SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

168

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

70.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0580

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0108

actual -0.0125

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010336	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.01064	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010857	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010919	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011494	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011583	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.0118	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011603	-1.77%	0.010474	-11.33%	0.1156	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012532	-2.09%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1495	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012685	-2.35%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1424	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012633	-2.11%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1133	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012635	-2.20%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0609	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012615	-2.26%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0572	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012089	-2.08%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0115	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.01201	-1.96%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0027	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012365	-1.82%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0614	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012492	-1.91%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0834	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012566	-1.88%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0572	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012385	-2.08%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0624	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012442	-2.30%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0583	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011965	-2.16%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0664	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012199	-2.40%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0074	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012138	-2.43%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0158	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012325	-2.60%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013406	-3.00%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0681	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013429	-3.06%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0635	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013053	-3.12%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0293	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012534	-2.93%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0298	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012173	-2.84%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0358	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012221	-2.77%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0468	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011871	-2.64%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.1000	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011262	-2.59%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1638	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011457	-2.68%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1505	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011477	-2.69%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1197	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010542	-1.95%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.1040	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010481	-1.83%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0771	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010382	-1.80%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0618	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010468	-1.85%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0549	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009658	-0.96%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1292	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.01058	-1.99%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0622	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010425	-1.79%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0814	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010167	-1.39%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0581	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010737	-1.79%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0183	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011006	-2.04%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0080	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010784	-1.52%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0008	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.01067	-0.81%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0481	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010357	-0.19%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0714	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009877	+1.66%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.1002	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009837	+3.27%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1024	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.009008	+2.55%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.1819	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.00913	+2.17%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.1948	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.009077	+3.22%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.1817	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008949	+2.80%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1540	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008686	+3.58%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1590	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008493	+3.13%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1128	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008465	+3.93%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1061	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008372	+2.94%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0692	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008038	+2.46%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1200	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007979	+2.30%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1024	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007948	+1.65%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.0918	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.00782	+1.45%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0550	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007864	+1.66%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0522	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007237	+0.28%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0250	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006929	-1.13%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0252	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006424	-1.76%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0015	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.00655	-1.87%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0342	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006514	-2.18%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0404	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006382	-2.04%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0228	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006273	-1.79%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0199	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006375	-1.58%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0265	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006435	-1.48%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0127	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006586	-1.47%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0270	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006696	-1.24%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0131	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006791	-1.01%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0156	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006765	-0.81%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0047	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006785	-0.73%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0270	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006486	-0.45%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0132	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006605	-0.45%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0093	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006608	-0.33%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0205	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006765	-0.22%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0056	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006775	-0.22%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0109	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006733	-0.25%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0248	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006831	-0.42%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0356	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007019	-0.52%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0665	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006973	-0.67%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0619	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007525	-1.18%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1302	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007612	-1.39%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1118	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.00826	-1.55%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1654	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008159	-1.70%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1630	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008099	-1.71%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1443	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008303	-1.68%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1573	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008451	-1.50%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1488	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.00852	-1.38%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0676	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008439	-1.47%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0638	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008286	-1.42%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008287	-1.29%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0099	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008421	-1.28%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0249	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008293	-1.22%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0032	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008549	-1.28%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0189	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008582	-1.25%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0182	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008444	-1.29%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0373	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008476	-1.27%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0251	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008653	-1.39%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0483	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008637	-1.40%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0083	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008556	-1.31%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0297	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008487	-1.25%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0244	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008567	-1.42%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0155	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008528	-1.30%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0350	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008528	-1.30%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0039	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008589	-1.27%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0088	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008604	-1.21%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0116	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008566	-1.14%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0197	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008354	-1.02%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008076	-0.79%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0172	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008478	-1.07%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0513	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008223	-0.93%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0252	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008328	-0.92%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0135	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008563	-0.89%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0290	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008267	-0.64%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0145	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008346	-0.70%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0301	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008677	-0.89%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0122	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009185	-1.23%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0025	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.00898	-1.05%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0124	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.00938	-1.27%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0359	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009214	-1.14%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0048	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009174	-1.14%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0430	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.00936	-1.37%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0486	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008728	-0.99%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0562	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008794	-1.03%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0971	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008907	-1.04%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0631	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008551	-0.75%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.1089	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008527	-0.62%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0901	✗	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008522	-0.56%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0974	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008289	-0.14%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0824	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008588	-0.20%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0426	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009081	-0.54%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0758	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008737	-0.27%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0108	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.00868	+0.23%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0730	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008875	+0.28%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0799	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.00962	-0.42%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1115	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010453	-0.82%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.1864	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010223	-0.85%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0724	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010834	-1.59%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0178	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011604	-2.49%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0629	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011424	-1.81%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0041	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011527	-1.78%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0056	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011349	-1.57%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0470	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011877	-1.76%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0949	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012099	-1.79%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0333	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012656	-1.97%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0214	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012504	-1.77%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0167	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012847	-1.82%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0424	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012561	-1.56%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0276	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013264	-1.82%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0646	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012769	-1.43%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012632	-1.24%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012836	-1.15%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013239	-1.23%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013621	-1.30%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014529	-1.56%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0830	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015671	-1.75%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.1039	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015315	-1.77%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1442	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016215	-1.96%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1900	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016174	-1.71%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1593	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016166	-1.52%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1272	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015871	-1.54%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.1077	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015819	-1.50%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015551	-1.33%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015884	-1.16%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015791	-1.12%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0516	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015746	-1.16%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015312	-1.15%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0242	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015544	-1.12%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015466	-1.11%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0130	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015469	-1.34%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0287	✓	1.00