NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s3
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +7d
assessed
104
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
68.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2344
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0394
actual -0.0266
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.02273 | 0.020659 | -9.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.59 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.02224 | 0.020299 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.019521 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.01839 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.01776 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017167 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.018857 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018111 | -4.63% | 0.02273 | +19.69% | 0.1943 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.019261 | -5.35% | 0.02224 | +9.29% | 0.1048 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.020813 | -7.12% | 0.02115 | -5.62% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.020599 | -6.07% | 0.01957 | -10.76% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.022635 | -7.86% | 0.018735 | -23.73% | 0.1594 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.024951 | -8.52% | 0.01787 | -34.48% | 0.3074 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.021966 | -6.45% | 0.01995 | -15.03% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.019353 | -3.65% | 0.01899 | -5.45% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.022117 | -6.54% | 0.02035 | -14.01% | 0.0561 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.02295 | -7.63% | 0.02241 | -9.80% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.0232 | -7.66% | 0.02193 | -12.72% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.018896 | -5.28% | 0.024565 | +23.13% | 0.3087 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.01851 | -4.44% | 0.027275 | +40.81% | 0.4178 | ✗ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.018596 | -4.83% | 0.02348 | +20.16% | 0.2652 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.019109 | -6.22% | 0.020085 | -1.42% | 0.1017 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.021434 | -6.05% | 0.023665 | +3.73% | 0.1038 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.022857 | -5.65% | 0.024845 | +2.56% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.021448 | -6.48% | 0.025125 | +9.55% | 0.1187 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.020059 | -8.99% | 0.01995 | -9.48% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.028994 | -6.06% | 0.01937 | -37.24% | 0.4092 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.029483 | -6.09% | 0.01954 | -37.76% | 0.4190 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.028797 | -6.87% | 0.020375 | -34.10% | 0.3546 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.028716 | -6.77% | 0.022815 | -25.93% | 0.2147 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.034748 | -5.51% | 0.024225 | -34.13% | 0.3163 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.039428 | -4.92% | 0.022935 | -44.69% | 0.4884 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.036715 | -4.95% | 0.02204 | -42.94% | 0.5695 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.041625 | -4.34% | 0.030865 | -29.07% | 0.3555 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.046032 | -4.35% | 0.031395 | -34.76% | 0.4401 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.037145 | -4.27% | 0.03092 | -20.31% | 0.3068 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.03773 | -4.29% | 0.0308 | -21.87% | 0.3294 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.034387 | -4.76% | 0.036775 | +1.86% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.037898 | -4.37% | 0.04147 | +4.64% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.0491 | -4.17% | 0.038625 | -24.61% | 0.3116 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.048515 | -4.73% | 0.043515 | -14.55% | 0.1740 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.034718 | -4.12% | 0.048125 | +32.91% | 0.2647 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.031804 | -4.19% | 0.0388 | +16.89% | 0.2021 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.029498 | -4.21% | 0.03942 | +28.01% | 0.3293 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.036909 | -4.37% | 0.036105 | -6.45% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.031786 | -4.14% | 0.03963 | +19.51% | 0.2374 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.03137 | -4.58% | 0.051235 | +55.85% | 0.5569 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020572 | -1.57% | 0.050925 | +143.66% | 0.9534 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022093 | -1.85% | 0.03621 | +60.86% | 0.5390 | ✗ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018316 | +0.69% | 0.033195 | +82.49% | 0.6941 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016861 | +0.84% | 0.030795 | +84.18% | 0.5819 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020753 | -0.71% | 0.038595 | +84.67% | 0.5991 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.017184 | +1.29% | 0.03316 | +95.46% | 0.6454 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.01619 | +1.13% | 0.032875 | +105.34% | 0.6487 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015597 | +0.95% | 0.0209 | +35.28% | 0.2564 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014145 | +0.22% | 0.02251 | +59.48% | 0.4229 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016916 | +0.78% | 0.01819 | +8.37% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016639 | +0.18% | 0.01672 | +0.66% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019807 | -0.47% | 0.0209 | +5.03% | 0.0776 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019725 | -0.58% | 0.016965 | -14.49% | 0.1419 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.020479 | -1.45% | 0.01601 | -22.95% | 0.2448 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.020201 | -1.94% | 0.01545 | -25.00% | 0.2938 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019787 | -1.70% | 0.014115 | -29.88% | 0.3269 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.01732 | -2.73% | 0.016785 | -5.73% | 0.1918 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.01405 | -3.37% | 0.01661 | +14.24% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.01446 | -5.43% | 0.0199 | +30.15% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015476 | -6.09% | 0.01984 | +20.39% | 0.1631 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009301 | -4.22% | 0.02078 | +114.01% | 0.6322 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.009921 | -4.33% | 0.0206 | +98.65% | 0.5714 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009096 | -4.30% | 0.02013 | +111.78% | 0.6207 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.008619 | -4.44% | 0.017805 | +97.39% | 0.6035 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.01142 | -4.72% | 0.01454 | +21.32% | 0.1670 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012054 | -4.86% | 0.01529 | +20.68% | 0.2230 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010436 | -4.52% | 0.01648 | +50.78% | 0.4485 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009395 | -4.57% | 0.00971 | -1.37% | 0.0710 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.009769 | -4.65% | 0.01037 | +1.22% | 0.0953 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010017 | -4.83% | 0.009505 | -9.69% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.01004 | -4.56% | 0.00902 | -14.26% | 0.0915 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011152 | -4.56% | 0.011985 | +2.57% | 0.0932 | ✗ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.011822 | -4.24% | 0.01267 | +2.63% | 0.0787 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011168 | -3.77% | 0.01093 | -5.82% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.010872 | -3.78% | 0.009845 | -12.88% | 0.1227 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.010639 | -3.55% | 0.010245 | -7.12% | 0.0736 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012383 | -3.52% | 0.010525 | -18.00% | 0.1962 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.011763 | -3.82% | 0.01052 | -13.98% | 0.1014 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012116 | -3.57% | 0.011685 | -7.00% | 0.0524 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012532 | -3.60% | 0.012345 | -5.04% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.01492 | -3.49% | 0.011605 | -24.94% | 0.2460 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.014873 | -3.54% | 0.0113 | -26.72% | 0.2252 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.014998 | -3.27% | 0.01103 | -28.86% | 0.2654 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015484 | -3.04% | 0.012835 | -19.63% | 0.1678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.01561 | -3.05% | 0.01223 | -24.04% | 0.2389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.013994 | -3.46% | 0.012565 | -13.31% | 0.0740 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.011831 | -5.58% | 0.013 | +3.75% | 0.1352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015046 | -3.27% | 0.01546 | -0.61% | 0.0507 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.017616 | -2.78% | 0.01542 | -14.90% | 0.1433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018042 | -2.63% | 0.015505 | -16.32% | 0.1438 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018329 | -2.40% | 0.01597 | -14.96% | 0.1407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.019844 | -2.42% | 0.0161 | -20.83% | 0.2290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021496 | -2.53% | 0.014495 | -34.28% | 0.4150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.022693 | -2.73% | 0.01253 | -46.29% | 0.6172 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.017643 | -2.58% | 0.015555 | -14.11% | 0.1722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016303 | -3.56% | 0.01812 | +7.19% | 0.0910 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.0175 | -3.15% | 0.01853 | +2.55% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019534 | -2.50% | 0.01878 | -6.26% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.020119 | -2.53% | 0.020335 | -1.48% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.019779 | -2.66% | 0.022055 | +8.54% | 0.0698 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.022241 | -2.41% | 0.02333 | +2.37% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020258 | -2.72% | 0.01811 | -13.04% | 0.0846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.022488 | -2.56% | 0.016905 | -26.75% | 0.2878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.025815 | -2.66% | 0.01807 | -31.86% | 0.3675 | ✓ | 1.00 |