FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s3

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

85.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2183

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0344

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004113	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004175	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003765	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003748	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003893	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004127	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004245	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004621	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004653	+0.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004517	-0.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004877	+1.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004874	+0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004754	+0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004675	+0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.005104	+2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005535	+2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005693	+3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005415	+4.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005439	+2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005417	+2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005377	+1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005329	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005428	+1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005372	+2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005857	+2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006101	+1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006509	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.00643	+0.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006366	+0.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007245	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006916	+0.40%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4439	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006431	-1.88%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4326	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006592	-1.51%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5461	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006725	-2.40%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5803	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006034	-3.90%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4801	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.00575	-3.32%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3699	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005847	-3.28%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.3875	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006215	-2.03%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3255	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006237	-3.11%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3813	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006349	-2.62%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.3975	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006294	-2.40%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3512	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006021	-2.15%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3047	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.00636	-1.99%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3498	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.006956	-2.68%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4495	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.00703	-2.05%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.3985	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007145	-0.66%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3476	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007137	-0.12%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3405	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007224	+0.71%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4191	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007354	+3.30%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3772	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007134	+1.21%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4128	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007185	+1.16%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4224	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007545	+3.57%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4275	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007506	+4.58%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4217	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.00794	+5.67%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4787	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007924	+6.19%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4094	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009706	+3.72%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5206	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009473	+2.78%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4276	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.00922	+2.80%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4295	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009424	+2.54%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.4586	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009494	+1.51%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.3580	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009398	+0.86%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4155	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009833	+1.30%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4372	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008809	-1.56%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3623	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008193	-2.78%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.2956	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007753	-3.90%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3449	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.00794	-4.05%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4033	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008196	-4.46%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4394	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008197	-4.57%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4136	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008136	-4.28%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3798	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008286	-4.50%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.3859	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008306	-4.57%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4092	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.0085	-4.86%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4688	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008453	-5.04%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4243	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008522	-5.00%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3277	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008409	-5.00%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3165	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008278	-5.16%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3114	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.00792	-5.13%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.2734	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007801	-4.57%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2524	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007799	-4.55%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2797	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.00808	-4.95%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.2965	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.007976	-4.77%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2753	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.007922	-4.68%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2683	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.007973	-4.27%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.2796	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.007918	-3.40%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2192	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007837	-2.84%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2205	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008048	-2.67%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0481	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.00802	-2.68%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0493	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008579	-2.31%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1109	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008455	-1.92%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.0909	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008379	-1.25%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0583	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008788	-1.32%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0867	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009056	-1.57%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0743	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.00902	-2.06%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.0869	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008787	-2.33%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.0893	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008704	-2.34%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0760	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008783	-2.14%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0560	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008764	-2.28%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0097	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.008845	-2.45%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0211	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009228	-2.98%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0632	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009383	-2.57%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0611	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009164	-2.75%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0645	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009474	-2.04%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0564	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009482	-2.22%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0648	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009776	-2.29%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.0944	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009096	-1.92%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0465	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.00917	-1.96%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0780	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008877	-1.62%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0721	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009733	-2.05%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1809	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009303	-2.07%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1344	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009362	-1.74%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1004	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009736	-1.75%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1618	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009174	-1.06%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1131	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.00881	-1.13%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.0876	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.00898	-1.65%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1600	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009102	-1.78%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1624	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.00874	-1.64%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1026	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010098	-2.86%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2425	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.010994	-3.44%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.2797	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012589	-5.30%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4286	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011327	-3.57%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3285	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011519	-3.73%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.2891	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012101	-4.28%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3016	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.011921	-4.08%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3005	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012293	-4.20%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3241	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.011986	-3.82%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3109	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012295	-4.21%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3383	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.01218	-4.00%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.2993	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012452	-4.34%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.2947	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012553	-4.12%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2578	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012325	-4.03%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2376	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012255	-3.69%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2349	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.011866	-2.99%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2070	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012021	-3.15%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2174	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010818	-1.52%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1079	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011262	-1.92%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2109	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011111	-2.34%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1628	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.01143	-2.71%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2366	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011399	-2.17%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1732	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011021	-1.63%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1776	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012134	-2.92%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2349	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013391	