PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s3

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3574

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0850

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.094596	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.094611	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.090697	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.080487	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.082516	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.084981	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.08848	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.090619	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.094276	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.097693	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.098826	-9.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.101898	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.101404	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10087	-10.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.099945	-11.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.100007	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.101902	-10.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.102474	-11.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.103419	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.102966	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.102086	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.102889	-12.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.100443	-13.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.099478	-14.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.098174	-14.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.105693	-13.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.105933	-13.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.103951	-13.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.101707	-14.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.096827	-14.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.105403	-12.76%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.0639	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.102976	-12.82%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.0473	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.099601	-13.76%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0281	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.102058	-12.67%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1627	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.10165	-11.01%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1226	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.09788	-10.12%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0211	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.098544	-9.84%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0154	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.097817	-8.95%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0538	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.103086	-9.01%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0249	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.100952	-8.73%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.1014	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.106842	-8.97%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0510	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.104561	-8.68%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1216	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.100445	-8.40%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1609	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.108027	-8.35%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0777	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.114378	-9.00%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0027	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.120372	-9.19%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0386	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.115398	-9.58%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0181	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.113724	-9.84%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0463	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.108899	-12.11%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0900	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.114005	-11.70%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0391	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.120303	-11.90%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0102	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.133276	-10.41%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1006	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.145627	-8.19%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2003	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.162444	-6.60%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3164	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.171503	-5.94%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3802	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.175305	-6.34%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3397	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.193932	-4.35%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4426	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.191398	-6.17%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4409	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.197579	-6.87%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.4837	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.203548	-7.43%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.5598	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.210387	-9.00%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5277	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.204704	-10.77%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5189	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.23126	-8.34%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.6832	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.223407	-13.01%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6149	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.282202	-10.88%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9118	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.409144	-8.70%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4779	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.353625	-9.39%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3239	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.359879	-9.49%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3846	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.320038	-9.74%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2431	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.316	-9.91%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2391	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.267537	-10.88%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0223	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.291068	-10.12%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1502	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.297964	-9.74%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1978	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.27499	-9.77%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0640	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.247318	-10.00%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.8943	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.272442	-9.42%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9470	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.257357	-9.39%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9310	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.253393	-9.41%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9314	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.247238	-9.05%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9184	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.234173	-8.91%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8447	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.235649	-8.82%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7495	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.242451	-8.68%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6986	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.221543	-8.40%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5685	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.225881	-8.23%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4827	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.228224	-7.67%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4283	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.197603	-6.70%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2293	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.170144	-6.12%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0164	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.170028	-5.96%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0028	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.180839	-5.60%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0143	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.170303	-5.73%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1402	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.169814	-5.54%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1952	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.162855	-5.28%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2389	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.162071	-4.87%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3382	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.168459	-4.76%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3661	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.165613	-4.75%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6112	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.164548	-4.48%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0018	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.164992	-4.46%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8646	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.163026	-4.17%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9029	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.162462	-3.79%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7904	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.163094	-3.75%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7840	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.168313	-3.87%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5972	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.158233	-4.26%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7029	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.163388	-4.45%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7056	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.161832	-4.36%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6317	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.165937	-4.63%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4991	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.161535	-4.77%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6088	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.163871	-4.83%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5309	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.179656	-5.26%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4368	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.180021	-5.25%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4085	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.164216	-4.80%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4457	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.174522	-5.21%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3904	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.170223	-5.00%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4371	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.159594	-4.98%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4061	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.15749	-5.09%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4246	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.151315	-4.88%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4439	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.154781	-5.19%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2864	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.146509	-4.97%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1901	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.143534	-4.84%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2161	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.137694	-4.45%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3104	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.138347	-4.05%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2495	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.132722	-4.31%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2795	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.134955	-4.85%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2323	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.131223	-5.36%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2519	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.134732	-5.46%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2575	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.136634	-5.63%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2366	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.136441	-5.54%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2278	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.142853	-5.49%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1807	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.147867	-6.08%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1426	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.153777	-6.67%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.1009	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.171495	-6.90%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0066	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.177338	-6.74%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0102	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.182759	-6.72%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0916	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.178692	-6.77%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0448	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.184548	-7.17%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0876	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.163669	-6.90%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0558	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.16654	-7.46%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0154	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.173183	-8.31%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0045	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.162495	-8.71%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1544	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.158815	-8.43%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1760	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.159786	-8.65%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0739	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.170387	-9.51%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0769	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.187118	-9.76%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0446	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.174791	-10.27%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0373	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.175708	-11.20%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0607	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.179954	-11.49%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1389	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.180549	-11.04%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1147	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.16321	-10.18%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0770	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.160838	-9.90%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0833	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.137219	-10.82%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0472	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.142007	-11.39%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0028	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.15374	-10.97%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1338	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.160625	-10.58%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1503	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.173274	-9.59%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2438	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.170569	-9.67%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2020	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.179017	-9.31%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2514	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.182185	-9.15%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2737	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.182624	-8.96%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2305	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.189617	-8.34%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2240	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.181539	-9.06%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1304	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.18568	-8.81%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0437	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.201572	-8.37%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1112	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.23225	-7.54%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2915	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.234573	-8.06%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3154	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.234316	-8.10%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2896	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.252337	-7.92%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5428	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.25	-7.87%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5122	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.265677	-8.34%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4812	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.259615	-8.53%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5125	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.250898	-8.56%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5254	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.245504	-8.21%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5027	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.259955	-8.35%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4536	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.241797	-8.92%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2844	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.227873	-9.70%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2615	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.237605	-9.54%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2472	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.227744	-9.92%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1539	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.25125	-10.46%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2301	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.280527	-10.57%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4484	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.315358	-11.07%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5893	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.292041	-10.17%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6599	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.202816	-8.11%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2334	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.189326	-8.92%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.0919	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.18644	-9.26%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0371	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.183652	-9.07%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0637	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.214428	-8.20%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.205454	-9.11%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.199721	-9.32%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.171002	-10.02%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.1206	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.163397	-9.25%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.2201	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.224134	-9.74%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1198	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.258889	-12.90%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2786	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.166181	-8.08%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2256	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.164988	-8.04%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3314	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.162181	-7.71%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3900	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.168686	-8.91%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2842	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.158369	-8.14%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4366	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.148146	-8.42%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4865	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.154262	-8.60%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5144	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.159523	-8.70%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4557	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.157263	-8.32%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4499	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.156439	-8.60%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3684	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.175554	-8.98%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3206	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.151478	-8.40%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3900	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.130446	-9.57%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.5001	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.