KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s3

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1589

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0353

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037718	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039079	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.038159	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038678	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.040663	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.039065	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039136	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.039731	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.042742	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.041444	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.046782	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.050171	-11.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.052471	-13.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034488	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.035511	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.0368	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.037476	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035087	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035063	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.033916	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.034499	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.032646	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032091	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.030985	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.031665	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033158	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.032877	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031433	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030552	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.030849	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.031573	-3.43%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.3070	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029362	-3.24%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3252	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.02949	-3.31%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3159	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029116	-2.85%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3332	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027718	-3.76%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3715	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026981	-3.05%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3466	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026404	-2.59%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3523	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028278	-2.39%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3607	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.02835	-3.13%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3922	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.02835	-2.91%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3852	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.02838	-2.98%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4860	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026688	-2.42%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6410	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029372	-2.32%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6510	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.030807	-3.15%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1283	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030254	-2.55%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1617	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.030956	-1.63%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1574	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030551	-1.03%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1787	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030312	-0.52%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1029	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.03096	+2.09%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1316	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.02822	+0.59%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1243	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.029092	+0.74%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1099	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029658	+0.79%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0709	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027747	+0.68%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1049	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029162	+1.15%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0331	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.02927	+1.12%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0321	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.032305	+1.88%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0261	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032688	-0.14%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0099	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.032161	+0.35%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0568	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031504	+1.67%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0705	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031623	+0.23%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1114	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031812	-0.48%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1119	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.030832	+2.74%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0595	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.026359	+0.19%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0267	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023464	-1.80%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0847	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.020906	-2.79%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1648	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022159	-3.17%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0681	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022009	-3.74%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0277	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022853	-4.26%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0269	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023438	-4.84%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0336	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024462	-5.28%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0087	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.024707	-5.66%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0171	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.02536	-5.55%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.0993	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025228	-5.48%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0137	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025592	-5.29%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0389	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025838	-5.11%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0020	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025823	-4.68%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0056	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025362	-5.01%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0077	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025557	-4.96%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0230	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.02556	-4.75%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0524	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025073	-4.77%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0713	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025031	-4.82%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0423	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024408	-4.58%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0216	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024103	-4.33%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0627	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025121	-4.32%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0367	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024776	-4.41%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0224	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024936	-4.42%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0348	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024824	-3.84%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0828	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028892	-4.54%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0418	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028487	-4.47%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0778	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.02982	-4.82%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0958	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.029941	-4.33%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0695	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.030731	-4.19%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1580	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031417	-4.30%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2510	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.030829	-4.54%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3011	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030728	-4.75%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3569	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031323	-4.88%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3100	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031303	-5.16%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3008	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.031995	-5.56%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2833	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032038	-5.28%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2395	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032264	-5.38%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2016	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.032049	-5.53%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2185	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.032923	-5.95%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2009	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.032709	-5.94%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2053	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.032762	-6.13%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2024	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.031537	-6.17%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1701	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.031206	-6.08%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1772	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.031623	-6.61%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.1819	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.03162	-6.62%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1701	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.03295	-6.58%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2115	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.032995	-6.45%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2308	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033036	-6.73%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2410	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.03235	-6.10%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2517	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.031745	-5.66%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2692	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.032969	-5.56%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3119	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.032925	-5.89%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.2907	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.032375	-5.35%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2773	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.032008	-5.13%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2677	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.032256	-5.23%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1374	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031274	-4.86%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1112	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.031908	-5.08%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0621	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.034326	-6.25%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1241	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.034597	-6.78%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1031	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.033597	-5.93%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0646	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.033905	-6.11%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0609	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.034222	-5.65%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0741	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.034481	-5.03%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0701	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.035556	-5.23%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0676	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.03567	-5.46%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0284	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.03568	-5.31%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0340	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.035657	-5.18%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0357	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.034603	-4.46%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0076	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.034536	-3.92%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0110	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.034941	-3.48%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0074	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033224	-2.14%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0169	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.034583	-2.03%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0465	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036832	-1.86%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0934	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035917	-1.46%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0592	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036098	-1.51%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.1049	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.037179	-1.72%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0869	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.03945	-2.76%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.1030	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.042027	-3.85%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1525	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.042648	-4.14%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1499	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.046053	-4.67%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1949	