ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s3

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0628

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.314159	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.340741	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.314776	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.310552	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.317875	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303958	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.316893	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.28928	-2.14%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0810	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.303423	-2.44%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1382	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.313235	-2.57%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0206	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.317428	-2.70%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0208	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.316996	-2.82%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0461	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286124	-2.75%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0959	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.298742	-2.88%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0746	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.288818	-3.02%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0507	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.311064	-3.14%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0369	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.303473	-3.29%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1187	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.313592	-3.35%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0816	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.295398	-3.53%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1265	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.314039	-3.52%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0359	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.317679	-3.57%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0150	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.319573	-3.57%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0663	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.324048	-3.53%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0371	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.312159	-3.54%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0292	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.319464	-3.51%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0154	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.316326	-3.50%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0375	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.327105	-3.44%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0112	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.327924	-3.44%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0024	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.335685	-3.48%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0003	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.32832	-3.52%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0627	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.311849	-3.59%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0854	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.269558	-2.65%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1592	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.274323	-2.60%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1333	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.278904	-2.53%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1493	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.249849	-1.32%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2007	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.246706	-0.96%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2346	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241055	-0.41%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2058	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.265575	-1.13%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0961	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.258459	-0.48%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0144	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.260153	-0.17%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0296	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.255936	+0.41%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0655	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.257504	+0.59%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0144	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.252927	+1.41%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0133	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.256147	+1.57%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0179	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.228266	+3.05%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1754	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.269222	+1.75%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0078	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.265137	+2.25%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0145	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.26089	+2.79%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0065	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.271737	+3.17%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0035	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.265766	+2.00%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0762	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.257533	+2.36%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0346	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.263982	+2.16%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1824	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.251623	+1.91%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0155	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.254753	+1.62%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0028	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.258851	+1.00%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0433	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.261826	+1.25%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0067	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264342	+0.70%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0085	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263772	+0.52%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0320	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.268517	+0.46%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0327	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.267395	+0.26%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0789	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270972	+0.03%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0938	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.268488	+0.37%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0398	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.242596	-0.13%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0327	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.215039	-0.21%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0834	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.199945	-0.72%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1051	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.201046	-0.77%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1103	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.203125	-0.96%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0825	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200652	-0.91%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1210	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204983	-0.97%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0708	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206976	-0.97%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0321	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213601	-1.06%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0711	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219104	-1.13%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.1001	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.235019	-1.34%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1561	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.233004	-1.19%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0994	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.235891	-1.22%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1263	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.23291	-1.14%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0914	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.231325	-1.19%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0898	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.223112	-0.97%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0163	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.219842	-0.97%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0152	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.214208	-0.92%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1000	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.212244	-0.87%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0863	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.200534	-0.73%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1452	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.203043	-0.76%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1204	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.206023	-0.62%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1340	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206759	-0.79%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0760	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205699	-0.82%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0734	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199133	-0.78%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0854	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206936	-0.75%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0590	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213316	-0.92%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0327	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214277	-0.94%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0285	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218336	-0.89%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0473	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216437	-0.76%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0074	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.221795	-0.76%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0302	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218026	-0.81%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0618	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.218759	-0.83%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0571	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219302	-0.81%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0117	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219237	-0.84%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0160	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218207	-0.81%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0076	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218341	-0.75%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0194	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211529	-0.64%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0346	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.20889	-0.67%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0084	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219877	-0.73%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0099	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218681	-0.69%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0027	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217501	-0.64%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0196	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216827	-0.63%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0063	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220121	-0.67%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0356	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.220131	-0.62%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0568	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221753	-0.60%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0283	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214806	-0.51%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0286	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211928	-0.46%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0292	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.211859	-0.44%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0117	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.207111	-0.38%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0297	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.202752	-0.32%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0582	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.190162	-0.12%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0904	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201924	-0.28%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0528	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.202144	-0.27%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0148	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.20418	-0.30%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0026	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.204492	-0.30%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0082	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.211586	-0.38%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0404	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.219013	-0.49%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0613	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.220368	-0.51%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0952	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.219892	-0.50%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0360	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216724	-0.45%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0205	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.216638	-0.44%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0029	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.213476	-0.38%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0031	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.21274	-0.36%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0376	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.218814	-0.45%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0468	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224424	-0.52%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0218	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.231848	-0.62%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0207	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.225223	-0.52%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0050	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.221139	-0.43%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0137	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.221222	-0.40%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0310	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219808	-0.36%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0208	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.21034	+0.02%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0083	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.216035	-0.08%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0028	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.212239	