PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2718

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0504

actual -0.2077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.000930865	-22.59%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.00092398	-23.42%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001722	-13.38%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003143	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003483	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003777	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004518	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.004729	-6.74%	0.001203	-76.29%	1.4663	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.00459	-5.45%	0.001207	-75.14%	1.4500	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004157	-3.93%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7296	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.00471	-4.56%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.3710	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005354	-6.16%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3020	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004656	-3.67%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.0872	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004803	-3.46%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0582	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005237	-3.69%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.0543	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005234	-4.06%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0142	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005661	-4.72%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1413	✓	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005451	-4.73%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.1127	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005666	-4.95%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1546	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005647	-5.24%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.0563	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006593	-5.06%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.1750	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007118	-5.21%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.0980	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007646	-5.41%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3218	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.006798	-5.95%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2399	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.007769	-6.05%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3331	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.007992	-6.19%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3171	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.00837	-6.27%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3437	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010216	-6.63%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.3910	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012139	-7.05%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.4858	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010399	-6.25%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2422	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.00962	-5.33%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2556	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.009654	-5.24%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.00852	-5.27%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008417	-5.01%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009387	-5.94%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.1143	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007775	-3.85%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4186	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007284	-3.23%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.3180	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007234	-3.16%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.2083	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.008775	-4.72%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007678	-3.24%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008101	-3.51%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.007905	-3.40%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1866	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006406	-4.96%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.2354	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006697	-4.62%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.1445	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.008877	-3.71%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1353	✓	1.00