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.044911	-3.47%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0811	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.046713	-3.81%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1428	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046733	-4.24%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1612	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.04703	-3.62%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1862	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045895	-3.28%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1440	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.04743	-2.70%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1948	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.04922	-2.05%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.2020	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049816	-2.72%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1516	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.050966	-2.53%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1792	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.050819	-3.04%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2169	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.052292	-2.82%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2258	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050589	-1.90%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1798	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049181	-1.44%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1520	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.05007	-1.89%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1541	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050587	-1.22%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1683	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.046268	+0.82%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0764	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.047667	+2.89%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0883	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.049709	+4.02%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.1294	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.048433	+2.36%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.1197	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.048958	+3.44%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.1129	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.050176	+3.40%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1719	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.051236	+3.60%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1529	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.049253	+2.91%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0856	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.05012	+2.41%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1391	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.048409	+2.78%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0692	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.050282	+6.89%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0340	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.050231	+6.56%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0021	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.048516	+4.92%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.0939	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.047664	+4.60%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.0810	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.047824	+4.76%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1036	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.047146	+3.64%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0451	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.045767	+0.74%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.0911	✓	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.04623	+0.61%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.0842	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.047329	+0.22%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0674	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.048537	+1.51%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0168	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.049927	+3.02%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0124	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.049615	+1.62%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0177	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.04901	+1.17%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0503	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.049441	+1.78%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0773	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.04901	+2.59%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1036	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.048783	+0.87%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0821	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048553	-0.26%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0386	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046958	-0.34%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0199	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049064	-0.23%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0229	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051634	+0.25%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0124	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048028	-0.48%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0851	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046794	-1.21%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0665	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046291	-1.51%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0601	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047079	-1.97%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0597	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045117	-3.09%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0872	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.04615	-2.78%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0672	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046131	-3.00%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0550	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045548	-3.41%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0727	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045267	-3.37%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0487	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046338	-3.33%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0957	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.04495	-4.27%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1337	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.045049	-4.22%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1246	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045217	-5.05%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1654	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046388	-5.44%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.1947	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.046369	-5.65%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1953	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045465	-5.18%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1544	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044242	-5.11%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.0988	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042552	-4.93%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0644	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.042823	-4.72%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0650	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.042859	-4.35%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0626	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.04429	-4.09%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1001	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.046988	-4.16%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.0967	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.048724	-3.95%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0980	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.049395	-4.34%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1334	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.04895	-4.05%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1345	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.048163	-4.22%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1306	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.048519	-4.22%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1065	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.049374	-4.27%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.0994	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.049323	-4.32%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.0944	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.051259	-4.45%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.0867	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.053289	-4.05%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1184	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.054066	-3.50%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1315	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.052742	-3.68%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1372	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.052083	-4.19%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1341	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.051732	-4.34%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1022	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.052268	-4.58%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1391	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.052557	-4.62%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1468	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.052582	-4.49%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1401	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.04863	-3.91%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0825	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.047713	-3.70%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.0981	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.050904	-4.48%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1084	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.050583	-4.26%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.0882	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.051632	-4.21%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0186	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.052806	-3.90%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0248	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.051452	-4.54%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0193	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.052624	-4.83%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0799	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.052237	-4.45%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1596	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.05303	-4.54%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1652	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.053133	-4.50%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1692	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.053952	-4.65%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1637	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.054499	-4.49%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1350	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.050941	-3.97%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1269	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.051235	-4.04%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1309	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053068	-4.27%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0797	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.054371	-4.46%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1158	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.053983	-4.42%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0684	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.053502	-4.28%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0901	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.054063	-4.41%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1216	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.05487	-4.51%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1064	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.0555	-4.56%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0761	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.054564	-4.52%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0713	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.057756	-5.10%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1171	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.054834	-4.70%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0706	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.054076	-4.52%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0852	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.053088	-4.29%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0523	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.052007	-4.19%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0204	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.05278	-4.43%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0411	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.053028	-4.50%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0433	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.052784	-4.33%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0270	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.054203	-4.76%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0052	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.048504	-2.53%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0056	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.055096	-5.15%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0596	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.055751	-5.62%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0626	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.059134	-6.67%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0444	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.051143	-5.40%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2207	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.052037	-5.95%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2576	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.054019	-6.35%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3983	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.053945	-6.48%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3953	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.061237	-6.71%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3623	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.068488	-7.70%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2345	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.066649	-7.75%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2379	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.070968	-8.89%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1817	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.083987	-11.91%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0153	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065987	-8.58%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2360	