FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1686
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1043
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.045115 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.045856 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.044701 | -5.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.044788 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.047441 | -7.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.048546 | -7.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.04842 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.048966 | -9.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.05409 | -10.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.05306 | -10.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.059102 | -11.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.057762 | -11.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.056488 | -12.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.053798 | -12.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.055646 | -13.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.059329 | -14.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.063211 | -14.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.059995 | -14.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.062023 | -14.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.0545 | -15.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.057365 | -15.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.058351 | -15.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.055834 | -15.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.051414 | -15.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.057838 | -16.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.055976 | -16.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.049343 | -15.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.049603 | -16.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.049008 | -17.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.049138 | -18.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.049147 | -19.51% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.050762 | -18.15% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.057239 | -18.75% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.1937 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.054553 | -18.28% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.053603 | -16.38% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.1111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.047173 | -13.78% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.039904 | -8.76% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.1980 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.044061 | -10.24% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1578 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.0439 | -8.88% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2371 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.046132 | -8.73% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.1965 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.047036 | -7.94% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.2705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.04844 | -7.43% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.048019 | -6.54% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2418 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.050331 | -5.91% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.1644 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.052611 | -4.91% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.1509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.054057 | -3.59% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.1815 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.053396 | -3.15% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.2506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.054245 | -2.07% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.1741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.058105 | -1.56% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.1839 | ✗ | 1.00 |