ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
61.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1531
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0129
actual -0.0300
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.038643 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.038805 | -1.91% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041129 | -2.47% | 0.03956 | -6.19% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021107 | -1.51% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6611 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020389 | -2.21% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0546 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027482 | -0.68% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2949 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033059 | -0.39% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1744 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029091 | -0.97% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1506 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033436 | -0.66% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1467 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035953 | -0.80% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036158 | -1.02% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053463 | -0.60% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3357 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060762 | -0.79% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1406 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059227 | -0.95% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041509 | -2.15% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3455 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.04926 | -2.23% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.051989 | -2.64% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066205 | -2.20% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2117 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092027 | -1.78% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103839 | -2.11% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1294 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076423 | -2.01% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3242 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.08446 | -2.08% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087798 | -2.39% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065315 | -2.33% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069318 | -2.32% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089329 | -2.77% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071351 | -2.53% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073694 | -2.82% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.05968 | -2.63% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064214 | -2.87% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059227 | -2.86% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076441 | -3.97% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2215 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053555 | -3.24% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053651 | -3.78% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038233 | -3.09% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3729 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.048299 | -4.26% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027584 | -3.37% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6011 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015758 | -1.99% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013944 | -1.90% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1761 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015056 | -1.92% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016877 | -2.08% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0888 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019211 | -2.35% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.00000155 | -4.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001066 | -5.64% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.4348 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.22e-7 | -6.19% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4324 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001388 | -5.87% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.5815 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010417 | -0.93% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9558 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009338 | -0.66% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1117 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010048 | -0.76% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010465 | -0.81% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010833 | -0.80% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010921 | -0.86% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0155 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011114 | -0.81% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012567 | -0.93% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1192 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011587 | -0.79% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0873 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009527 | -0.34% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1749 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010333 | -0.36% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011654 | -0.43% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.0996 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011675 | -0.17% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012651 | -0.15% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013523 | -0.27% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014625 | -0.31% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0754 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015328 | -0.47% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015377 | -0.34% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.00001562 | -0.32% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014969 | -0.01% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015268 | +0.12% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.00001659 | +0.24% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0948 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016649 | +0.35% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017496 | +0.26% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017965 | +0.25% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.00001731 | +0.41% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019814 | +0.58% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2114 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023981 | +0.26% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1495 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027719 | +0.07% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1423 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029507 | +0.02% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033014 | -0.14% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031779 | +0.03% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033417 | +0.05% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0859 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035884 | -0.05% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038176 | -0.06% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0781 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040269 | -0.08% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0775 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040194 | -0.02% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042275 | -0.06% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044323 | -0.17% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046094 | -0.23% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043117 | +0.04% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042141 | +0.10% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040751 | +0.12% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039565 | +0.17% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040866 | -0.33% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041921 | -0.66% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036391 | -1.65% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046394 | -1.08% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.1978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055303 | -0.71% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1770 | ✓ | 1.00 |