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049578	-5.22%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5338	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049696	-5.11%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5213	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.047977	-5.00%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5493	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.051835	-4.96%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5608	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.052545	-5.05%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5548	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056172	-5.18%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4866	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056437	-5.43%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4737	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.057053	-5.62%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5071	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.06013	-5.32%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4370	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.060896	-5.70%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4457	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056641	-6.68%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4148	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059302	-6.79%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3098	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.059632	-6.69%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2896	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061327	-6.71%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2662	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.062307	-6.87%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2670	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.062914	-6.42%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3497	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.065348	-6.86%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4279	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.063221	-5.82%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3528	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.058701	-5.81%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3334	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.055854	-5.12%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3671	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.055563	-5.21%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2396	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.053832	-4.79%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2317	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.052767	-4.55%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1554	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.053585	-4.26%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1489	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.053173	-4.18%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1723	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.054181	-4.14%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2914	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.055574	-4.05%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2542	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.053647	-3.59%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3865	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.05365	-3.39%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5399	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.055937	-3.25%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2208	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.056564	-3.15%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1144	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.057934	-3.13%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1151	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.057679	-2.85%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1271	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.058342	-2.90%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1416	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.058532	-2.70%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1526	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.054133	-2.15%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0759	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.061136	-2.77%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1815	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.068708	-3.41%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2550	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.068861	-3.39%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2552	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.071154	-3.66%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2163	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.07312	-3.76%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2019	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.072118	-3.49%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1353	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.073857	-3.42%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1084	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.073705	-3.19%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0889	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.076294	-3.41%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1037	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.075589	-3.12%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1277	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.075898	-3.05%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1334	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.075489	-3.29%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.1944	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.074646	-3.02%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2170	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.077632	-3.31%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2514	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.078378	-3.21%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2315	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.076927	-3.07%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2635	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.073608	-2.51%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3088	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.07602	-2.85%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2697	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.076519	-2.86%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2525	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.077215	-2.83%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2562	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.078817	-2.97%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2435	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.079739	-2.77%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3008	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.079493	-2.75%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3557	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.079132	-2.58%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3011	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.077924	-2.17%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3005	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.075814	-1.68%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3141	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.075048	-1.25%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3049	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.078403	-1.97%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3010	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.081214	-2.51%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2332	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.083466	-2.75%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2622	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082342	-2.76%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1514	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.084557	-3.04%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0475	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085225	-3.06%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0028	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.084369	-2.68%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0075	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.090671	-2.82%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0054	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.095163	-2.84%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0234	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.096218	-2.74%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0398	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.10156	-2.66%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0388	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.09821	-2.63%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0019	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.098197	-2.68%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0123	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.096696	-2.23%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0244	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.088612	-1.56%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0917	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.089827	-1.56%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1087	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.08451	-0.87%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1161	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.091723	-1.10%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1027	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.102398	-1.69%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0661	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.103033	-1.87%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1013	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.102009	-1.46%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0585	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.100514	-1.41%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0529	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.105177	-1.77%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0397	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.106495	-1.51%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0936	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.108324	-1.76%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1201	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.108724	-2.19%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1809	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.105585	-2.39%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1473	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.105846	-2.87%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1449	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.104965	-3.25%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1504	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.100971	-3.63%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1256	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.10167	-3.91%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1527	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.102852	-4.28%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1274	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.101617	-4.40%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.1107	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.098594	-4.37%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1182	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.098018	-4.09%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.1002	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.101376	-4.65%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0774	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.105025	-4.71%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0880	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.108488	-4.39%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0739	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.113957	-4.21%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0709	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.106231	-4.39%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1221	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.100725	-4.28%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1128	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.098909	-4.13%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1556	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.13405	-3.66%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0742	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.138744	-3.12%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1283	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.136904	-3.62%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2061	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.146235	-3.05%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2650	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.144533	-3.33%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3064	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.144676	-4.09%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2873	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.147703	-4.38%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2347	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.148025	-4.82%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2386	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.147085	-5.32%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2562	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.141702	-6.16%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2658	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.143647	-6.34%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2460	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.144338	-6.72%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.2969	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.141313	-6.87%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.2997	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.14255	-7.05%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3054	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.13847	-7.28%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2779	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.141402	-6.38%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2321	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.141046	-6.47%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2383	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.141567	-6.43%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2376	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.151573	-6.66%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2785	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.146869	-6.35%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2465	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.146736	-6.39%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2340	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.149261	-6.27%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2432	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.149856	-6.35%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2574	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.