SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
50.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0064
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0032
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 768.018 | -0.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 768.2519 | -0.42% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 764.2216 | -0.53% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 764.3767 | -0.44% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 757.4525 | -0.44% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 758.7728 | -0.47% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 767.8582 | -0.45% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 764.0513 | -0.52% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 775.1017 | -0.45% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 774.0627 | -0.53% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 777.5297 | -0.44% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 775.3327 | -0.47% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 775.3738 | -0.47% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 771.067 | -0.50% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 773.8245 | -0.51% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 776.7538 | -0.41% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 771.3565 | -0.48% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 768.2569 | -0.34% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 767.6134 | -0.43% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 766.5079 | -0.43% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 762.0977 | -0.39% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 762.2862 | -0.46% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 762.5105 | -0.47% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 762.4671 | -0.49% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 766.43 | -0.45% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 766.8446 | -0.45% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 768.2719 | -0.47% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 762.8535 | -0.44% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 764.492 | -0.42% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 770.7788 | -0.36% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 771.12 | -0.33% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 760.5163 | -0.37% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 757.1478 | -0.73% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 756.0653 | -0.91% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 761.785 | -0.09% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 757.8007 | -0.02% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 758.8573 | +0.03% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0019 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 761.4451 | +0.05% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 760.9923 | +0.13% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0018 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 766.3352 | +0.17% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 766.9433 | +0.26% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0026 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 760.1643 | +0.30% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 765.333 | +0.29% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 767.6372 | +0.25% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 771.1439 | +0.27% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 772.1802 | +0.29% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 773.6494 | +0.30% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 772.1679 | +0.30% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 774.6787 | +0.32% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 767.2552 | +0.23% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 763.6017 | +0.20% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 768.938 | +0.17% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 767.2912 | +0.10% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 771.7615 | +0.11% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 770.0308 | +0.11% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 770.7835 | +0.14% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 770.8071 | +0.04% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0027 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 765.2486 | +0.01% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 763.9327 | +0.02% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 765.5623 | -0.06% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 764.4203 | -0.12% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0013 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 766.013 | -0.10% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 761.0059 | -0.27% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 767.2183 | -0.40% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 763.4359 | -0.51% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 769.4025 | -0.51% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 773.7178 | -0.51% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 773.2406 | -0.49% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 772.7221 | -0.50% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 773.7059 | -0.62% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 768.5228 | -0.57% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 766.9285 | -0.60% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 767.8333 | -0.69% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 765.7934 | -0.59% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0134 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 768.6 | -0.68% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 768.1158 | -0.70% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 764.1888 | -0.74% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 767.2825 | -0.60% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 767.5082 | -0.79% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 752.4953 | -0.86% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 747.0831 | -0.45% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 740.9538 | -0.57% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 741.1969 | -0.58% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 740.8807 | -0.51% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 729.4771 | -0.59% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 739.1354 | -0.60% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 736.1017 | -0.52% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 742.5174 | -0.46% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 738.837 | -0.48% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 736.7453 | -0.46% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 736.674 | -0.44% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 744.3169 | -0.43% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 746.1166 | -0.42% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 738.6353 | -0.63% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 743.1465 | -0.47% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 741.5713 | -0.45% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 741.0122 | -0.46% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 747.0386 | -0.49% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 1.00 |