ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s3

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0243

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0018

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.318114	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.345545	-0.56%	0.31945	-8.07%	0.0745	✓	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.31885	-0.44%	0.3475	+8.51%	0.0681	✗	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.314509	-0.42%	0.32025	+1.39%	0.0209	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.322365	-0.52%	0.31585	-2.53%	0.0307	✓	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.308349	-0.47%	0.32405	+4.60%	0.0516	✗	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.322137	-0.61%	0.3098	-4.41%	0.0289	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.294134	-0.50%	0.3241	+9.64%	0.0880	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.309168	-0.59%	0.2956	-4.95%	0.0206	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.319421	-0.65%	0.311	-3.27%	0.0484	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.323944	-0.71%	0.3215	-1.46%	0.0223	✗	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.323565	-0.81%	0.32625	+0.02%	0.0037	✓	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.292271	-0.66%	0.3262	+10.88%	0.1041	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.305226	-0.77%	0.2942	-4.36%	0.0503	✓	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.295685	-0.71%	0.3076	+3.29%	0.0650	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.318688	-0.77%	0.2978	-7.27%	0.0334	✓	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.311331	-0.79%	0.32115	+2.34%	0.0342	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.321614	-0.87%	0.3138	-3.28%	0.0135	✓	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.303704	-0.82%	0.32445	+5.96%	0.0403	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.322638	-0.88%	0.3062	-5.93%	0.0558	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.326608	-0.86%	0.3255	-1.20%	0.0017	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.328525	-0.87%	0.32945	-0.59%	0.0165	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.332839	-0.91%	0.3314	-1.34%	0.0031	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.320735	-0.89%	0.3359	+3.80%	0.0434	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.328065	-0.92%	0.3236	-2.27%	0.0017	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.324982	-0.86%	0.3311	+1.01%	0.0180	✗	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.335736	-0.89%	0.3278	-3.23%	0.0289	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.336533	-0.90%	0.33875	-0.25%	0.0110	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.344123	-1.06%	0.3396	-2.36%	0.0133	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.336887	-1.00%	0.3478	+2.20%	0.0601	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.319887	-1.10%	0.3403	+5.21%	0.0679	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.275088	-0.65%	0.32345	+16.81%	0.0864	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.279768	-0.67%	0.2769	-1.69%	0.0092	✓	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.284145	-0.70%	0.28165	-1.57%	0.0139	✓	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.252437	-0.30%	0.28615	+13.01%	0.0642	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.248563	-0.22%	0.2532	+1.65%	0.0156	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241923	-0.05%	0.2491	+2.91%	0.0214	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.267756	-0.31%	0.24205	-9.88%	0.0676	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.259367	-0.13%	0.2686	+3.43%	0.0174	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.260455	-0.06%	0.2597	-0.35%	0.0031	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.255154	+0.10%	0.2606	+2.24%	0.0204	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.256304	+0.12%	0.2549	-0.43%	0.0142	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.25025	+0.34%	0.256	+2.65%	0.0460	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.253097	+0.36%	0.2494	-1.11%	0.0125	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.223189	+0.76%	0.2522	+13.86%	0.1311	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.265638	+0.39%	0.2215	-16.29%	0.1665	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.26059	+0.50%	0.2646	+2.04%	0.0091	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.255335	+0.60%	0.2593	+2.17%	0.0136	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.265091	+0.64%	0.2538	-3.64%	0.0250	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.261476	+0.36%	0.2634	+1.09%	0.0429	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.252652	+0.42%	0.26055	+3.56%	0.0320	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259207	+0.31%	0.2516	-2.63%	0.0142	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.247565	+0.27%	0.2584	+4.66%	0.0310	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.251133	+0.17%	0.2469	-1.52%	0.0096	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.256335	+0.01%	0.2507	-2.18%	0.0274	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.258649	