-0.08%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0565	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212576	-0.06%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0347	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.210456	+0.41%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0110	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.215313	+0.33%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0014	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226649	-0.29%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0244	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.235703	-0.46%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0870	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.250734	-0.97%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1002	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.267614	-1.36%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1731	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.272281	-1.24%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1754	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.268988	-1.14%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1675	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.260611	-1.06%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1150	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.256879	-0.97%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0600	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.267403	-1.00%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0566	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.281003	-1.02%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0506	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.276202	-0.75%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0288	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.282656	-0.86%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0007	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.282665	-0.85%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0179	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.280885	-0.89%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0494	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.279969	-0.65%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0471	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.286767	-0.74%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0375	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.285468	-0.74%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0011	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.283163	-0.64%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0195	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.281969	-0.54%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0140	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.287739	-0.54%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0008	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.302395	-0.66%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0387	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.305917	-0.45%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0569	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.305372	-0.59%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0422	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.308295	-0.45%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0425	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.320584	-0.44%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0825	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.311469	-0.17%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0587	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308217	-0.22%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0444	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308789	-0.20%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0060	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.307783	-0.10%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0094	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.315986	+0.03%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0089	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.318457	+0.02%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0250	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.301738	+0.31%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0526	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.299484	+0.30%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0176	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.302252	+0.35%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0089	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.303539	+0.34%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0060	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.297214	+0.17%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0097	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.297308	+0.10%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0204	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.30483	+0.11%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0109	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.305751	+0.31%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0340	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.31324	+0.46%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0470	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.317519	+0.16%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0601	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.313475	+0.18%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0412	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.315816	+0.32%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0482	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.320313	+0.22%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0578	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.31521	-0.12%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0343	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.315526	-0.24%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0456	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.31729	-0.66%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0542	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.323837	-0.39%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0358	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.330091	-0.18%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0562	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.321354	-0.42%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0440	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.315015	-0.37%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0108	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.309925	-0.44%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0016	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.305996	-0.36%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0218	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.298254	-0.88%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0429	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.312706	-0.67%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0177	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.303723	-0.58%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0528	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.297772	-0.71%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0534	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.29836	-0.81%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0278	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.29721	-0.67%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0280	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.296156	-1.05%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0116	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.293418	-0.97%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0098	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.293305	-1.08%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0197	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.283139	-0.93%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0229	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.285496	-0.90%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0058	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.291597	-0.85%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0048	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.277652	-0.63%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0421	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.273349	-0.56%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0712	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.269665	-0.46%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0658	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.278874	-0.47%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0522	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.284532	-0.48%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0013	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288725	-0.41%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0155	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.293809	-0.27%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0303	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292303	-0.31%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0238	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.295493	-0.31%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0337	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.284528	-0.34%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0311	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.287374	-0.32%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0008	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.288743	-0.26%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0288	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.298514	-0.33%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0186	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.313708	-0.35%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0634	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.328354	-0.26%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0824	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334351	-0.22%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0849	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.325307	-0.24%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0850	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.31539	-0.22%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0684	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.32234	-0.27%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1034	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.31578	-0.23%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0473	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.317922	-0.24%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0193	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.321044	-0.27%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0103	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.320292	-0.28%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0128	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.320213	-0.31%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0459	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.318041	-0.27%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0435	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319089	-0.25%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0139	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.314257	-0.17%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0105	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.323049	-0.20%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0097	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.329785	-0.28%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0412	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.336539	-0.31%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0425	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.344388	-0.38%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0721	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.353857	-0.46%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1074	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.345992	-0.38%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1048	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.353909	-0.45%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1555	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.358096	-0.50%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1532	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.316331	-0.05%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0010	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.297494	+0.13%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0828	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.29445	+0.08%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1803	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.304118	+0.01%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1664	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.305119	+0.01%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1536	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.310791	-0.00%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1285	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320595	-0.06%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0978	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.32877	-0.16%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0013	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.328864	-0.19%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0524	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.331486	-0.21%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1059	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.372492	-0.62%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1825	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.36879	-0.54%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1803	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.361003	-0.30%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1585	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.35959	-0.28%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1069	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.377798	-0.53%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1218	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.382152	-0.58%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1340	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.39296	-0.64%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1511	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.39876	-0.56%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0681	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.404648	-0.65%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0681	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.360382	+1.17%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0321	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.364447	-0.07%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0753	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.364151	-0.21%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1413	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.356409	-0.25%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2096	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.346324	+0.15%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2296	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.361893	-0.17%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2425	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.38755	-0.65%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2426	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.405322	-0.78%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1959	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.420928	-0.72%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0804	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.428477	-0.75%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0195	