FATCOIN
FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #811
- symbol
- FATCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +7d
assessed
32
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
62.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4156
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1124
actual -0.2940
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003623 | 0.000348775 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003674 | 0.000353058 | -3.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0003527 | 0.000342535 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004097 | 0.000391667 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043515 | 0.000413557 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.000357 | 0.000351227 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00038465 | 0.000375805 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.37 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00040915 | 0.000398285 | -2.66% | 0.0003623 | -11.45% | 0.0995 | ✓ | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.0003266 | 0.000328306 | +0.52% | 0.0003674 | +12.49% | 0.1142 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00035135 | 0.00035232 | +0.28% | 0.0003527 | +0.38% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000385 | 0.000382501 | -0.65% | 0.0004097 | +6.42% | 0.0866 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00037315 | 0.00037421 | +0.28% | 0.00043515 | +16.62% | 0.1658 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.00040435 | 0.000404105 | -0.06% | 0.000357 | -11.71% | 0.1139 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00036805 | 0.000373251 | +1.41% | 0.00038465 | +4.51% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.000506 | 0.000498201 | -1.54% | 0.00040915 | -19.14% | 0.1901 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00038745 | 0.000392999 | +1.43% | 0.0003266 | -15.71% | 0.1461 | ✗ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00035605 | 0.0003641 | +2.26% | 0.00035135 | -1.32% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0004861 | 0.000490174 | +0.84% | 0.000385 | -20.80% | 0.1989 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00051235 | 0.000518502 | +1.20% | 0.00037315 | -27.17% | 0.3071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00051375 | 0.000522786 | +1.76% | 0.00040435 | -21.29% | 0.2334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00054035 | 0.000550723 | +1.92% | 0.00036805 | -31.89% | 0.3651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0006234 | 0.000634275 | +1.74% | 0.000506 | -18.83% | 0.2226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00059005 | 0.000604033 | +2.37% | 0.00038745 | -34.34% | 0.4665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00074535 | 0.000755674 | +1.39% | 0.00035605 | -52.23% | 0.7796 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0008163 | 0.000823395 | +0.87% | 0.0004861 | -40.45% | 0.5509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00094305 | 0.00094105 | -0.21% | 0.00051235 | -45.67% | 0.6118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.001029 | 0.00102 | -0.89% | 0.00051375 | -50.09% | 0.6908 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0009778 | 0.000977015 | -0.08% | 0.00054035 | -44.74% | 0.5978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001144 | 0.001124 | -1.78% | 0.0006234 | -45.53% | 0.5798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001388 | 0.001324 | -4.62% | 0.00059005 | -57.50% | 0.7783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001228 | 0.001194 | -2.78% | 0.00074535 | -39.31% | 0.4342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.001349 | -3.75% | 0.0008163 | -41.75% | 0.5421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00174 | 0.001633 | -6.18% | 0.00094305 | -45.82% | 0.5874 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001629 | 0.001546 | -5.06% | 0.001029 | -36.81% | 0.4461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.001716 | 0.001634 | -4.77% | 0.0009778 | -43.02% | 0.6136 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.000835 | 0.000441953 | -47.07% | 0.001144 | +37.07% | 0.8488 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.001151 | 0.000609635 | -47.01% | 0.001388 | +20.69% | 0.6917 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.000574889 | -59.81% | 0.001228 | -14.15% | 0.6568 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001492 | 0.000432726 | -71.00% | 0.001401 | -6.08% | 1.1199 | ✓ | 1.00 |