+0.02%	0.2563	-0.89%	0.0228	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.262235	-0.10%	0.2586	-1.49%	0.0303	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.262019	-0.15%	0.2625	+0.04%	0.0048	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.266796	-0.19%	0.2624	-1.83%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266039	-0.25%	0.2673	+0.22%	0.0121	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269961	-0.35%	0.2667	-1.55%	0.0214	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266343	-0.43%	0.2709	+1.27%	0.0344	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.241869	-0.42%	0.2675	+10.13%	0.0291	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.215201	-0.14%	0.2429	+12.71%	0.0750	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.201041	-0.18%	0.2155	+7.00%	0.0102	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.202226	-0.18%	0.2014	-0.59%	0.0068	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.20463	-0.23%	0.2026	-1.22%	0.0330	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.202085	-0.21%	0.2051	+1.28%	0.0174	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.20654	-0.22%	0.2025	-2.17%	0.0204	✓	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.208546	-0.22%	0.207	-0.96%	0.0010	✓	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.215369	-0.25%	0.209	-3.20%	0.0302	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.221017	-0.26%	0.2159	-2.57%	0.0217	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.237354	-0.36%	0.2216	-6.97%	0.0635	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.235055	-0.32%	0.2382	+1.02%	0.0263	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.237985	-0.34%	0.2358	-1.26%	0.0084	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.234838	-0.32%	0.2388	+1.36%	0.0165	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.233272	-0.35%	0.2356	+0.64%	0.0014	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.224683	-0.27%	0.2341	+3.91%	0.0457	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.221394	-0.27%	0.2253	+1.49%	0.0098	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.215658	-0.25%	0.222	+2.68%	0.0209	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.213579	-0.24%	0.2162	+0.98%	0.0127	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.201645	-0.18%	0.2141	+5.99%	0.0497	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.204215	-0.19%	0.202	-1.27%	0.0100	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.206954	-0.17%	0.2046	-1.30%	0.0150	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.207973	-0.20%	0.2073	-0.53%	0.0147	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.206962	-0.21%	0.2084	+0.48%	0.0062	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.200335	-0.18%	0.2074	+3.34%	0.0325	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.208108	-0.19%	0.2007	-3.74%	0.0139	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.214791	-0.24%	0.2085	-3.16%	0.0443	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.215782	-0.24%	0.2153	-0.46%	0.0052	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.219765	-0.24%	0.2163	-1.82%	0.0025	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.217649	-0.21%	0.2203	+1.01%	0.0264	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.223005	-0.22%	0.2181	-2.42%	0.0164	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.21932	-0.22%	0.2235	+1.68%	0.0012	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.22011	-0.22%	0.2198	-0.36%	0.0087	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.220615	-0.22%	0.2206	-0.23%	0.0015	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.220605	-0.22%	0.2211	+0.00%	0.0099	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.219525	-0.22%	0.2211	+0.50%	0.0055	✗	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.219543	-0.21%	0.22	+0.00%	0.0149	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.212547	-0.17%	0.22	+3.33%	0.0382	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.209974	-0.15%	0.2129	+1.24%	0.0255	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.221074	-0.19%	0.2103	-5.06%	0.0290	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.219801	-0.18%	0.2215	+0.59%	0.0081	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.218536	-0.17%	0.2202	+0.59%	0.0124	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.217855	-0.16%	0.2189	+0.32%	0.0084	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.221218	-0.17%	0.2182	-1.53%	0.0272	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.221129	-0.17%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0177	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.222708	-0.18%	0.2215	-0.72%	0.0041	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.215608	-0.14%	0.2231	+3.33%	0.0286	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.212651	-0.12%	0.2159	+1.41%	0.0086	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.212558	-0.11%	0.2129	+0.05%	0.0059	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.207714	-0.09%	0.2128	+2.36%	0.0104	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.203267	-0.07%	0.2079	