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.422901	-0.73%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0450	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.425074	-0.80%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0744	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.43052	-0.73%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0309	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.430005	-0.71%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0245	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.434498	-0.73%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0054	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.445112	-0.87%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0459	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.428809	-0.88%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0043	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.451039	-0.70%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0013	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.460116	-0.60%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0260	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.472005	-0.42%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0047	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.477792	-0.36%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0169	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.488805	-0.39%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0278	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.509099	-0.31%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0245	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.457704	-0.17%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0366	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.444573	-0.65%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0028	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.449328	-0.72%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0078	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.450372	-0.80%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0129	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.456597	-0.87%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0236	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.448819	-0.84%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0247	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.454604	-0.89%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0315	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480153	-0.88%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0708	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.494717	-0.96%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0597	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.486284	-1.06%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0621	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.48144	-1.06%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0552	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.486933	-1.09%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0644	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.478245	-1.03%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0913	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.462394	-0.86%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0672	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.49122	-0.94%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0954	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.472291	-0.78%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0476	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.474655	-0.74%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0211	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.429711	-0.41%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0820	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.42672	-0.37%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1024	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.429744	-0.36%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0932	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.440881	-0.41%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0580	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.443894	-0.43%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0959	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.463021	-0.53%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0499	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.473268	-0.57%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0221	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.492621	-0.68%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1245	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.484049	-0.63%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1100	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.451057	-0.38%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0714	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.460892	-0.43%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0618	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.453377	-0.40%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0103	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.448886	-0.36%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0029	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.473221	-0.52%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0013	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.474251	-0.53%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0742	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.478936	-0.55%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0502	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.492206	-0.60%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0250	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.511235	-0.69%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0097	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.51717	-0.72%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0543	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.520393	-0.75%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0783	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.530176	-0.79%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0739	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.521598	-0.72%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1050	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.501225	-0.59%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0543	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.506942	-0.60%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0303	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.516049	-0.63%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0191	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.534649	-0.72%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0478	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.498177	-0.48%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0208	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.537516	-0.72%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0063	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.544022	-0.74%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0099	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.578865	-0.95%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1132	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.596533	-1.06%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1689	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.610764	-1.15%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2086	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.617475	-1.19%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2030	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.597835	-1.04%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1436	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.612706	-1.18%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1847	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.529327	-0.28%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0669	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.454509	+0.60%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1555	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.45406	+0.59%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2050	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.472589	+0.06%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2849	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.508875	-0.30%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3001	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.500249	-0.15%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2535	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.51226	-0.34%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3175	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.518063	-0.43%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2119	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.519631	-0.36%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0242	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.56321	-0.83%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0016	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.59108	-0.99%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0605	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.614576	-1.10%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0262	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.616223	-1.06%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0154	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.634293	-1.15%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0406	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.633177	-1.16%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0853	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.63627	-1.18%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0539	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.609075	-1.01%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0430	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.636018	-1.22%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0283	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.567085	-0.79%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0683	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.557093	-0.82%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1207	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.603778	-0.99%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1526	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.621888	-1.08%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1541	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.61799	-1.07%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1415	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.623286	-1.11%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1018	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.603191	-0.95%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1664	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.598205	-0.80%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1435	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.683258	-0.98%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0779	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.733303	-1.16%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1231	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.671437	-1.08%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0413	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.675539	-1.08%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0557	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.656676	-1.03%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0135	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.609699	-0.89%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0375	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.62677	-0.91%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1050	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.659841	-0.94%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0066	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.665984	-1.06%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0219	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.617535	-0.83%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0294	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.607968	-0.76%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0492	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.620339	-0.78%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0392	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.649263	-0.83%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0075	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.670199	-0.87%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0095	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.692934	-0.88%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0275	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.699386	-0.99%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0545	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.611429	-0.84%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0678	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.582346	-0.73%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1465	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.678913	-0.41%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.0953	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.710289	-0.31%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0768	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.70094	-0.53%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0672	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.7348	-0.16%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0641	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.712124	-0.28%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.0937	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.718251	-0.45%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0094	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.7289	-0.53%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.1030	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.739947	-0.78%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0952	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.720494	-1.03%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0678	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.677559	-1.35%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0509	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.683342	-1.39%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0589	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.698897	-1.49%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1362	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.68435	-1.52%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1295	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.672321	-1.51%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0940	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.684652	-1.50%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0838	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.726592	-1.47%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0758	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.705215	-1.47%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0574	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.736972	-1.36%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0869	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.775091	-1.19%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0396	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.795396	-1.12%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0430	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.793116	-1.08%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0577	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.805035	-0.98%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0230	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.770293	-0.99%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0035	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.