FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s3

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +1d

assessed

271

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

56.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0345

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00429	0.004269	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004269	0.004248	-0.50%	0.00429	+0.48%	0.0068	✗	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.00425	-0.62%	0.004269	-0.18%	0.0125	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003841	-0.24%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0905	✗	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003815	-0.25%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0119	✗	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003989	-0.34%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0520	✓	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.00426	-0.35%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0605	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004317	-0.26%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0001	✓	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004672	-0.41%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0851	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004613	-0.29%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0416	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004518	-0.19%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0018	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004811	-0.23%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0308	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004812	-0.37%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0098	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004729	-0.15%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0155	✗	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004635	-0.17%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0085	✗	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004983	-0.38%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0464	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005403	-0.14%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0442	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005483	-0.29%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0103	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005192	-0.04%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0684	✗	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005268	-0.26%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0402	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005251	-0.24%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0022	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005277	-0.01%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0027	✗	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005269	-0.06%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0181	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005342	-0.06%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0120	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005251	-0.13%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0150	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.00571	-0.23%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0679	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006015	-0.22%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0503	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006499	-0.39%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0801	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006357	-0.55%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0305	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006284	-0.52%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0170	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007201	-1.13%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1074	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006859	-0.42%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0650	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006513	-0.63%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0177	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006633	-0.89%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0110	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006844	-0.67%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0273	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.00624	-0.62%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0363	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005921	-0.44%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0558	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006018	-0.45%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0196	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006313	-0.49%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0082	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006413	-0.37%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0295	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006498	-0.32%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0032	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006423	-0.40%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0141	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006129	-0.39%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0418	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006474	-0.23%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0273	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007124	-0.33%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0910	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007155	-0.31%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0081	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007174	-0.25%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0178	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.00713	-0.23%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0017	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007158	-0.21%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0038	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007108	-0.16%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0309	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007034	-0.21%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0490	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.0071	-0.03%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0057	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007289	+0.04%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0092	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007186	+0.12%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0010	✓	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007521	+0.10%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0393	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007467	+0.06%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0010	✓	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009317	-0.44%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1948	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009174	-0.46%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0061	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008935	-0.38%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0254	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009152	-0.42%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0150	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009285	-0.72%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0247	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009255	-0.67%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0026	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.00961	-0.99%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0164	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008862	-0.96%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0333	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008373	-0.64%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0251	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008018	-0.61%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0061	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008238	-0.45%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0230	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008536	-0.49%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0499	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008548	-0.49%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0056	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.00846	-0.47%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0147	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008631	-0.53%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0100	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008652	-0.59%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0027	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008872	-0.70%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0177	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008825	-0.86%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0170	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008917	-0.59%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0098	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.00879	-0.70%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0211	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008654	-0.85%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0224	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008275	-0.87%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0457	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008136	-0.47%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0299	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008134	-0.46%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0019	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008454	-0.56%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0414	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008325	-0.60%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0213	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008271	-0.49%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0030	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008285	-0.52%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0040	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008163	-0.42%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0463	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008038	-0.35%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0084	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008239	-0.36%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0219	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008214	-0.33%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0046	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008751	-0.35%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0385	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008594	-0.31%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0079	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008463	-0.26%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0156	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008872	-0.37%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0318	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009163	-0.41%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0152	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009179	-0.33%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0079	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008968	-0.32%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0112	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008884	-0.32%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0062	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008947	-0.32%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0025	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008938	-0.34%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0058	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009027	-0.46%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0078	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009473	-0.41%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0335	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009592	-0.40%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0054	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009385	-0.41%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0043	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009631	-0.43%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0054	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009663	-0.36%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0014	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009958	-0.47%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0223	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009246	-0.30%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0683	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009322	-0.34%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0154	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008997	-0.29%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0513	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009872	-0.65%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0826	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009472	-0.29%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0436	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009503	-0.27%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0054	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009878	-0.32%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0426	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009243	-0.32%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0581	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008901	-0.11%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0240	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009122	-0.09%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0401	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009253	-0.15%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0057	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008879	-0.08%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0352	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010371	-0.24%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1496	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011352	-0.31%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0872	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013197	-0.73%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1509	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011703	-0.37%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1444	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011917	-0.40%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0081	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012569	-0.58%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0319	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012376	-0.42%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0118	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012775	-0.44%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0154	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012413	-0.40%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0241	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012778	-0.44%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0324	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012626	-0.49%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0359	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012955	-0.47%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0067	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.01303	-0.47%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0072	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012787	-0.43%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0164	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012674	-0.40%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0028	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012195	-0.30%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0315	