SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

145

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

77.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1744

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0200

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010135	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010479	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010609	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010692	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.01118	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011272	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011462	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011234	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012093	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012152	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012169	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012132	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012095	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011601	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011584	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.011988	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012098	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012186	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.011947	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.011947	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011517	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011675	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011617	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.011762	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.012705	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.012703	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012339	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.011909	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.011602	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.011676	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011365	-6.79%	0.010474	-14.10%	0.0365	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.010741	-7.09%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0194	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.010904	-7.38%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0024	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.010915	-7.46%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0005	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.01005	-6.53%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.0876	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010002	-6.31%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.0961	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.009891	-6.44%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.1123	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010001	-6.22%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.1258	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009257	-5.07%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2515	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010073	-6.69%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.2042	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.009968	-6.10%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1853	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.009774	-5.20%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.2071	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010302	-5.77%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1794	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.010534	-6.24%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.1236	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010384	-5.17%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.1197	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010395	-3.37%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.1335	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010156	-2.13%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1606	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.00981	+0.97%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.1929	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009857	+3.49%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2106	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.009006	+2.53%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2633	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009159	+2.49%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.2023	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.009244	+5.12%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2470	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.009157	+5.19%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2406	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.009039	+7.78%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.2761	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008934	+8.49%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.3603	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.00916	+12.46%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.3652	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.009125	+12.19%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.3297	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.00877	+11.80%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3170	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.008803	+12.86%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.2888	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.008653	+10.66%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.2714	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.008583	+11.36%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.2362	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.008727	+12.81%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.2461	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007625	+5.66%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3293	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.007031	+0.33%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.3585	✓	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006273	-4.07%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3693	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.00638	-4.41%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3436	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006282	-5.67%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3269	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006164	-5.40%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3216	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006089	-4.67%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2620	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006214	-4.06%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3412	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006285	-3.77%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3069	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006436	-3.72%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2647	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.00658	-2.95%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2798	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006747	-1.64%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.2975	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006766	-0.79%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2615	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006802	-0.48%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2201	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006501	-0.22%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2294	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006649	+0.21%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1483	✓	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.00664	+0.15%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.0992	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006828	+0.70%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0327	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006833	+0.63%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0491	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.00677	+0.30%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0105	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006841	-0.28%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0039	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007043	-0.17%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0399	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006963	-0.81%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0515	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.00743	-2.43%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1632	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.00748	-3.11%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1566	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008102	-3.44%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2289	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.007964	-4.05%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2478	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007905	-4.07%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2227	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008119	-3.85%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2374	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008314	-3.10%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2575	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008414	-2.62%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2552	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008318	-2.89%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2365	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008165	-2.86%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2219	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008202	-2.29%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.2009	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008351	-2.10%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.2083	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008219	-2.09%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2195	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008465	-2.25%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2524	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008514	-2.02%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2472	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008351	-2.38%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2662	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008398	-2.17%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2244	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008556	-2.50%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2351	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008532	-2.60%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2308	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008468	-2.33%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2472	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.00842	-2.04%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2562	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008512	-2.05%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2844	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008453	-2.16%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2530	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008439	-2.33%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2497	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008512	-2.16%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2345	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008543	-1.92%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2477	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008527	-1.60%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2577	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008314	-1.49%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2466	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.00804	-1.23%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2462	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008422	-1.73%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2504	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008177	-1.48%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1504	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008267	-1.65%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1364	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008515	-1.45%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.1102	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008253	-0.80%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0762	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008345	-0.72%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0682	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.00866	-1.09%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0672	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009132	-1.81%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.0983	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008937	-1.52%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0885	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009297	-2.14%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.0983	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009154	-1.78%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1053	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009107	-1.86%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1132	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009254	-2.49%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0722	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008673	-1.61%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0001	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.00873	-1.74%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0193	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008833	-1.85%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0036	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008504	-1.28%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0443	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008469	-1.30%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0101	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008458	-1.31%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0331	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008234	-0.80%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0145	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008526	-0.92%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0098	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.00898	-1.65%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0295	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008644	-1.32%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0049	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008586	-0.85%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0516	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008772	-0.88%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0622	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009467	-2.00%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0723	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010216	-3.07%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1338	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010006	-2.95%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0397	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010508	-4.56%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0473	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011156	-6.26%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0170	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011016	-5.32%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0466	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011111	-5.32%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0161	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.010955	-4.99%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0352	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011452	-5.27%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0263	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.01167	-5.28%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0203	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012199	-5.51%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0237	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012069	-5.19%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0191	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012386	-5.34%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0184	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.01213	-4.94%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0345	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.01281	-5.18%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0325	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012371	-4.51%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0838	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012246	-4.25%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012485	-3.85%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0970	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.012874	-3.96%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.2135	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013261	-3.91%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2362	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014118	-4.35%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2652	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015256	-4.35%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3416	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.01484	-4.81%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3265	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015689	-5.14%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3687	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.015751	-4.28%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3554	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.015831	-3.56%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3225	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015491	-3.90%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2827	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015437	-3.88%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3301	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015209	-3.50%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2895	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015637	-2.70%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2808	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015526	-2.78%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2371	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015441	-3.07%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1612	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014973	-3.34%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.2089	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015213	-3.23%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.2250	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015128	-3.27%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1786	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015034	-4.12%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.2225	✓	1.00