ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4595
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0283
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.04046 | -5.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.039667 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021439 | +0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020856 | +0.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027648 | -0.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032954 | -0.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029476 | +0.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033683 | +0.08% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.2015 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036107 | -0.38% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1601 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036363 | -0.46% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.5317 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.052239 | -2.87% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8796 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.058904 | -3.83% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.7179 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.057483 | -3.87% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.5234 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041288 | -2.67% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.3503 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.048229 | -4.28% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.3263 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.049823 | -6.70% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.2762 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.063444 | -6.28% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4880 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.088187 | -5.88% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4614 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.09876 | -6.89% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4495 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.07336 | -5.94% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1741 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.080838 | -6.28% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.6069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.083736 | -6.91% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.5046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.062679 | -6.28% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.066345 | -6.51% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.084863 | -7.63% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.0751 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.068109 | -6.96% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.070052 | -7.63% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.056901 | -7.16% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.061022 | -7.70% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.3978 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.056236 | -7.77% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2034 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.072117 | -9.41% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.050898 | -8.04% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5507 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.050846 | -8.81% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.036517 | -7.44% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.6918 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.045918 | -8.98% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.1887 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.026404 | -7.51% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8152 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015296 | -4.86% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2514 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013579 | -4.47% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6663 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014633 | -4.67% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.2751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016349 | -5.14% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.1767 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.018557 | -5.68% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001613 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 6.03e-7 | -46.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 1.60e-7 | -79.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 5.19e-7 | -64.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010295 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009302 | -1.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.00000998 | -1.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010377 | -1.64% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8526 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010729 | -1.75% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2640 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.00001082 | -1.77% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6227 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011002 | -1.81% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9989 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012385 | -2.37% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1564 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.00001149 | -1.63% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1897 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009591 | +0.32% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010377 | +0.07% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011648 | -0.49% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0601 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011707 | +0.10% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0827 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012655 | -0.12% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1263 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013499 | -0.45% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014578 | -0.63% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.2003 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015265 | -0.87% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3981 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015359 | -0.46% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3361 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015633 | -0.24% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2428 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015071 | +0.67% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2154 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015409 | +1.04% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1759 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016756 | +1.25% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2208 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016865 | +1.66% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1480 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017706 | +1.47% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1436 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018191 | +1.51% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1516 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017612 | +2.16% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1285 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000020121 | +2.14% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3588 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024062 | +0.59% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4564 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027611 | -0.32% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029332 | -0.57% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032686 | -1.13% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031555 | -0.68% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033197 | -0.61% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.6998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035573 | -0.91% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5682 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000037827 | -0.98% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.4985 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039927 | -0.93% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039887 | -0.78% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000041891 | -0.97% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043765 | -1.43% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.3094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.00004547 | -1.58% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042681 | -0.97% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041738 | -0.86% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040433 | -0.66% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039395 | -0.27% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040578 | -1.03% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041592 | -1.44% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1708 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.0000363 | -1.89% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000045861 | -2.22% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000054518 | -2.12% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1527 | ✓ | 1.00 |