GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
47.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0364
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0040
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.265107 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.257182 | -0.95% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.231394 | -0.67% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1139 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.21492 | -0.48% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0808 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214516 | -0.48% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216829 | -0.49% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228496 | -0.52% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.213211 | -0.46% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205793 | -0.41% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.210985 | -0.43% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230237 | -0.50% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.232756 | -0.53% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.223974 | -0.52% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.226956 | -0.59% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.221895 | -0.50% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0299 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225355 | -0.51% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.222521 | -0.46% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220755 | -0.45% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214893 | -0.47% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214696 | -0.51% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206864 | -0.43% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.206456 | -0.46% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.202539 | -0.42% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.204685 | -0.49% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200908 | -0.39% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202998 | -0.42% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.208368 | -0.47% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.203788 | -0.45% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.193627 | -0.40% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0556 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.195043 | -0.36% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.191611 | -0.33% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.190295 | -0.53% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.192724 | -0.56% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.18829 | -0.59% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.177353 | -0.75% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0685 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.166342 | -0.69% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0718 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.166955 | -0.71% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0036 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.169382 | -0.66% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0094 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.169055 | -0.70% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0097 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170528 | -0.68% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0020 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173692 | -0.72% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0115 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167477 | -0.70% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0444 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159505 | -0.46% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0557 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.166375 | -0.49% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0375 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.167856 | -0.50% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0040 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162985 | -0.32% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0350 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.162291 | -0.25% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161642 | -0.16% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.162079 | -0.07% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158812 | +0.07% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0228 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150867 | +0.31% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0506 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.16358 | +0.17% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0855 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174572 | +0.10% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0658 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170737 | +0.20% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0209 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.165414 | +0.31% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.1721 | +0.23% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0119 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.183001 | +0.16% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.196954 | +0.08% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.204018 | +0.06% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.23144 | -0.03% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.246027 | -0.07% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.285356 | -0.09% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277821 | -0.24% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.302864 | -0.44% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291668 | -0.52% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.27991 | -0.49% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281357 | -0.51% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290845 | -0.53% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301222 | -0.55% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320945 | -0.61% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315524 | -0.59% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314908 | -0.63% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.324936 | -0.84% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.30926 | -0.59% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0725 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294465 | -0.55% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0559 | ✗ | 1.00 |