TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1273
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0531
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.855142 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.870064 | -2.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.877336 | -2.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.820202 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.858028 | -2.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.863256 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0069 | -3.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.992303 | -3.66% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.976933 | -3.64% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0898 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.949361 | -3.84% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0407 | -4.24% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0809 | -4.91% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0086 | -4.60% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.984203 | -4.98% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0289 | -5.26% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0826 | -5.29% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0551 | -5.34% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1046 | -5.51% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1202 | -6.82% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.803039 | -4.51% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.81341 | -4.62% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2796 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.834126 | -5.01% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2672 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.945773 | -5.87% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0589 | -6.98% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0031 | -7.59% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1291 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.853903 | -5.35% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3382 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.776519 | -5.21% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 1.00 |