-4.31%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.2880	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.012855	-4.10%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2763	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.013854	-4.65%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3635	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013305	-3.45%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2572	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013392	-2.62%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2766	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.01345	-1.84%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.3168	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013591	-1.31%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1746	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013922	-1.16%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0912	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014641	-0.72%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0173	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015146	+0.02%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1554	✗	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015218	+0.19%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1565	✗	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015275	-0.81%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1340	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.01566	-1.58%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1756	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016318	-1.36%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1838	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015839	-0.32%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1707	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020395	-6.85%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.3844	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016429	-2.22%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1867	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016377	-2.25%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1655	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016913	-2.44%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1935	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017655	-2.11%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2477	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019286	-2.58%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3379	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019168	-3.47%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3655	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019719	-3.47%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3785	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.02039	-3.08%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5163	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021358	-3.27%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5109	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021027	-3.75%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5197	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.020786	-3.53%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4819	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019548	-1.93%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.4027	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019874	-0.30%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4090	✓	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019727	-0.02%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.3036	✓	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019722	-0.62%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1980	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.01906	-0.30%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2364	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018369	-0.27%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1657	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017683	+0.45%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.2067	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017293	-0.82%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.2044	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017341	-1.29%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2122	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018163	-1.43%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2471	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018641	-0.60%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2482	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019352	-0.70%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2422	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018051	-1.78%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1714	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018192	-2.28%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1753	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018224	-1.64%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1512	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018383	-1.83%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1151	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.018988	-3.83%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1510	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018418	-4.27%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1656	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.018967	-5.33%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.1081	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019046	-4.04%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1398	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019358	-2.70%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1482	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018671	-3.76%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1097	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018038	-3.11%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0504	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018216	-3.22%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0015	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017381	-2.57%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0753	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016082	-4.19%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.1226	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.016889	-2.88%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1184	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017421	-3.37%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1293	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018065	-4.79%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0829	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.017904	-4.61%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0745	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.017725	-3.73%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0190	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017508	-4.54%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0278	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.01809	-5.13%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0627	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.016656	-4.59%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0189	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016033	-4.30%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0309	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016157	-4.35%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0163	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.015985	-3.89%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0303	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016075	-4.14%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0211	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016147	-4.35%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0323	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.01582	-4.12%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0189	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.015979	-4.08%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0190	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.01632	-4.11%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0214	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017448	-4.60%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0580	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.018616	-4.94%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0740	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.017609	-4.56%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0412	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018205	-4.51%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0587	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018236	-4.74%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0273	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018463	-4.74%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0459	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.018793	-4.68%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0221	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.01982	-5.14%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.0720	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020088	-5.10%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.0823	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.021468	-5.30%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1163	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.022495	-5.35%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.1886	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.022371	-5.48%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.1894	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.022404	-5.69%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.2683	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.021761	-5.57%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2572	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022082	-5.81%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.2715	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.021877	-5.81%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2292	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.021599	-5.79%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1532	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.022438	-6.19%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2140	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.02179	-6.02%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2487	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022068	-6.27%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2069	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.021319	-6.06%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1238	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.02087	-6.07%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1281	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.021288	-6.39%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.1597	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.021944	-6.46%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2389	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.022576	-6.88%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.2944	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.023549	-6.97%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.3812	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.024605	-7.46%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.3728	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.025068	-7.55%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4199	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.027531	-8.70%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.4826	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.025541	-8.00%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.3784	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.025805	-8.58%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4313	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.025368	-7.66%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.3795	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.023787	-7.33%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3095	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.023755	-7.56%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.2751	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.02492	-8.19%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2610	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.021966	-6.76%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1612	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023308	-7.31%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2440	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.022761	-7.09%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1317	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022264	-7.12%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.0949	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.020724	-6.39%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0027	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.021415	-6.74%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0138	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.020784	-6.28%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0732	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.019951	-5.21%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.019436	-4.90%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.1136	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.019902	-5.08%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1390	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.02135	-5.44%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0827	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.0222	-5.22%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.022811	-4.57%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0592	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.025346	-4.97%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.022854	-3.63%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0390	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.025583	-5.11%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.026922	-5.53%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1269	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030754	-6.32%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2227	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.031025	-6.28%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1615	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.031458	-6.43%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1272	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.034507	-7.27%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.032721	-7.04%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.038031	-8.03%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.035967	-7.53%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.1017	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.033499	-7.25%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.032568	-7.29%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1578	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.035517	-7.61%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0641	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.