SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +30d
assessed
68
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
57.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0653
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0089
actual -0.0494
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 736.8328 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 737.0487 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 728.3595 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 728.6539 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 719.2636 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 720.6853 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 731.3735 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 724.5252 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 741.2219 | -4.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 732.3786 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 744.7217 | -4.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 737.7895 | -5.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 735.9367 | -5.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 728.1424 | -6.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 738.817 | -5.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 755.8781 | -3.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 753.0684 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 754.5842 | -2.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 743.3341 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 743.1406 | -3.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 741.4146 | -3.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 730.3967 | -4.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 730.7113 | -4.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 729.1307 | -4.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 737.9672 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 737.7284 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 736.5054 | -4.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 734.4992 | -4.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 737.918 | -3.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 754.6339 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 759.2182 | -1.87% | 771.235 | -0.32% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 727.8482 | -4.65% | 771.485 | +1.07% | 0.0562 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 732.2893 | -3.99% | 768.255 | +0.73% | 0.0472 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 732.8942 | -3.95% | 767.73 | +0.62% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 728.0942 | -4.51% | 760.825 | -0.22% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 727.9782 | -3.96% | 762.325 | +0.57% | 0.0390 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 731.1569 | -3.62% | 771.365 | +1.68% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 740.6712 | -2.68% | 768.04 | +0.92% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 741.4948 | -2.44% | 778.575 | +2.44% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 751.4112 | -1.78% | 778.155 | +1.71% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 759.7742 | -0.68% | 780.995 | +2.09% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.0609 | -0.11% | 779.025 | +2.79% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 769.0115 | +0.77% | 779.035 | +2.08% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 773.4023 | +1.00% | 774.915 | +1.20% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 782.2736 | +1.72% | 777.815 | +1.14% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 789.0033 | +2.47% | 779.94 | +1.30% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 797.3168 | +3.37% | 775.085 | +0.49% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 801.098 | +4.06% | 770.915 | +0.14% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 814.2066 | +5.44% | 770.925 | -0.16% | 0.0585 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 800.4113 | +4.56% | 769.8 | +0.56% | 0.0466 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 801.8678 | +5.22% | 765.105 | +0.40% | 0.0549 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 812.6362 | +5.86% | 765.845 | -0.23% | 0.0643 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 812.4315 | +5.99% | 766.09 | -0.05% | 0.0647 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 832.2304 | +7.96% | 766.2 | -0.61% | 0.0877 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 846.2212 | +10.02% | 769.91 | +0.10% | 0.1009 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 864.2959 | +12.29% | 770.34 | +0.08% | 0.1192 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 861.5115 | +11.82% | 771.89 | +0.18% | 0.1150 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 857.4641 | +12.06% | 766.21 | +0.14% | 0.1184 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 870.3091 | +13.94% | 767.7 | +0.51% | 0.1309 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 870.3981 | +13.63% | 773.525 | +0.98% | 0.1268 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 865.1538 | +13.04% | 773.705 | +1.09% | 0.1217 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 877.5836 | +14.45% | 763.305 | -0.45% | 0.1425 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 807.4539 | +5.82% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0666 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 765.0927 | -0.68% | 763.025 | -0.94% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 728.6179 | -5.05% | 762.5 | -0.64% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 732.565 | -5.27% | 757.98 | -1.99% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 730.6261 | -6.05% | 758.605 | -2.45% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 730.9446 | -5.94% | 761.035 | -2.06% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 731.2846 | -5.83% | 760.005 | -2.13% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 736.3449 | -5.42% | 765.035 | -1.73% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 731.2717 | -5.39% | 764.985 | -1.03% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 730.9296 | -5.26% | 757.865 | -1.77% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 734.3801 | -5.01% | 763.135 | -1.29% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 736.0389 | -4.45% | 765.76 | -0.59% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 740.0263 | -4.37% | 769.03 | -0.62% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 739.5763 | -4.39% | 769.955 | -0.46% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 732.4932 | -4.85% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 735.4567 | -4.73% | 769.845 | -0.27% | 0.1640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 734.4722 | -5.06% | 772.18 | -0.19% | 0.1880 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 717.7816 | -5.44% | 765.52 | +0.85% | 0.1329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 709.5443 | -5.45% | 762.065 | +1.55% | 0.1265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 703.6269 | -5.57% | 767.635 | +3.02% | 0.1374 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 704.6177 | -5.48% | 766.5 | +2.82% | 0.1279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 711.8491 | -4.41% | 770.89 | +3.52% | 0.1099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 698.8977 | -4.76% | 769.17 | +4.82% | 0.1016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 706.7273 | -4.96% | 769.72 | +3.51% | 0.1436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 702.0833 | -5.12% | 770.475 | +4.13% | 0.1227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 712.0572 | -4.54% | 765.15 | +2.57% | 0.1119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 705.5184 | -4.96% | 763.8 | +2.89% | 0.1264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 702.5536 | -5.08% | 766.01 | +3.49% | 0.1066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 705.8176 | -4.61% | 765.34 | +3.43% | 0.0884 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 717.5043 | -4.02% | 766.75 | +2.57% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 721.6014 | -3.69% | 763.06 | +1.84% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 711.9667 | -4.22% | 770.3 | +3.63% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 711.6914 | -4.68% | 767.375 | +2.78% | 0.0753 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 710.0219 | -4.68% | 773.335 | +3.82% | 0.0904 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 707.3184 | -4.99% | 777.65 | +4.46% | 0.1115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 713.1118 | -5.01% | 777.08 | +3.52% | 0.0978 | ✗ | 1.00 |