FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0479

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0085

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047503	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048347	-0.48%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0106	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.0473	-0.44%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0156	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047568	-0.46%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050853	-0.54%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0687	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052375	-0.60%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0228	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052506	-0.65%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0101	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.05347	-0.67%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0176	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059721	-0.82%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0894	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058895	-0.86%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0095	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065997	-1.22%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0903	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064723	-1.01%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0260	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.06382	-1.03%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0214	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061144	-1.03%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0470	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063698	-1.11%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0196	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.06818	-1.20%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0435	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072645	-1.42%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0502	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069157	-1.35%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0681	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071671	-1.58%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0340	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063346	-1.28%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1379	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066746	-1.34%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0371	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067945	-1.55%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0129	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065098	-1.40%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0590	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060232	-1.32%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0906	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067927	-1.60%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1013	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065742	-1.69%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0485	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057914	-1.36%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1421	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058795	-1.52%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0003	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058723	-1.65%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059357	-1.61%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060016	-1.71%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0097	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061044	-1.57%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.068969	-2.10%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065439	-1.97%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0694	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062866	-1.92%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054057	-1.19%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1677	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043767	+0.07%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2158	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049005	-0.16%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0801	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048184	+0.01%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.05054	-0.01%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051134	+0.08%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052373	+0.08%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0335	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051522	+0.28%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053649	+0.30%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0411	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055525	+0.35%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056318	+0.44%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055399	+0.48%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.05566	+0.49%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059269	+0.41%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0479	✗	1.00