MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s3

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

75.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1760

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0382

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.044247	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044449	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041945	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042526	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042371	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043595	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044983	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043778	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043833	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04268	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041751	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044756	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040957	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039212	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038533	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041724	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043608	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047335	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046423	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.047171	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043521	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.04714	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.038899	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039036	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.039253	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04082	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.04172	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043382	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.041961	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.040898	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.043775	-5.95%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0867	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.042758	-5.56%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.1187	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.040676	-5.38%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0298	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.040267	-5.00%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0782	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039036	-4.51%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0947	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034117	-3.32%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1937	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033541	-2.84%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2400	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033154	-2.72%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2103	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.03483	-2.46%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2180	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.0346	-2.45%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1486	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036298	-2.10%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1134	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.03701	-1.63%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1321	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036314	-1.50%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0612	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038259	-1.00%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0092	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041499	-1.53%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0674	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039768	-1.00%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0361	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039404	-0.44%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0688	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039972	-0.44%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1212	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038601	+0.03%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1198	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040259	+0.47%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1540	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036209	-1.31%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1142	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036936	-1.35%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1684	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037612	-0.86%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0169	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036145	-1.50%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0472	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.037987	-1.10%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0173	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037047	-0.97%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0586	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039438	+0.79%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0594	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.03972	+0.53%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0726	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039262	+0.93%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0346	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040796	+1.51%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0232	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043087	+0.53%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0701	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040718	+1.19%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0583	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043222	+1.75%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0550	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037438	-0.98%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0185	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033856	-2.96%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0176	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.03068	-4.28%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0820	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030744	-4.52%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1069	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030065	-4.71%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1232	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.02976	-4.71%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1087	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029704	-4.64%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0908	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031126	-4.68%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0945	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.03169	-4.60%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0982	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.03167	-4.44%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1029	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034544	-5.10%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1662	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034036	-5.40%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0546	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034097	-5.72%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1157	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033301	-5.61%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1278	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033551	-5.62%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1283	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033957	-5.86%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1705	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033775	-5.76%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1686	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034602	-5.69%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2238	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034461	-5.61%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2011	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034565	-5.30%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2296	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034748	-4.90%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2496	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035499	-4.06%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1933	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035008	-3.81%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.2037	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038188	-3.49%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2904	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038342	-3.47%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2663	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041925	-3.06%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3220	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041237	-3.03%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.3012	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042182	-3.01%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2430	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042062	-2.56%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2746	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042743	-2.17%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2392	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042488	-2.01%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2449	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041807	-2.28%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2645	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042935	-2.53%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2924	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043449	-2.32%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2928	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042275	-2.37%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2697	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044916	-2.57%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3470	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.04681	-2.53%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3697	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047797	-2.54%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3474	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045834	-3.02%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3473	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044817	-2.77%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2971	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045423	-2.69%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2246	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046228	-2.53%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2668	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046785	-2.45%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2972	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046209	-2.37%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3309	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049032	-2.56%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3430	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.04823	-2.39%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3042	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050031	-2.51%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3444	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051115	-2.49%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3405	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049856	-2.30%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3344	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048592	-1.97%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3162	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.04443	-1.57%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2592	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044458	-1.71%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3236	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.04704	-2.18%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3398	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044806	-1.94%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2196	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046384	-1.83%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2368	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.045985	-1.55%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1754	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045891	-1.33%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1749	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049769	-1.82%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1992	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054052	-2.63%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2721	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054156	-2.99%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2569	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054887	-2.82%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3011	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053079	-2.96%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2361	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055333	-2.99%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2538	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059998	-3.49%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3421	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.0551	-3.52%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2274	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055021	-4.30%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1310	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057106	-5.27%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1350	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059267	-5.73%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1715	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059355	-5.35%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1716	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.0456	-2.25%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0065	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045049	-2.26%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0312	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042074	-1.05%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0692	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046343	-1.84%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0059	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04865	-2.89%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0119	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04713	-2.78%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0651	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043908	-1.55%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0694	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.04523	-1.91%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0868	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048808	-3.49%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0816	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052049	-4.13%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0020	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.051693	-5.25%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0473	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.054453	-7.91%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0442	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.055465	-9.03%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1507	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.057322	-9.10%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1405	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.056299	-8.64%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.057818	-8.80%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.061247	-9.30%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.0612	-9.60%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.066577	-9.93%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.070077	-9.44%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.073173	-8.71%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.073629	-8.33%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0886	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079985	-8.06%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1914	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074076	-9.23%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.073115	-9.87%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.07813	-9.15%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1361	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.081828	-9.02%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1878	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.084593	-8.78%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.092899	-7.34%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2055	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.098536	-6.49%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2221	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.095382	-7.73%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4938	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.102706	-6.44%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5652	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.112617	-5.02%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6888	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.121577	-4.21%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6588	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.119585	-4.72%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6239	✓	1.00