FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0354

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046736	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.04754	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.046492	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046709	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049807	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051201	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.051262	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.052094	-3.22%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.0996	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.057992	-3.69%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1756	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.057125	-3.84%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1852	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.064011	-4.19%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2793	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062631	-4.20%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1912	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061566	-4.53%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1478	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.058857	-4.73%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1108	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.061183	-5.02%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1161	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.065427	-5.19%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0686	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.069844	-5.22%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1388	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.066364	-5.33%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0242	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.068844	-5.47%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0391	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.060592	-5.58%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0755	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.063873	-5.59%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0124	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.065135	-5.62%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0092	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.062336	-5.59%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0888	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.057556	-5.70%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2316	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.064976	-5.87%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0645	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.062928	-5.90%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1442	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.055379	-5.68%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1450	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.056085	-6.05%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.1850	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.055844	-6.47%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2215	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.056244	-6.76%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.1905	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.056686	-7.16%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1108	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.05812	-6.28%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1321	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.065765	-6.65%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.062579	-6.26%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.060701	-5.30%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1167	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.052842	-3.42%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043656	-0.18%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1920	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048589	-1.01%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1262	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048006	-0.36%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2008	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050365	-0.36%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2855	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051116	+0.04%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2205	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052453	+0.24%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2030	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051843	+0.90%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.054075	+1.09%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1750	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.05615	+1.48%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1228	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.057242	+2.09%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1273	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.056328	+2.16%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0756	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.056641	+2.26%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.060177	+1.95%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0798	✗	1.00