PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s3

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0534

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual -0.0030

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.096539	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095657	-0.31%	0.09683	+0.92%	0.0107	✗	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086288	-0.19%	0.09595	+10.98%	0.1131	✗	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.089208	-0.21%	0.086455	-3.29%	0.0324	✓	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.092329	-0.25%	0.089395	-3.42%	0.0284	✓	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.09609	-0.30%	0.09256	-3.96%	0.0382	✓	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.098552	-0.35%	0.09638	-2.54%	0.0261	✓	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102802	-0.40%	0.098895	-4.18%	0.0353	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.106633	-0.44%	0.10321	-3.63%	0.0424	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.108385	-0.54%	0.1071	-1.72%	0.0034	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.112303	-0.49%	0.10897	-3.45%	0.0408	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.112204	-0.54%	0.11286	+0.04%	0.0098	✗	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.112378	-0.54%	0.11281	-0.15%	0.0057	✗	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.111804	-0.57%	0.112985	+0.48%	0.0149	✗	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.112243	-0.54%	0.112445	-0.36%	0.0062	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.113876	-0.37%	0.112855	-1.26%	0.0208	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.114885	-0.36%	0.114295	-0.87%	0.0061	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.114912	-0.29%	0.1153	+0.05%	0.0000	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.115977	-0.37%	0.115245	-1.00%	0.0013	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.115843	-0.39%	0.11641	+0.09%	0.0059	✗	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.117236	-0.39%	0.1163	-1.19%	0.0095	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.116093	-0.46%	0.117695	+0.91%	0.0191	✗	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.115569	-0.44%	0.11663	+0.48%	0.0088	✗	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.114877	-0.44%	0.116075	+0.60%	0.0110	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.12183	-0.41%	0.115385	-5.68%	0.0580	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.12217	-0.42%	0.12233	-0.29%	0.0015	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.120345	-0.43%	0.12269	+1.51%	0.0205	✗	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.118378	-0.42%	0.12086	+1.67%	0.0197	✗	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.113377	-0.43%	0.11888	+4.40%	0.0474	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.120418	-0.33%	0.11387	-5.75%	0.0637	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.117759	-0.30%	0.12082	+2.29%	0.0241	✗	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.114974	-0.45%	0.118115	+2.27%	0.0545	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.116305	-0.48%	0.11549	-1.18%	0.0074	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.113873	-0.31%	0.11687	+2.31%	0.0278	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108723	-0.16%	0.11423	+4.89%	0.0808	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.109193	-0.10%	0.1089	-0.37%	0.0012	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.107443	+0.01%	0.1093	+1.74%	0.0210	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.113234	-0.05%	0.107435	-5.17%	0.0714	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.110699	+0.09%	0.113295	+2.43%	0.0327	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117401	+0.02%	0.110605	-5.77%	0.0630	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.114692	+0.17%	0.117375	+2.51%	0.0235	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.110091	+0.39%	0.1145	+4.41%	0.0442	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.118197	+0.27%	0.10966	-6.97%	0.0889	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.125943	+0.20%	0.117875	-6.22%	0.0672	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.132538	-0.01%	0.125695	-5.17%	0.0571	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.128135	+0.40%	0.13255	+3.85%	0.0270	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.126852	+0.57%	0.12763	+1.19%	0.0090	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.12477	+0.69%	0.12613	+1.79%	0.0116	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.12998	+0.67%	0.12391	-4.03%	0.0564	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.137419	+0.64%	0.12911	-5.45%	0.0491	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.14947	+0.48%	0.13655	-8.21%	0.0907	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.159189	+0.36%	0.14876	-6.22%	0.0730	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.174139	+0.12%	0.15862	-8.80%	0.0903	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.18235	+0.01%	0.17393	-4.61%	0.0491	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.187015	-0.09%	0.18234	-2.58%	0.0241	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.202301	-0.22%	0.187175	-7.68%	0.0870	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.203337	-0.32%	0.20275	-0.60%	0.0019	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.211199	-0.45%	0.20398	-3.86%	0.0326	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.218616	-0.58%	0.21216	-3.51%	0.0318	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.22946	-0.75%	0.219885	-4.89%	0.0385	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.227078	-1.01%	0.2312	+0.78%	0.0203	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.249385	-1.16%	0.2294	-9.08%	0.0887	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.254107	-1.05%	0.25231	-1.75%	0.0147	✗	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.314356	-0.73%	0.25681	-18.90%	0.2047	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.441251	-1.53%	0.31667	-29.33%	0.3959	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.386053	-1.08%	0.44811	+14.82%	0.1462	