PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1148

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001421	+0.82%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.00201	+1.10%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3446	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003285	+0.57%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5536	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003651	+0.36%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1034	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003961	+0.22%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1148	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004809	-0.43%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1907	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005044	-0.53%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0142	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004843	-0.24%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0200	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004339	+0.28%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1882	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004933	-0.05%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2011	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.00567	-0.62%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0407	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004843	+0.20%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1259	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004985	+0.20%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0492	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005437	-0.01%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1324	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005456	+0.00%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0795	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005924	-0.29%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0359	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005715	-0.11%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0498	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005948	-0.22%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0002	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.00595	-0.14%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0917	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006911	-0.48%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1609	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007466	-0.57%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0541	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008029	-0.67%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1382	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007191	-0.52%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1216	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008215	-0.67%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008462	-0.68%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008866	-0.72%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010835	-0.97%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1972	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012856	-1.56%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1577	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010969	-1.12%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1744	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.01007	-0.90%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1181	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.01009	-0.95%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008924	-0.77%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0675	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008797	-0.73%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0231	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009876	-1.04%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1129	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008043	-0.53%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1581	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007505	-0.29%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0719	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007453	-0.23%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0026	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009144	-0.71%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1684	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.00791	-0.31%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1343	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.00836	-0.43%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008152	-0.40%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006743	+0.05%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1849	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007022	+0.00%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009183	-0.40%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2662	✓	1.00