META2

META2 · · gru_s3

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1990

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0227

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1513	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.8811	-0.59%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1001	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.625	-0.69%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0054	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5105	-0.71%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0017	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5416	-0.77%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0078	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.6777	-0.83%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0088	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5223	-0.92%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0189	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5603	-1.05%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0160	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.4938	-1.33%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0064	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6182	-1.41%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0289	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.6603	-1.64%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0079	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9288	-0.99%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0309	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9202	-1.08%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0011	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.6799	-1.16%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0188	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.6478	-1.24%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0006	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.8812	-1.32%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0241	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.8273	-1.59%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0536	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.8416	-1.88%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0187	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.2542	-1.28%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0448	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.0495	-1.42%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0050	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.0239	-1.49%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0118	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.1109	-1.56%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0162	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.0177	-1.67%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0007	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.4237	-1.79%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0499	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.992	-2.51%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0387	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.8374	-1.51%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1098	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.3378	-1.52%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0445	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.6018	-1.61%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0065	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.8448	-1.70%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0071	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.3789	-1.74%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0450	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.4011	-1.81%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0517	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.9737	-1.87%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0525	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.7034	-1.90%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0003	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.1805	-1.92%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1300	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.8368	-2.17%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3448	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.7845	-2.27%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0687	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.7806	-2.39%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0188	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.7473	-2.51%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0140	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.7368	-2.69%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0892	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.7057	-2.83%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0036	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.6707	-3.04%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0419	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.9295	-3.18%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0700	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.7784	-3.45%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0243	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.6508	-4.27%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0895	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.9413	-3.09%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0318	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.3572	-4.31%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7351	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.3653	-4.49%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0984	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.8598	-2.82%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6463	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.8383	-4.49%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5583	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.8253	-4.75%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1359	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.8207	-5.03%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1743	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.8091	-5.25%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0600	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.8103	-4.80%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3034	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.1845	-1.47%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9416	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.4765	-1.62%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0448	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.4475	-1.89%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0088	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.9243	-1.91%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0630	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.0739	-1.55%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3920	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.5223	-2.82%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3690	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.0528	-2.12%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.5382	-2.52%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.2116	-4.22%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2221	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.0488	-1.91%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5729	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.1587	-1.98%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.087	-2.04%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.9061	-2.10%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.7203	-2.91%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.8572	-2.27%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.8045	-2.52%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.6794	-3.13%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.9296	-4.54%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8341	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.1639	-1.73%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7652	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.083	-2.13%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0220	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.2422	-2.15%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.0899	-2.30%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.137	-2.37%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.3268	-1.84%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0175	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.