MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s3

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

72.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0825

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0132

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042015	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042478	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043129	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042946	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.04429	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045725	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044462	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044621	-2.38%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0609	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043419	-2.23%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0017	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042636	-2.34%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0308	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045418	-2.81%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0041	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041965	-2.47%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1039	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040465	-2.42%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1652	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040007	-2.46%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1206	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043091	-2.83%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0892	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04489	-2.92%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0314	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048406	-3.27%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0331	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047584	-3.20%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0305	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048275	-3.40%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0827	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044812	-3.26%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0429	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047996	-4.27%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1017	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.04051	-3.02%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0952	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.04071	-3.02%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0947	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040922	-3.04%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1623	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042516	-3.15%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1106	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043398	-3.19%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1355	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044966	-3.35%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0226	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043479	-3.19%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1345	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042308	-3.03%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0015	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045003	-3.31%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0250	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043789	-3.28%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0193	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041788	-2.80%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0132	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041249	-2.68%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0231	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039908	-2.38%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0937	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035075	-0.61%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1069	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034505	-0.04%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0928	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034205	+0.37%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1402	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035819	+0.30%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1047	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035713	+0.68%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1147	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037319	+0.66%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0639	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037986	+0.96%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0151	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.03741	+1.48%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0550	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039312	+1.72%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0927	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042478	+0.79%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1692	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.041015	+2.10%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1220	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040825	+3.15%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0751	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.041408	+3.13%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0632	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.040124	+3.98%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0177	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041848	+4.44%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0378	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037768	+2.94%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0043	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038364	+2.47%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0739	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.039023	+2.85%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0194	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037414	+1.96%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0095	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039098	+1.79%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0010	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.03797	+1.50%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0155	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040034	+2.31%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0158	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040025	+1.30%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0567	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039271	+0.95%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0277	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040501	+0.77%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0581	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042779	-0.19%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1522	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040242	+0.00%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0680	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042449	-0.07%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1177	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037409	-1.06%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0818	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034306	-1.67%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0341	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031385	-2.07%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0450	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031503	-2.16%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0282	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030872	-2.15%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0418	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030583	-2.07%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0029	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030519	-2.03%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0359	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031944	-2.18%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0235	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032493	-2.19%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0505	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032431	-2.14%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0364	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035498	-2.48%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1096	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035079	-2.50%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0616	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035255	-2.52%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0794	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034407	-2.47%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0572	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034656	-2.51%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0408	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035149	-2.55%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0299	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034963	-2.45%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0419	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035782	-2.48%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0071	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035644	-2.37%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0208	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035686	-2.23%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0350	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.03577	-2.11%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0602	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036273	-1.96%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0100	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.03573	-1.83%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0056	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038768	-2.03%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0829	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038942	-1.96%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0547	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042395	-1.98%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1110	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041698	-1.94%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1009	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.04263	-1.98%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1276	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042386	-1.81%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1290	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042965	-1.66%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1197	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042687	-1.55%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0195	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042101	-1.59%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0258	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043319	-1.66%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0157	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043755	-1.63%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0178	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042629	-1.55%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0159	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045302	-1.73%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0758	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047171	-1.78%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1055	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048145	-1.83%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1367	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046407	-1.81%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1458	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045341	-1.63%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0502	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045925	-1.62%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0551	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046671	-1.60%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0697	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047193	-1.60%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0372	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046602	-1.54%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0270	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049463	-1.70%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0462	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048605	-1.63%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0122	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050422	-1.75%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0934	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051458	-1.84%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1135	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050134	-1.76%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0928	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048756	-1.64%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0560	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044563	-1.28%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0094	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044692	-1.19%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0090	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047341	-1.56%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0427	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045084	-1.33%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0397	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046537	-1.51%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0502	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046011	-1.50%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0485	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045829	-1.46%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0393	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049754	-1.85%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0754	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054253	-2.26%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.0966	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054494	-2.39%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0466	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055127	-2.40%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1085	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053411	-2.36%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0304	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055638	-2.46%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.0980	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060402	-2.84%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1875	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055649	-2.56%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0063	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055941	-2.69%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0668	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058475	-2.99%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0109	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060724	-3.41%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0101	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.06049	-3.54%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0953	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046036	-1.32%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2157	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045607	-1.05%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3243	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042535	+0.04%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2382	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047033	-0.38%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1271	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049756	-0.69%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1331	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048448	-0.07%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2166	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045191	+1.32%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2725	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046757	+1.40%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0411	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050887	+0.63%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0956	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05446	+0.31%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2101	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054696	+0.25%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0616	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058666	-0.78%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0065	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.06034	-1.03%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0142	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062388	-1.07%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0372	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061316	-0.50%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1009	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063076	-0.51%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.066942	-0.87%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067168	-0.79%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072886	-1.39%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076232	-1.48%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1782	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.078952	-1.50%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1865	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079364	-1.19%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2251	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085445	-1.79%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2450	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080718	-1.09%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1367	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080425	-0.86%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1599	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085045	-1.11%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1442	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088779	-1.29%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091449	-1.38%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1131	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098614	-1.64%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1584	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103602	-1.69%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101625	-1.69%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1963	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107871	-1.73%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2377	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.1165	-1.75%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2432	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124638	-1.80%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2662	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123143	-1.89%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2515	✓	1.00