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.39272	-1.23%	0.39028	-1.85%	0.0308	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.349549	-1.42%	0.39762	+12.14%	0.1316	✗	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.346413	-1.24%	0.354585	+1.09%	0.0227	✗	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.29784	-0.78%	0.35075	+16.84%	0.1707	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.320714	-0.96%	0.300195	-7.30%	0.0664	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.326319	-1.15%	0.323825	-1.91%	0.0057	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.301658	-1.02%	0.330115	+8.32%	0.0965	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.272501	-0.84%	0.304755	+10.90%	0.1285	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.297782	-0.99%	0.2748	-8.63%	0.0793	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.281016	-1.06%	0.300765	+5.89%	0.0676	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.277093	-0.93%	0.284025	+1.54%	0.0143	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.26935	-0.92%	0.279705	+2.89%	0.0434	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.25484	-0.87%	0.27185	+5.74%	0.0556	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.255732	-1.05%	0.257085	-0.52%	0.0042	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.261979	-1.33%	0.25844	-2.66%	0.0131	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.239618	-0.93%	0.2655	+9.77%	0.0904	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.243053	-1.25%	0.24187	-1.73%	0.0039	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.243367	-1.54%	0.24613	-0.42%	0.0433	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.209683	-1.00%	0.24718	+16.70%	0.1531	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.180316	-0.51%	0.2118	+16.86%	0.1603	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.179712	-0.60%	0.18124	+0.25%	0.0064	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.18943	-1.11%	0.180795	-5.62%	0.0265	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.179718	-0.52%	0.19156	+6.04%	0.0548	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.178782	-0.55%	0.180655	+0.49%	0.0085	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.171233	-0.41%	0.17977	+4.55%	0.0578	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169731	-0.38%	0.17194	+0.92%	0.0226	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.176166	-0.40%	0.170375	-3.67%	0.0296	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.173175	-0.40%	0.176875	+1.73%	0.0091	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.171616	-0.38%	0.17387	+0.93%	0.0080	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.172045	-0.38%	0.17227	-0.25%	0.0026	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.169507	-0.36%	0.1727	+1.52%	0.0091	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.168297	-0.34%	0.17012	+0.74%	0.0092	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.168909	-0.32%	0.168865	-0.35%	0.0096	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174451	-0.36%	0.16945	-3.22%	0.0259	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.164719	-0.34%	0.175085	+5.94%	0.0300	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.170381	-0.36%	0.165275	-3.35%	0.0138	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.168637	-0.34%	0.170995	+1.05%	0.0142	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.173361	-0.36%	0.16921	-2.75%	0.0216	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.169038	-0.34%	0.173995	+2.58%	0.0218	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.171578	-0.36%	0.16962	-1.50%	0.0183	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.188724	-0.48%	0.172195	-9.19%	0.0848	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.189111	-0.47%	0.18963	-0.19%	0.0069	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.171855	-0.37%	0.19	+10.15%	0.0981	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.183115	-0.54%	0.172495	-6.31%	0.0627	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.178436	-0.42%	0.184115	+2.75%	0.0271	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.167345	-0.37%	0.17919	+6.68%	0.0606	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.165306	-0.38%	0.167965	+1.23%	0.0042	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.158536	-0.34%	0.16593	+4.31%	0.0343	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.162552	-0.43%	0.15907	-2.56%	0.0091	✓	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.153677	-0.32%	0.16325	+5.89%	0.0567	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.150362	-0.31%	0.154175	+2.21%	0.0269	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143773	-0.23%	0.150835	+4.67%	0.0482	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.143869	-0.22%	0.14411	-0.05%	0.0005	✓	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138428	-0.20%	0.14418	+3.95%	0.0510	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141437	-0.28%	0.1387	-2.21%	0.0125	✓	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.138311	-0.24%	0.14184	+2.30%	0.0310	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.142156	-0.26%	0.13865	-2.72%	0.0282	✓	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144405	-0.27%	0.14252	-1.57%	0.0087	✓	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.144095	-0.24%	0.14479	+0.24%	0.0015	✓	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150754	-0.26%	0.144445	-4.44%	0.0456	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.156893	-0.35%	0.151155	-3.99%	0.0304	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.164061	-0.42%	0.15744	-4.44%	0.0366	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.183348	-0.47%	0.16476	-10.56%	0.1046	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.18921	-0.49%	0.18421	-3.12%	0.0288	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.194921	-0.52%	0.19015	-2.95%	0.0299	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.190682	-0.51%	0.195935	+2.23%	0.0237	✗	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.197374	-0.72%	0.191665	-3.59%	0.0293	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.175122	-0.38%	0.1988	+13.09%	0.1226	