+2.21%	0.0019	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.190403	+0.00%	0.2034	+6.83%	0.0469	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.202405	-0.05%	0.1904	-5.98%	0.0402	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.202617	-0.04%	0.2025	-0.10%	0.0094	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.204704	-0.05%	0.2027	-1.03%	0.0039	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.205014	-0.04%	0.2048	-0.15%	0.0002	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.21226	-0.07%	0.2051	-3.44%	0.0382	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.219875	-0.10%	0.2124	-3.50%	0.0187	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.221247	-0.11%	0.2201	-0.63%	0.0149	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.220758	-0.11%	0.2215	+0.23%	0.0190	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.217505	-0.09%	0.221	+1.52%	0.0074	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.21741	-0.09%	0.2177	+0.05%	0.0133	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.214161	-0.06%	0.2176	+1.54%	0.0070	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.213391	-0.05%	0.2143	+0.37%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.219623	-0.08%	0.2135	-2.87%	0.0100	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.225366	-0.10%	0.2198	-2.57%	0.0114	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.232961	-0.15%	0.2256	-3.30%	0.0245	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.226163	-0.10%	0.2333	+3.05%	0.0245	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.221945	-0.07%	0.2264	+1.94%	0.0050	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.221973	-0.06%	0.2221	+0.00%	0.0102	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.220498	-0.05%	0.2221	+0.68%	0.0075	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.210429	+0.06%	0.2206	+4.90%	0.0218	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.216278	+0.04%	0.2103	-2.73%	0.0251	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.212489	+0.04%	0.2162	+1.79%	0.0343	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212804	+0.05%	0.2124	-0.14%	0.0010	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209945	+0.16%	0.2127	+1.48%	0.0166	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214915	+0.15%	0.2096	-2.33%	0.0229	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.227295	-0.00%	0.2146	-5.59%	0.0261	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.23669	-0.05%	0.2273	-4.01%	0.0381	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.252745	-0.18%	0.2368	-6.48%	0.0404	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.270481	-0.30%	0.2532	-6.67%	0.0342	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.274899	-0.29%	0.2713	-1.60%	0.0017	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.271385	-0.26%	0.2757	+1.32%	0.0169	✗	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.262802	-0.23%	0.2721	+3.30%	0.0324	✗	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.258904	-0.19%	0.2634	+1.54%	0.0181	✗	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.269536	-0.21%	0.2594	-3.96%	0.0336	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.283219	-0.24%	0.2701	-4.86%	0.0391	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.277818	-0.17%	0.2839	+2.01%	0.0325	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.284507	-0.21%	0.2783	-2.39%	0.0241	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.284506	-0.21%	0.2851	+0.00%	0.0001	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.28282	-0.20%	0.2851	+0.60%	0.0004	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.281365	-0.15%	0.2834	+0.57%	0.0222	✗	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.288364	-0.19%	0.2818	-2.46%	0.0235	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.287076	-0.18%	0.2889	+0.45%	0.0014	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.284565	-0.15%	0.2876	+0.91%	0.0118	✗	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.283142	-0.13%	0.285	+0.53%	0.0098	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.288921	-0.13%	0.2835	-2.00%	0.0142	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.303835	-0.19%	0.2893	-4.96%	0.0422	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.306833	-0.15%	0.3044	-0.94%	0.0063	✗	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.306664	-0.17%	0.3073	+0.03%	0.0108	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.30923	-0.15%	0.3072	-0.81%	0.0020	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.3214	-0.19%	0.3097	-3.82%	0.0282	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.311657	-0.11%	0.322	+3.21%	0.0360	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308569	-0.11%	0.312	+1.00%	0.0001	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.309093	-0.10%	0.3089	-0.16%	0.0040	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.307876	-0.07%	0.3094	+0.42%	0.0036	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.31568	-0.07%	0.3081	-2.47%	0.0115	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.318153	-0.08%	0.3159	-0.79%	0.0107	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.300878	