TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +7d
assessed
42
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
40.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4121
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0075
actual -0.3422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00942 | 0.009329 | -0.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009105 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009103 | -0.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008878 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008343 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007983 | -0.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007962 | +0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008678 | -0.13% | 0.00942 | +8.40% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010249 | -1.22% | 0.00918 | -11.52% | 0.1040 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010298 | -1.08% | 0.00918 | -11.82% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012238 | -2.80% | 0.008945 | -28.95% | 0.2520 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.01088 | -1.50% | 0.008375 | -24.17% | 0.2064 | ✓ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010532 | -0.97% | 0.007985 | -24.92% | 0.2392 | ✓ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010614 | -0.67% | 0.00795 | -25.60% | 0.3044 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012117 | -2.04% | 0.00869 | -29.75% | 0.2722 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012352 | -2.24% | 0.010375 | -17.89% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.013814 | -3.43% | 0.01041 | -27.23% | 0.1343 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.014732 | -5.80% | 0.01259 | -19.50% | 0.0539 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011553 | -0.19% | 0.011045 | -4.58% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011262 | +0.55% | 0.010635 | -5.04% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.014633 | -4.67% | 0.010685 | -30.39% | 0.2143 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.009101 | +3.65% | 0.01237 | +40.89% | 0.3140 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.009242 | +4.02% | 0.012635 | +42.21% | 0.2648 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.009187 | +4.34% | 0.014305 | +62.46% | 0.3851 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.011191 | +3.81% | 0.01564 | +45.08% | 0.2859 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012561 | +3.34% | 0.011575 | -4.77% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.012163 | +3.73% | 0.0112 | -4.48% | 0.0923 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015983 | +1.74% | 0.01535 | -2.29% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.01877 | +0.48% | 0.00878 | -53.00% | 0.7500 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.021018 | -0.44% | 0.008885 | -57.91% | 0.8308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.020892 | +0.06% | 0.008805 | -57.83% | 0.8271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021393 | +0.82% | 0.01078 | -49.20% | 0.7253 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.02081 | +1.61% | 0.012155 | -40.65% | 0.5761 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.021456 | +2.08% | 0.011725 | -44.22% | 0.6433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022738 | +2.26% | 0.01571 | -29.35% | 0.4698 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.024324 | +2.24% | 0.01868 | -21.48% | 0.3667 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.027214 | +1.83% | 0.02111 | -21.01% | 0.3854 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.033025 | +0.82% | 0.02088 | -36.25% | 0.5608 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.030088 | +1.75% | 0.02122 | -28.24% | 0.4044 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.033613 | +1.73% | 0.02048 | -38.01% | 0.5456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.030623 | +2.08% | 0.02102 | -29.93% | 0.4227 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.031451 | +1.97% | 0.022235 | -27.91% | 0.3443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.037246 | +2.68% | 0.02379 | -34.42% | 0.4206 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.049281 | +3.03% | 0.026725 | -44.13% | 0.5748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.057224 | +3.06% | 0.032755 | -41.01% | 0.5463 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.080347 | +2.07% | 0.02957 | -62.43% | 0.9545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.096146 | +1.35% | 0.03304 | -65.17% | 1.0354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.096204 | +1.59% | 0.03 | -68.32% | 1.1338 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.11605 | +1.36% | 0.030845 | -73.06% | 1.2651 | ✗ | 1.00 |