META2

META2 · · gru_s3

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +7d

assessed

69

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5271

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0985

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.4865	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.4231	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.312	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.3435	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.4748	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.32	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.3669	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.3476	-2.16%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0081	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.4891	-2.13%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0170	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.5079	-2.48%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0059	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.7421	-2.02%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0217	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.7245	-2.16%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0290	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.4807	-2.27%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0275	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.4483	-2.35%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0104	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.6938	-2.35%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0288	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.7033	-2.28%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0496	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.7594	-2.33%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0781	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.0726	-2.21%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0051	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.8665	-2.37%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0104	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.8438	-2.42%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0196	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.9381	-2.45%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0048	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.8445	-2.56%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0346	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.2877	-2.52%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0410	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.888	-3.08%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0218	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.6677	-2.50%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1211	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.1579	-2.61%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1731	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.4242	-2.66%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1545	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.668	-2.73%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1440	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.1916	-2.86%	19.34	+16.03%	0.1929	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.2077	-2.97%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.1964	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.7656	-3.15%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2205	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.4797	-3.39%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1036	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.8917	-4.07%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.1904	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.5914	-3.45%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1597	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.4138	-4.20%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2343	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.3865	-4.44%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2650	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.3154	-4.76%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.3039	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.377	-4.56%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.3129	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.258	-5.16%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2986	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.207	-5.45%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3982	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.4277	-5.89%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0111	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.1717	-6.74%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1174	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.9024	-8.33%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.1875	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.4325	-5.84%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.1774	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.5201	+0.33%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7388	✓	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.5036	-0.57%	19.2505	+446.35%	1.8671	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.4561	-5.02%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2180	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9039	-2.85%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.6831	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.4458	-14.20%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.9388	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	2.1885	-45.60%	18.4385	+358.33%	2.0748	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	1.2527	-68.84%	18.5135	+360.53%	2.6317	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	2.4327	-60.14%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.3370	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	39.7219	-2.60%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5904	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.0024	-2.77%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8809	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	39.905	-3.21%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.4148	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.6255	-2.64%	4.016	-90.13%	2.3014	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	26.8918	-2.21%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8778	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.0139	-4.07%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2582	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	37.5935	-3.30%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.8127	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	38.862	-4.19%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0491	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	48.8018	-6.91%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1859	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	29.6804	-3.11%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3349	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	29.4314	-4.34%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2293	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	29.2243	-4.85%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1921	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	28.9675	-5.18%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1454	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	28.671	-6.34%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1016	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	28.8963	-5.42%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1264	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	28.7209	-6.06%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4007	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	28.3483	-7.47%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.1406	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	1.1734	-77.28%	30.768	+495.82%	3.1258	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	29.1692	-4.97%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.0807	-5.39%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.2392	-5.40%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0370	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.0747	-5.59%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.0811	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.0281	-5.97%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.0815	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	29.4255	-4.76%	30.638	-0.84%	0.0704	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.