✗	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.179219	-0.42%	0.17579	-2.33%	0.0188	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.187916	-0.51%	0.179975	-4.71%	0.0411	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.177179	-0.46%	0.18887	+6.11%	0.0643	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.172797	-0.37%	0.178	+2.64%	0.0271	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.17429	-0.36%	0.17343	-0.85%	0.0047	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.18724	-0.56%	0.17492	-7.10%	0.0702	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.205695	-0.80%	0.18829	-9.19%	0.0886	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.19318	-0.83%	0.20735	+6.45%	0.0720	✗	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.196315	-0.78%	0.19479	-1.55%	0.0091	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.201081	-1.10%	0.19786	-2.68%	0.0183	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.200519	-1.20%	0.20331	+0.18%	0.0136	✗	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.180514	-0.66%	0.20295	+11.69%	0.1177	✗	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.176713	-1.01%	0.181715	+1.79%	0.0277	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.154084	+0.14%	0.17852	+16.02%	0.1471	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.160495	+0.15%	0.15387	-3.99%	0.0432	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.172663	-0.01%	0.16026	-7.19%	0.0770	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.179549	-0.05%	0.17268	-3.87%	0.0386	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.191371	-0.15%	0.17963	-6.27%	0.0628	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.188725	-0.05%	0.191655	+1.50%	0.0174	✗	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.197122	-0.14%	0.18882	-4.34%	0.0487	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.200282	-0.12%	0.19739	-1.56%	0.0144	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.200478	-0.06%	0.200525	-0.04%	0.0021	✗	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.206665	-0.10%	0.200605	-3.03%	0.0303	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.199673	+0.02%	0.206865	+3.62%	0.0342	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.203593	-0.01%	0.19963	-1.95%	0.0216	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.219597	-0.18%	0.20361	-7.45%	0.0791	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.250152	-0.42%	0.219995	-12.42%	0.1418	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.253985	-0.45%	0.2512	-1.54%	0.0004	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.253839	-0.44%	0.25513	+0.07%	0.0029	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.272544	-0.54%	0.25496	-6.96%	0.0764	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.269927	-0.52%	0.27403	+0.99%	0.0114	✗	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.287892	-0.68%	0.27135	-6.39%	0.0484	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.281921	-0.67%	0.28986	+2.12%	0.0311	✗	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.27263	-0.64%	0.28383	+3.44%	0.0416	✗	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.265901	-0.58%	0.27438	+2.59%	0.0213	✗	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.280678	-1.04%	0.26746	-5.70%	0.0446	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.263866	-0.61%	0.283635	+6.83%	0.0800	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.250967	-0.55%	0.26549	+5.21%	0.0667	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.261004	-0.63%	0.25235	-3.93%	0.0347	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.251403	-0.56%	0.26266	+3.89%	0.0476	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.2783	-0.82%	0.25282	-9.90%	0.0837	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.309789	-1.24%	0.28061	-10.55%	0.0957	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.346407	-2.32%	0.31369	-11.54%	0.1032	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.314462	-3.27%	0.35463	+9.08%	0.1137	✗	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.21963	-0.49%	0.3251	+47.29%	0.3931	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.206901	-0.46%	0.22072	+6.19%	0.0644	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.204535	-0.45%	0.20786	+1.17%	0.0161	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.201211	-0.38%	0.205465	+1.73%	0.0314	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.231824	-0.75%	0.20197	-13.53%	0.1388	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.224316	-0.77%	0.23358	+3.33%	0.0164	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.218334	-0.87%	0.22605	+2.64%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.188975	-0.57%	0.22024	+15.89%	0.1258	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.179285	-0.42%	0.19005	+5.55%	0.0839	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.244619	-1.49%	0.18005	-27.49%	0.2887	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.285014	-4.11%	0.24832	-16.46%	0.1632	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.179894	-0.49%	0.29724	+64.42%	0.4978	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.178505	-0.50%	0.18078	+0.76%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.174875	-0.48%	0.17941	+2.10%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.183874	-0.71%	0.17572	-5.11%	0.0962	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.171503	-0.53%	0.18519	+7.41%	0.1092	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.161002	-0.47%	0.17241	+6.58%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.1679	-0.52%	0.16176	-4.16%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.173716	-0.58%	0.16878	-3.41%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.170612	-0.54%	0.17473	+1.87%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.170132	-0.59%	0.17153	+0.22%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.191231	-0.85%	0.17115	-11.26%	0.1087	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.164247	-0.67%	0.19287	+16.64%	0.1355	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.143531	-0.50%	0.16536	+14.63%	0.1366	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.