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012368	-0.36%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0107	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010984	-0.01%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.0986	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.01147	-0.11%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0405	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011378	-0.00%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0250	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011744	-0.03%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0291	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011668	+0.14%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0212	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011233	+0.26%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0388	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012496	-0.02%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0823	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013959	-0.25%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1085	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013378	-0.20%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0701	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014446	-0.57%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0446	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013736	-0.32%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0724	✗	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013718	-0.25%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0057	✗	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013679	-0.16%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0028	✗	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013753	-0.13%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0028	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.01407	-0.11%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0159	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014727	-0.14%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0350	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015123	-0.14%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0174	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015162	-0.18%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0026	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015384	-0.11%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0141	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015881	-0.19%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0357	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016508	-0.21%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0286	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.01586	-0.18%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0418	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021467	-1.95%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3045	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016755	-0.28%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2684	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016712	-0.25%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0078	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017286	-0.29%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0279	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017983	-0.29%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0320	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019714	-0.42%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0804	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019762	-0.48%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0067	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.02033	-0.48%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0181	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020936	-0.49%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0191	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021949	-0.59%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0402	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021714	-0.61%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0094	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.02142	-0.59%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0176	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.01985	-0.42%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0811	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019856	-0.40%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0140	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019647	-0.42%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0103	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019743	-0.51%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0093	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018961	-0.82%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0341	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018379	-0.22%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0405	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017581	-0.13%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0426	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017404	-0.19%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0069	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.01753	-0.21%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0107	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018377	-0.26%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0392	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018701	-0.28%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019411	-0.40%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0210	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018314	-0.34%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0517	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018542	-0.40%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0109	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018461	-0.36%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0170	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018653	-0.39%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0075	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019638	-0.54%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0678	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019135	-0.54%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0259	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019905	-0.65%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0588	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019724	-0.62%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0392	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019793	-0.52%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0192	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019293	-0.55%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0072	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018526	-0.49%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0421	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018708	-0.61%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0130	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017758	-0.46%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0616	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016708	-0.46%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0195	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017302	-0.51%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0010	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017932	-0.53%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0318	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018868	-0.57%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0608	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018666	-0.55%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0072	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018319	-0.50%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0349	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018225	-0.63%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0306	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.01893	-0.73%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0296	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017354	-0.59%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0713	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016686	-0.40%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0407	✗	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016819	-0.44%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0048	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016565	-0.40%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0361	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016709	-0.36%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0032	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016823	-0.35%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0235	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016454	-0.28%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0149	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016613	-0.28%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0017	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016969	-0.30%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0180	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.018212	-0.42%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0353	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019479	-0.53%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0307	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018371	-0.44%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0543	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018976	-0.46%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0238	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019066	-0.41%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0395	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.0193	-0.42%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0060	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019625	-0.46%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0082	✗	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020796	-0.47%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0609	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021066	-0.47%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0091	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022551	-0.52%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0297	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023634	-0.56%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0300	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023536	-0.56%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0156	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.02362	-0.57%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0184	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.02292	-0.55%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0322	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023313	-0.56%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0169	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023096	-0.56%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0107	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022804	-0.54%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0151	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023775	-0.60%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0569	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023056	-0.56%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0026	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023387	-0.67%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0094	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022556	-0.61%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0546	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022098	-0.54%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0655	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022613	-0.56%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0067	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023325	-0.57%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0909	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024097	-0.60%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0191	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.025162	-0.60%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0890	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026414	-0.65%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0220	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026933	-0.68%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0321	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029842	-1.04%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0682	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027524	-0.86%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.0997	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027815	-1.46%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0750	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027244	-0.83%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0461	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025501	-0.65%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1339	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025521	-0.68%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0123	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026895	-0.91%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0450	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023436	-0.52%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1280	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.024968	-0.71%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0687	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.024354	-0.59%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0522	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023836	-0.56%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0539	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022068	-0.32%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0815	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022876	-0.38%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0144	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022116	-0.27%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0235	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021061	+0.07%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020474	+0.18%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020997	+0.15%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022574	-0.02%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023422	-0.01%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023919	+0.06%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0358	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026624	-0.18%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0894	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023807	+0.39%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.026922	-0.14%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0238	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028418	-0.28%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032663	-0.50%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.032948	-0.47%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0264	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033455	-0.49%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036962	-0.67%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.034979	-0.62%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0667	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.040936	-1.00%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.03859	-0.79%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0686	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.035854	-0.73%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0717	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.03489	-0.68%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0153	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.038124	-0.82%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0532	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.