%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0641	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.7602	-2.85%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0571	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.8319	-2.84%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0796	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8308	-2.91%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0584	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.9398	-3.24%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0560	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.2201	-3.80%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1386	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.2155	-4.57%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1439	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9253	-5.55%	2.993	-42.60%	0.0974	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.1258	-7.64%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1480	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.7303	-6.86%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1032	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	4.8887	-6.30%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0654	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.6567	-6.53%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0486	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.7207	-6.93%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0701	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.7428	-6.56%	3.074	-39.44%	0.2266	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	4.8658	-6.75%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0394	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.4657	-5.93%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0187	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.498	-4.91%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0373	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.5793	-5.15%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0361	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.4918	-5.08%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0417	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.3854	-4.03%	3.751	-17.91%	0.0933	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.4424	-4.31%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0526	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.4755	-4.07%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1378	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.5955	-4.26%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1067	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.743	-5.17%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1297	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.409	-3.59%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0825	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.575	-4.44%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1164	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7396	-4.39%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1575	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.6098	-4.35%	4.332	-10.12%	0.0976	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.616	-4.55%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0191	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6016	-4.55%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0122	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.6498	-4.76%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0800	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.6981	-4.27%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0525	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3637	-3.23%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0320	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.429	-3.54%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0394	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6568	-3.56%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0358	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6853	-3.83%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0290	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.8734	-3.42%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0046	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.0381	-3.84%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0188	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.0852	-3.97%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0774	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.2338	-4.62%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0060	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.3617	-5.14%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0017	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.4942	-4.47%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0702	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.2682	-4.07%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0484	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.2639	-4.59%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0911	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.3599	-4.10%	5.218	-6.64%	0.1034	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.3082	-4.00%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1479	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.4975	-4.43%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1253	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.6227	-4.55%	4.828	-18.04%	0.0941	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.8196	-4.59%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1622	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.3271	-3.22%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1750	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.6981	-3.41%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1711	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.7699	-3.34%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1488	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.6952	-3.25%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1194	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.772	-3.20%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0838	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.8883	-3.54%	4.573	-25.09%	0.2009	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.8849	-3.63%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.2037	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.0399	-3.50%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1863	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.0282	-3.35%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2348	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.0235	-3.58%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2906	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.1859	-3.89%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3144	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.5113	-4.11%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3200	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.6333	-4.59%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2400	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.8449	-5.15%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2812	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.8595	-5.56%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2936	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.0605	-5.61%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2679	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.2322	-6.18%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2336	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.3751	-6.89%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2668	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.4254	-6.51%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1766	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.4764	-6.81%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1357	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.585	-5.71%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1395	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.0942	-6.81%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1229	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.4591	-9.14%	5.751	-38.23%	0.1762	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.4141	-4.65%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1040	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.7316	-6.42%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1251	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.2435	-1.79%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0730	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.934	-0.88%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1575	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7681	-0.58%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1448	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.3103	-0.64%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1280	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7323	-1.50%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1852	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.675	-1.81%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1714	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2364	-1.53%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2301	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3438	-1.46%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.2018	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.6868	-1.56%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1518	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.7502	-0.16%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.1942	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.958	-0.30%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2162	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8515	+0.05%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2916	✓	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5593	-0.29%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3090	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.7011	-0.72%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3027	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.823	-1.09%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3139	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7903	-1.05%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3104	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9234	-0.80%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3297	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.149	-0.54%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2701	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.1811	-0.98%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2478	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.9998	-1.40%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2718	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.0232	-1.52%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2519	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3797	-1.68%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2339	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4054	-1.27%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3114	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5526	-0.55%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2467	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7612	-0.47%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2308	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7467	-0.67%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2090	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0469	-0.35%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2739	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.5798	+1.02%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4682	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.7481	+0.78%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0573	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.968	+0.70%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1012	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.8241	+0.84%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1540	✗	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	9.1119	+1.79%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2347	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.7729	+1.78%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.2168	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.6863	+1.68%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1740	✗	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.809	+0.95%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1525	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.8613	+0.85%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1724	✗	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.6545	+0.22%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2308	✗	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1751	-0.26%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1877	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3775	-0.91%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1703	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.5462	-1.75%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2411	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.3648	-2.34%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2239	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.5324	-2.57%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2668	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.292	-2.82%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2572	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.7949	-3.16%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2433	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.7065	-3.91%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2149	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.7584	-3.94%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1959	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.2336	-4.10%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2174	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.1301	-4.22%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1922	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.1576	-4.57%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1674	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.4295	-4.40%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1900	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.4201	-4.04%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1835	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.