GRVT

GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #373
symbol: GRVT
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-30
predictions: 228

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0371

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0077

actual -0.0048

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.24835	0.246809	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.24485	0.243099	-0.71%	0.24835	+1.43%	0.0211	✗	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.25965	0.257315	-0.90%	0.24485	-5.70%	0.0514	✓	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.23295	0.231542	-0.60%	0.25965	+11.46%	0.1132	✗	0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.21595	0.214948	-0.46%	0.23295	+7.87%	0.0807	✗	0.11
2026-10-17	oos	0.21555	0.214456	-0.51%	0.21595	+0.19%	0.0061	✗	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.2179	0.216845	-0.48%	0.21555	-1.08%	0.0058	✓	0.11
2026-10-15	oos	0.2297	0.228655	-0.46%	0.2179	-5.14%	0.0475	✓	0.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.2142	0.21332	-0.41%	0.2297	+7.24%	0.0734	✗	0.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.20665	0.205846	-0.39%	0.2142	+3.65%	0.0419	✗	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.2119	0.210951	-0.45%	0.20665	-2.48%	0.0226	✓	0.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.2314	0.230214	-0.51%	0.2119	-8.43%	0.0817	✓	0.05
2026-10-10	oos	0.234	0.232699	-0.56%	0.2314	-1.11%	0.0061	✓	0.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.22515	0.223883	-0.56%	0.234	+3.93%	0.0440	✗	0.05
2026-10-08	oos	0.2283	0.226829	-0.64%	0.22515	-1.38%	0.0080	✓	0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.223	0.221696	-0.58%	0.2283	+2.38%	0.0308	✗	0.08
2026-10-06	oos	0.2265	0.225185	-0.58%	0.223	-1.55%	0.0081	✓	0.06
2026-10-05	oos	0.22355	0.222263	-0.58%	0.2265	+1.32%	0.0190	✗	0.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.22175	0.220514	-0.56%	0.22355	+0.81%	0.0143	✗	0.07
2026-10-03	oos	0.2159	0.214556	-0.62%	0.22175	+2.71%	0.0318	✗	0.06
2026-10-02	oos	0.2158	0.214416	-0.64%	0.2159	+0.05%	0.0067	✗	0.06
2026-10-01	oos	0.20775	0.206462	-0.62%	0.2158	+3.87%	0.0445	✗	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.2074	0.206129	-0.61%	0.20775	+0.17%	0.0068	✗	0.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.2034	0.202321	-0.53%	0.2074	+1.97%	0.0249	✗	0.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.2057	0.204437	-0.61%	0.2034	-1.12%	0.0052	✓	0.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.2017	0.200507	-0.59%	0.2057	+1.98%	0.0266	✗	0.08
2026-09-26	oos	0.20385	0.202552	-0.64%	0.2017	-1.05%	0.0043	✓	0.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.20935	0.207945	-0.67%	0.20385	-2.63%	0.0202	✓	0.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.2047	0.203423	-0.62%	0.20935	+2.27%	0.0290	✗	0.09
2026-09-23	oos	0.1944	0.19312	-0.66%	0.2047	+5.30%	0.0582	✗	0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.19575	0.194587	-0.59%	0.1944	-0.69%	0.0011	✓	0.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.19225	0.190967	-0.67%	0.19575	+1.82%	0.0252	✗	0.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.1913	0.189254	-1.07%	0.19225	+0.50%	0.0094	✓	0.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.1938	0.191611	-1.13%	0.1913	-1.29%	0.0015	✓	0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.1894	0.187026	-1.25%	0.1938	+2.32%	0.0352	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.1787	0.176104	-1.45%	0.1894	+5.99%	0.0756	✗	-0.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.1675	0.16515	-1.40%	0.1787	+6.69%	0.0790	✗	-0.05
2026-09-15	oos	0.16815	0.165822	-1.38%	0.1675	-0.39%	0.0104	✓	-0.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.1705	0.168018	-1.46%	0.16815	-1.38%	0.0013	✓	-0.06
2026-09-13	oos	0.17025	0.167886	-1.39%	0.1705	+0.15%	0.0167	✗	-0.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.1717	0.169294	-1.40%	0.17025	-0.84%	0.0052	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.17495	0.172506	-1.40%	0.1717	-1.86%	0.0046	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.16865	0.166521	-1.26%	0.17495	+3.74%	0.0501	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.16025	0.158381	-1.17%	0.16865	+5.24%	0.0628	✗	-0.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.1672	0.165046	-1.29%	0.16025	-4.16%	0.0295	✓	-0.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.1687	0.166455	-1.33%	0.1672	-0.89%	0.0044	✓	-0.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1635	0.161429	-1.27%	0.1687	+3.18%	0.0446	✗	0.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.1627	0.160784	-1.18%	0.1635	+0.49%	0.0165	✗	0.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1619	0.160308	-0.98%	0.1627	+0.49%	0.0147	✗	0.04
2026-09-03	oos	0.1622	0.160697	-0.93%	0.1619	-0.18%	0.0085	✓	0.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.1587	0.157882	-0.52%	0.1622	+2.21%	0.0287	✗	-0.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.1504	0.149778	-0.41%	0.1587	+5.52%	0.0579	✗	-0.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.1633	0.162516	-0.48%	0.1504	-7.90%	0.0790	✓	-0.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.1744	0.173532	-0.50%	0.1633	-6.36%	0.0599	✓	-0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.1704	0.169505	-0.53%	0.1744	+2.35%	0.0281	✗	-0.05
2026-08-28	oos	0.1649	0.163734	-0.71%	0.1704	+3.34%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.1717	0.170325	-0.80%	0.1649	-3.96%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.1827	0.181361	-0.73%	0.1717	-6.02%	0.0704	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.1968	0.195518	-0.65%	0.1827	-7.16%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.2039	0.202661	-0.61%	0.1968	-3.48%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.2315	0.230621	-0.38%	0.2039	-11.92%	0.1391	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.2462	0.24537	-0.34%	0.2315	-5.97%	0.0669	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.2856	0.284986	-0.22%	0.2462	-13.80%	0.1299	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.2785	0.277274	-0.44%	0.2856	+2.55%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.3042	0.302319	-0.62%	0.2785	-8.45%	0.1342	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.2932	0.291133	-0.71%	0.3042	+3.75%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.2813	0.279189	-0.75%	0.2932	+4.23%	0.0458	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.2828	0.280633	-0.77%	0.2813	-0.53%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.2924	0.29011	-0.78%	0.2828	-3.28%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.3029	0.3006	-0.76%	0.2924	-3.47%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.3229	0.320195	-0.84%	0.3029	-6.19%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.3174	0.314911	-0.78%	0.3229	+1.73%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.3169	0.314345	-0.81%	0.3174	+0.16%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.3277	0.324365	-1.02%	0.3169	-3.30%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.3111	0.308524	-0.83%	0.3277	+5.34%	0.0749	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.2961	0.293853	-0.76%	0.3111	+5.07%	0.0580	✗	1.00