FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1395

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0134

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000359271	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000364012	-0.92%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0034	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000350699	-0.57%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0421	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000405081	-1.13%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1378	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000428108	-1.62%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0463	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000356035	-0.27%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2012	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000382732	-0.50%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0668	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000406152	-0.73%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0568	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000327626	+0.31%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2379	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.00035221	+0.24%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0888	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.00038487	-0.03%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0703	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000374056	+0.24%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0215	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000404828	+0.12%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0850	✗	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000370083	+0.55%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0820	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000503824	-0.43%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3077	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000389441	+0.51%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.2980	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000358713	+0.75%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0806	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000487814	+0.35%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.3036	✗	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000514615	+0.44%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0776	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000516777	+0.59%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000543759	+0.63%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0527	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000626917	+0.56%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1639	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000594482	+0.75%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000748905	+0.48%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2406	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000819036	+0.34%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0823	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000943311	+0.03%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1452	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001027	-0.18%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000978607	+0.08%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.00114	-0.37%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1538	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001371	-1.25%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1594	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001221	-0.60%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1334	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001389	-0.90%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1877	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001708	-1.89%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1967	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001603	-1.60%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0780	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001678	-2.20%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000770975	-7.67%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.7974	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001063	-7.65%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.2484	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001277	-10.71%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.0708	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001279	-14.28%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0942	✓	1.00