GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +7d
assessed
69
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
40.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1514
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0335
actual -0.0505
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.24835 | 0.244063 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.24485 | 0.240685 | -1.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.254084 | -2.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.228638 | -1.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.21205 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.211176 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.213575 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.225484 | -1.84% | 0.24835 | +8.12% | 0.0942 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.21039 | -1.78% | 0.24485 | +14.31% | 0.1491 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.20321 | -1.66% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2453 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.207738 | -1.96% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1144 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.226835 | -1.97% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0481 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.229065 | -2.11% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0598 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.220365 | -2.13% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.222736 | -2.44% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.217993 | -2.25% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.221891 | -2.03% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.218997 | -2.04% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.217532 | -1.90% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0642 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.211131 | -2.21% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1041 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.211137 | -2.16% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0656 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.203467 | -2.06% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1177 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.203116 | -2.07% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.0936 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.199758 | -1.79% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1241 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.201658 | -1.97% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1012 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.198003 | -1.83% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1113 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.19984 | -1.97% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0770 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.204947 | -2.10% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0512 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.200616 | -2.00% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0345 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.190085 | -2.22% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0881 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.192085 | -1.87% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0602 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.188122 | -2.15% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0932 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.183363 | -4.15% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0914 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.185491 | -4.29% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0907 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.18024 | -4.84% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1460 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.167243 | -6.41% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.2069 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.15633 | -6.67% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.2226 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.156822 | -6.74% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.2278 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.158944 | -6.78% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1965 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.158737 | -6.76% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1903 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.160136 | -6.73% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1942 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.163432 | -6.58% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1507 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.157955 | -6.34% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.1232 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.15041 | -6.14% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.1076 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.156787 | -6.23% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0695 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.158455 | -6.07% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0731 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.153893 | -5.88% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.1025 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.153553 | -5.62% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.153804 | -5.00% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.1300 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.154852 | -4.53% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0884 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.152968 | -3.61% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0469 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.145458 | -3.29% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1394 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.158159 | -3.15% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0652 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.169221 | -2.97% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0317 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.165221 | -3.04% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0143 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.158554 | -3.85% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.165232 | -3.77% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.176647 | -3.31% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.0851 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.191493 | -2.70% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.199132 | -2.34% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.1931 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.228806 | -1.16% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2707 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.243987 | -0.90% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3742 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.285321 | -0.10% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.274923 | -1.28% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.298209 | -1.97% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.285405 | -2.66% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.273104 | -2.91% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.4951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.274065 | -3.09% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3815 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.283274 | -3.12% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.293639 | -3.06% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.312676 | -3.17% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2565 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.307805 | -3.02% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.1006 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.307516 | -2.96% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.317269 | -3.18% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.302028 | -2.92% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.287939 | -2.76% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 1.00 |