+0.03%	0.3184	+5.85%	0.0496	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.298693	+0.03%	0.3008	+0.74%	0.0014	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.301315	+0.04%	0.2986	-0.86%	0.0082	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.302603	+0.03%	0.3012	-0.43%	0.0077	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.29672	+0.01%	0.3025	+1.95%	0.0054	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.296967	-0.01%	0.2967	-0.10%	0.0049	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.304419	-0.03%	0.297	-2.46%	0.0205	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.304835	+0.01%	0.3045	-0.10%	0.0065	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.311877	+0.02%	0.3048	-2.25%	0.0136	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.316843	-0.05%	0.3118	-1.64%	0.0234	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.312761	-0.04%	0.317	+1.31%	0.0121	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314721	-0.03%	0.3129	-0.60%	0.0001	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.319417	-0.06%	0.3148	-1.50%	0.0151	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.315226	-0.12%	0.3196	+1.27%	0.0004	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.315846	-0.14%	0.3156	-0.22%	0.0043	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.318669	-0.23%	0.3163	-0.97%	0.0232	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.324484	-0.19%	0.3194	-1.75%	0.0010	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.330146	-0.17%	0.3251	-1.69%	0.0051	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.322074	-0.19%	0.3307	+2.48%	0.0118	✗	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.315632	-0.18%	0.3227	+2.06%	0.0196	✗	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.310727	-0.18%	0.3162	+1.57%	0.0124	✗	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.306605	-0.16%	0.3113	+1.37%	0.0173	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.300186	-0.24%	0.3071	+2.06%	0.0078	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.314054	-0.24%	0.3009	-4.42%	0.0236	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.304884	-0.20%	0.3148	+3.04%	0.0313	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.29927	-0.21%	0.3055	+1.87%	0.0108	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.30011	-0.23%	0.2999	-0.30%	0.0066	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.298609	-0.20%	0.3008	+0.53%	0.0141	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.298485	-0.27%	0.2992	-0.03%	0.0242	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.295559	-0.25%	0.2993	+1.01%	0.0139	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.295683	-0.28%	0.2963	-0.07%	0.0134	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.285175	-0.22%	0.2965	+3.74%	0.0359	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.287477	-0.22%	0.2858	-0.80%	0.0065	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.293437	-0.23%	0.2881	-2.04%	0.0073	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.278989	-0.15%	0.2941	+5.26%	0.0537	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.274573	-0.12%	0.2794	+1.64%	0.0037	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.270679	-0.08%	0.2749	+1.48%	0.0081	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.279932	-0.10%	0.2709	-3.32%	0.0294	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.285604	-0.10%	0.2802	-1.99%	0.0188	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.289613	-0.10%	0.2859	-1.38%	0.0099	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.294352	-0.08%	0.2899	-1.60%	0.0080	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292949	-0.09%	0.2946	+0.48%	0.0013	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.296127	-0.09%	0.2932	-1.08%	0.0068	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.285292	-0.07%	0.2964	+3.82%	0.0103	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.288091	-0.07%	0.2855	-0.97%	0.0009	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.289323	-0.06%	0.2883	-0.41%	0.0110	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.299259	-0.08%	0.2895	-3.34%	0.0385	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.314472	-0.10%	0.2995	-4.86%	0.0364	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.328813	-0.12%	0.3148	-4.37%	0.0193	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334724	-0.11%	0.3292	-1.76%	0.0084	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.325777	-0.10%	0.3351	+2.76%	0.0103	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.315872	-0.07%	0.3261	+3.16%	0.0176	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.322916	-0.09%	0.3161	-2.20%	0.0239	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.316286	-0.07%	0.3232	+2.12%	0.0179	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.318478	-0.07%	0.3165	-0.69%	0.0092	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.321661	-0.07%	0.3187	-0.99%	0.0115	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.320968	-0.07%	0.3219	+0.22%	0.0113	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.320969	-0.07%	0.3212	+0.00%	0.0230	