TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

63.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1038

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0184

actual -0.0500

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.01012	0.010028	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	3.22
2026-10-21	oos	0.00992	0.009839	-0.82%	0.01012	+2.02%	0.0208	✗	3.21
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009122	-0.63%	0.00992	+8.06%	0.0428	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009127	-0.57%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0363	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008894	-0.57%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0382	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008332	-0.52%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0471	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007942	-0.53%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0576	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007906	-0.55%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0342	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008642	-0.56%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1052	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010288	-0.84%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1104	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010328	-0.78%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0471	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.01241	-1.43%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1045	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010938	-0.97%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1133	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010547	-0.83%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0331	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010608	-0.72%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0279	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012226	-1.16%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0790	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012468	-1.32%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0758	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014035	-1.89%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.0975	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015193	-2.86%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0329	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011479	-0.83%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2528	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011116	-0.75%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0328	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014996	-2.31%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2811	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008623	-1.78%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5441	✗	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008683	-2.28%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0132	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008544	-2.96%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0345	✗	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010547	-2.16%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1561	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.011902	-2.08%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1001	✓	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011382	-2.93%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0580	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015386	-2.06%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2650	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018293	-2.07%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1523	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020637	-2.24%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0783	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020376	-2.41%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.020753	-2.20%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.019962	-2.53%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.020459	-2.67%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.021688	-2.46%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023189	-2.53%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026099	-2.34%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1000	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032061	-2.12%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1483	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.028675	-3.03%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.032036	-3.04%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.028801	-4.00%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.1366	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.029518	-4.30%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.034815	-4.02%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.046252	-3.30%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2409	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.054002	-2.74%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1132	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.077714	-1.27%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3206	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094128	-0.78%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1852	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.093963	-0.78%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114143	-0.30%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1670	✓	1.00