TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0654
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0152
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.869642 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.885387 | -0.66% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0124 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.893446 | -0.72% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0008 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.833086 | -0.54% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0767 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.87413 | -0.66% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0412 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.88089 | -0.68% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0014 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0331 | -0.98% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0193 | -1.04% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0034 | -1.02% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.976936 | -1.04% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0731 | -1.25% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1181 | -1.64% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0433 | -1.31% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0814 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0217 | -1.37% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0699 | -1.48% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1247 | -1.62% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0961 | -1.66% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1473 | -1.86% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1677 | -2.87% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.830433 | -1.25% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3672 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.84205 | -1.26% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.866191 | -1.36% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.985162 | -1.94% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1062 | -2.82% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.0984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0458 | -3.66% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0968 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.88334 | -2.09% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2055 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.79991 | -2.35% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1165 | ✗ | 1.00 |