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.318701	-0.06%	0.3212	+0.72%	0.0204	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319707	-0.06%	0.3189	-0.31%	0.0057	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.314679	-0.04%	0.3199	+1.62%	0.0436	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.323539	-0.05%	0.3148	-2.75%	0.0106	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.330507	-0.06%	0.3237	-2.12%	0.0655	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.337366	-0.07%	0.3307	-2.04%	0.0149	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.345408	-0.08%	0.3376	-2.34%	0.0578	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.355081	-0.12%	0.3457	-2.76%	0.0125	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.346996	-0.09%	0.3555	+2.36%	0.0111	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.355076	-0.12%	0.3473	-2.31%	0.0030	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.359335	-0.16%	0.3555	-1.22%	0.0049	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.316514	+0.00%	0.3599	+13.71%	0.0866	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.297292	+0.06%	0.3165	+6.53%	0.0686	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.294363	+0.06%	0.2971	+0.99%	0.0416	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.304208	+0.04%	0.2942	-3.26%	0.0299	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.30522	+0.04%	0.3041	-0.33%	0.0034	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.310922	+0.04%	0.3051	-1.83%	0.0303	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320881	+0.03%	0.3108	-3.12%	0.0382	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.329306	+0.00%	0.3208	-2.58%	0.0143	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.329497	-0.00%	0.3293	-0.06%	0.0152	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.332199	-0.00%	0.3295	-0.81%	0.0089	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.374381	-0.11%	0.3322	-11.37%	0.1086	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.370466	-0.09%	0.3748	+1.08%	0.0009	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.362	-0.03%	0.3708	+2.40%	0.0055	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.360545	-0.02%	0.3621	+0.42%	0.0140	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.379492	-0.08%	0.3606	-5.06%	0.0303	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.384041	-0.09%	0.3798	-1.20%	0.0038	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.395042	-0.12%	0.3844	-2.81%	0.0253	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.400572	-0.11%	0.3955	-1.37%	0.0244	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.406661	-0.16%	0.401	-1.55%	0.0004	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.357367	+0.33%	0.4073	+14.35%	0.0499	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.364841	+0.04%	0.3562	-2.33%	0.1275	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.364919	+0.01%	0.3647	-0.05%	0.0368	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.357306	+0.00%	0.3649	+2.13%	0.0663	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.346189	+0.11%	0.3573	+3.33%	0.0071	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.362604	+0.03%	0.3458	-4.61%	0.0227	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.38966	-0.11%	0.3625	-7.08%	0.0013	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.40786	-0.16%	0.3901	-4.50%	0.0393	✓	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.423293	-0.17%	0.4085	-3.66%	0.0243	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.43092	-0.18%	0.424	-1.78%	0.0167	✓	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.425291	-0.17%	0.4317	+1.34%	0.0044	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.42772	-0.18%	0.426	-0.58%	0.0256	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.432936	-0.18%	0.4285	-1.20%	0.0222	✗	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.432364	-0.17%	0.4337	+0.14%	0.0083	✗	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.43693	-0.18%	0.4331	-1.05%	0.0090	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.447994	-0.22%	0.4377	-2.52%	0.0246	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.431731	-0.20%	0.449	+3.79%	0.0249	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.453347	-0.19%	0.4326	-4.76%	0.0107	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.462081	-0.18%	0.4542	-1.88%	0.0029	✓	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.473271	-0.15%	0.4629	-2.34%	0.0031	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.478798	-0.15%	0.474	-1.15%	0.0049	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.489868	-0.17%	0.4795	-2.28%	0.0203	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.509651	-0.21%	0.4907	-3.92%	0.0203	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.45803	-0.10%	0.5107	+11.38%	0.0891	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.446724	-0.17%	0.4585	+2.46%	0.0301	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.451741	-0.19%	0.4475	-1.13%	0.0138	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.453078	-0.20%	0.4526	-0.31%	0.0079	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.459569	