NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s3
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +1d
assessed
110
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
58.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0956
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0077
actual -0.0054
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.02273 | 0.022237 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.59 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.02224 | 0.021786 | -2.04% | 0.02273 | +2.20% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.020846 | -1.44% | 0.02224 | +5.15% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019404 | -0.85% | 0.02115 | +8.07% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.018621 | -0.61% | 0.01957 | +4.46% | 0.0524 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017822 | -0.27% | 0.018735 | +4.84% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019813 | -0.69% | 0.01787 | -10.43% | 0.1013 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018915 | -0.40% | 0.01995 | +5.06% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.020236 | -0.56% | 0.01899 | -6.68% | 0.0725 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.022175 | -1.05% | 0.02035 | -9.19% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.021774 | -0.71% | 0.02241 | +2.19% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.024248 | -1.29% | 0.02193 | -10.73% | 0.0660 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.02681 | -1.70% | 0.024565 | -9.94% | 0.1005 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.023282 | -0.84% | 0.027275 | +16.16% | 0.1520 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020082 | -0.02% | 0.02348 | +16.90% | 0.1417 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023461 | -0.86% | 0.020085 | -15.13% | 0.1302 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.024523 | -1.30% | 0.023665 | -4.75% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.024773 | -1.40% | 0.024845 | -1.11% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019844 | -0.53% | 0.025125 | +25.94% | 0.2482 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019309 | -0.31% | 0.01995 | +2.99% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019453 | -0.45% | 0.01937 | -0.87% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020207 | -0.83% | 0.01954 | -4.10% | 0.0280 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022631 | -0.81% | 0.020375 | -10.69% | 0.1267 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.024044 | -0.75% | 0.022815 | -5.82% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022718 | -0.95% | 0.024225 | +5.62% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.021683 | -1.62% | 0.022935 | +4.06% | 0.0749 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.030523 | -1.11% | 0.02204 | -28.59% | 0.3264 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.031051 | -1.10% | 0.030865 | -1.69% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.030533 | -1.25% | 0.031395 | +1.54% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.030434 | -1.19% | 0.03092 | +0.39% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036391 | -1.04% | 0.0308 | -16.25% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.041034 | -1.05% | 0.036775 | -11.32% | 0.1029 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.038297 | -0.85% | 0.04147 | +7.37% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.043163 | -0.81% | 0.038625 | -11.24% | 0.1097 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.047603 | -1.09% | 0.043515 | -9.58% | 0.0963 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.038545 | -0.66% | 0.048125 | +24.03% | 0.1510 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.039149 | -0.69% | 0.0388 | -1.57% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.035849 | -0.71% | 0.03942 | +9.18% | 0.0859 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.039346 | -0.72% | 0.036105 | -8.89% | 0.0470 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.050636 | -1.17% | 0.03963 | -22.65% | 0.2681 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.049993 | -1.83% | 0.051235 | +0.61% | 0.0324 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.035889 | -0.89% | 0.050925 | +40.64% | 0.3490 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.032918 | -0.83% | 0.03621 | +9.08% | 0.0838 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.030545 | -0.81% | 0.033195 | +7.79% | 0.1153 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.038047 | -1.42% | 0.030795 | -20.21% | 0.2086 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.032721 | -1.32% | 0.038595 | +16.39% | 0.1769 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.03224 | -1.93% | 0.03316 | +0.87% | 0.0512 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020865 | -0.17% | 0.032875 | +57.30% | 0.4455 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022429 | -0.36% | 0.0209 | -7.15% | 0.0734 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018274 | +0.46% | 0.02251 | +23.75% | 0.2413 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016814 | +0.56% | 0.01819 | +8.79% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020872 | -0.13% | 0.01672 | -20.00% | 0.2199 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.017064 | +0.58% | 0.0209 | +23.19% | 0.2293 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.016091 | +0.51% | 0.016965 | +5.97% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015513 | +0.41% | 0.01601 | +3.62% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014135 | +0.14% | 0.01545 | +9.46% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016814 | +0.17% | 0.014115 | -15.91% | 0.1245 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016604 | -0.04% | 0.016785 | +1.05% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019819 | -0.41% | 0.01661 | -16.53% | 0.1871 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019727 | -0.57% | 0.0199 | +0.30% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.02056 | -1.06% | 0.01984 | -4.52% | 0.0627 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.020297 | -1.47% | 0.02078 | +0.87% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019822 | -1.53% | 0.0206 | +2.33% | 0.0672 | ✗ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.017466 | -1.90% | 0.02013 | +13.06% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.01434 | -1.38% | 0.017805 | +22.46% | 0.1507 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.014925 | -2.38% | 0.01454 | -4.91% | 0.1653 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015978 | -3.04% | 0.01529 | -7.22% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009643 | -0.69% | 0.01648 | +69.72% | 0.5151 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010289 | -0.78% | 0.00971 | -6.36% | 0.0557 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009444 | -0.64% | 0.01037 | +9.10% | 0.0930 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.008966 | -0.60% | 0.009505 | +5.38% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011864 | -1.01% | 0.00902 | -24.74% | 0.2742 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012513 | -1.24% | 0.011985 | -5.41% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010835 | -0.86% | 0.01267 | +15.92% | 0.1621 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009774 | -0.72% | 0.01093 | +11.02% | 0.1293 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.010164 | -0.79% | 0.009845 | -3.90% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010426 | -0.94% | 0.010245 | -2.66% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.010441 | -0.75% | 0.010525 | +0.05% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011585 | -0.86% | 0.01052 | -9.97% | 0.0905 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012248 | -0.79% | 0.011685 | -5.35% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011542 | -0.54% | 0.012345 | +6.38% | 0.0572 | ✗ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.011244 | -0.49% | 0.011605 | +2.70% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.010989 | -0.37% | 0.0113 | +2.45% | 0.0155 | ✗ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012777 | -0.45% | 0.01103 | -14.06% | 0.1460 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.012172 | -0.48% | 0.012835 | +4.95% | 0.0962 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012513 | -0.42% | 0.01223 | -2.67% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012942 | -0.44% | 0.012565 | -3.35% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.015366 | -0.61% | 0.013 | -15.91% | 0.1707 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.015324 | -0.62% | 0.01546 | +0.26% | 0.0531 | ✗ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.015425 | -0.52% | 0.01542 | -0.55% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.01589 | -0.50% | 0.015505 | -2.91% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.016004 | -0.59% | 0.01597 | -0.81% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.01441 | -0.59% | 0.0161 | +11.07% | 0.1267 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.012415 | -0.92% | 0.014495 | +15.68% | 0.1614 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015473 | -0.53% | 0.01253 | -19.45% | 0.2308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.018026 | -0.52% | 0.015555 | -14.16% | 0.1556 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018439 | -0.49% | 0.01812 | -2.21% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018704 | -0.41% | 0.01853 | -1.33% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.02024 | -0.47% | 0.01878 | -7.65% | 0.0768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021918 | -0.62% | 0.020335 | -7.80% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.023143 | -0.80% | 0.022055 | -5.47% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.018024 | -0.47% | 0.02333 | +28.82% | 0.2152 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016787 | -0.70% | 0.01811 | +7.13% | 0.0993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.017956 | -0.63% | 0.016905 | -6.45% | 0.0598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019934 | -0.50% | 0.01807 | -9.81% | 0.0926 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.020535 | -0.51% | 0.020035 | -2.93% | 0.0396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.020215 | -0.52% | 0.02064 | +1.57% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.02267 | -0.53% | 0.02032 | -10.84% | 0.0921 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020701 | -0.60% | 0.02279 | +9.44% | 0.1068 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.022947 | -0.57% | 0.020825 | -9.77% | 0.1036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.02634 | -0.68% | 0.02308 | -12.97% | 0.1400 | ✓ | 1.00 |