-0.22%	0.454	-1.43%	0.0101	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.451681	-0.20%	0.4606	+1.77%	0.0270	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.457727	-0.21%	0.4526	-1.33%	0.0073	✓	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.483256	-0.24%	0.4587	-5.31%	0.0151	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.498136	-0.27%	0.4844	-3.02%	0.0258	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.490122	-0.28%	0.4995	+1.63%	0.0174	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.485281	-0.27%	0.4915	+1.01%	0.0013	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.490881	-0.29%	0.4866	-1.16%	0.0188	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.481923	-0.26%	0.4923	+1.88%	0.0019	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.465464	-0.20%	0.4832	+3.60%	0.0177	✗	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.494584	-0.27%	0.4664	-5.95%	0.0444	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.47503	-0.20%	0.4959	+4.18%	0.0227	✗	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.477183	-0.21%	0.476	-0.46%	0.0097	✗	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.431126	-0.09%	0.4782	+10.82%	0.1026	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.428008	-0.07%	0.4315	+0.75%	0.0002	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.431025	-0.06%	0.4283	-0.70%	0.0083	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.442347	-0.08%	0.4313	-2.58%	0.0186	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.445443	-0.08%	0.4427	-0.70%	0.0089	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.46496	-0.12%	0.4458	-4.23%	0.0248	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.475386	-0.13%	0.4655	-2.21%	0.0197	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.495142	-0.17%	0.476	-4.03%	0.0443	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.486326	-0.16%	0.496	+1.83%	0.0161	✗	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.452491	-0.07%	0.4871	+7.58%	0.0330	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.462496	-0.09%	0.4528	-2.18%	0.0095	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.454858	-0.08%	0.4629	+1.69%	0.0432	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.450252	-0.06%	0.4552	+1.04%	0.0116	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.475193	-0.11%	0.4505	-5.30%	0.0263	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.476286	-0.11%	0.4757	-0.23%	0.0305	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.481077	-0.11%	0.4768	-1.00%	0.0086	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.494565	-0.13%	0.4816	-2.75%	0.0072	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.514	-0.16%	0.4952	-3.81%	0.0448	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.520056	-0.16%	0.5148	-1.17%	0.0005	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.523429	-0.17%	0.5209	-0.65%	0.0355	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.53341	-0.19%	0.5243	-1.89%	0.0211	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.524539	-0.16%	0.5344	+1.71%	0.0012	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.503618	-0.12%	0.5254	+4.20%	0.0435	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.5094	-0.12%	0.5042	-1.14%	0.0323	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.518658	-0.12%	0.51	-1.79%	0.0038	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.537677	-0.15%	0.5193	-3.57%	0.0684	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.50024	-0.07%	0.5385	+7.57%	0.0087	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.540658	-0.14%	0.5006	-7.54%	0.0100	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.547338	-0.14%	0.5414	-1.22%	0.0036	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.583217	-0.20%	0.5481	-6.21%	0.0609	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.60143	-0.24%	0.5844	-3.07%	0.0222	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.616143	-0.28%	0.6029	-2.43%	0.0351	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.62293	-0.32%	0.6179	-1.12%	0.0606	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.602544	-0.26%	0.6249	+3.44%	0.0524	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.617648	-0.38%	0.6041	-2.56%	0.0474	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.530428	-0.07%	0.62	+16.80%	0.1200	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.452739	+0.21%	0.5308	+17.49%	0.1656	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.452341	+0.21%	0.4518	+0.09%	0.0238	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.472669	+0.08%	0.4514	-4.43%	0.0391	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.510265	-0.03%	0.4723	-7.46%	0.0533	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.50108	+0.02%	0.5104	+1.88%	0.0050	✓	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.513838	-0.03%	0.501	-2.53%	0.0094	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.520046	-0.05%	0.514	-1.21%	0.0106	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.521336	-0.03%	0.5203	-0.23%	0.0191	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.567023	-0.15%	0.5215	-8.17%	0.0015	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.595775	-0.21%	0.5679	-4.87%	0.0167	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.619871	-0.25%	0.597	-3.93%	0.0169	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.621337	-0.23%	0.6214	-0.22%	0.0451	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.639949	-0.27%	0.6228	-2.95%	0.0467	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.638845	-0.27%	0.6417	+0.17%	0.0335	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.642003	-0.29%	0.6406	-0.51%	0.0137	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.613889	-0.23%	0.6439	+4.65%	0.0161	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.641759	-0.33%	0.6153	-4.44%	0.0015	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.570664	-0.16%	0.6439	+12.65%	0.0849	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.560788	-0.16%	0.5716	+1.76%	0.1021	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.608436	-0.22%	0.5617	-7.89%	0.0180	✓	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.627138	-0.25%	0.6098	-3.01%	0.0355	✓	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.623251	-0.23%	0.6287	+0.64%	0.0010	✓	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.628595	-0.27%	0.6247	-0.89%	0.0258	✓	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.607675	-0.22%	0.6303	+3.50%	0.0643	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.60207	-0.15%	0.609	+1.00%	0.0571	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.688283	-0.25%	0.603	-12.61%	0.1143	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.739187	-0.37%	0.69	-7.00%	0.0619	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.676885	-0.28%	0.7419	+9.30%	0.0488	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.681021	-0.28%	0.6788	-0.60%	0.0126	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.661851	-0.25%	0.6829	+2.92%	0.0174	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.614014	-0.19%	0.6635	+7.85%	0.0399	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.631295	-0.19%	0.6152	-2.74%	0.0142	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.664571	-0.23%	0.6325	-5.04%	0.0165	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.671257	-0.27%	0.6661	-1.04%	0.0359	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.621626	-0.17%	0.6731	+8.09%	0.0578	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.611726	-0.14%	0.6227	+1.65%	0.0067	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.624264	-0.15%	0.6126	-2.02%	0.0070	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.653468	-0.19%	0.6252	-4.51%	0.0068	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.674605	-0.22%	0.6547	-3.17%	0.0021	✓	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.697345	-0.25%	0.6761	-3.29%	0.0001	✓	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.704157	-0.32%	0.6991	-1.03%	0.0101	✓	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.615551	-0.17%	0.7064	+14.56%	0.0799	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.585909	-0.12%	0.6166	+5.11%	0.0830	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.680772	-0.14%	0.5866	-13.95%	0.0365	✓	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.711469	-0.14%	0.6817	-4.32%	0.0231	✓	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.703479	-0.17%	0.7125	+1.11%	0.0104	✓	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.734982	-0.14%	0.7047	-4.25%	0.0030	✓	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.713141	-0.13%	0.736	+3.07%	0.0177	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.720291	-0.17%	0.7141	-1.03%	0.0210	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.731388	-0.19%	0.7215	-1.54%	0.0153	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.743912	-0.25%	0.7328	-1.74%	0.0355	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.725864	-0.29%	0.7458	+2.45%	0.0031	✗	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.684678	-0.31%	0.728	+6.00%	0.0042	✗	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.690811	-0.32%	0.6868	-0.89%	0.0018	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.706985	-0.35%	0.693	-2.33%	0.0514	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.692532	-0.34%	0.7095	+2.10%	0.0133	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.680414	-0.32%	0.6949	+1.80%	0.0213	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.692802	-0.33%	0.6826	-1.80%	0.0250	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.734875	-0.34%	0.6951	-5.74%	0.0102	✗	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.713487	-0.31%	0.7374	+3.03%	0.0128	✗	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.744837	-0.30%	0.7157	-4.20%	0.0286	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.78208	-0.30%	0.7471	-4.76%	0.0056	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.802069	-0.29%	0.7844	-2.49%	0.0153	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.799584	-0.28%	0.8044	+0.32%	0.0051	✗	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.810809	-0.27%	0.8018	-1.38%	0.0101	✗	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.776143	-0.24%	0.813	+4.50%	0.0370	✗	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.