DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

28.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4624

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0837

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.347912	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.357542	-10.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.356991	-10.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.343413	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.357957	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.343739	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.361105	-12.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.366346	-12.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.390643	-13.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.381245	-13.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.424524	-14.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.453798	-15.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.432073	-16.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.371324	-14.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.326912	-12.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.353593	-13.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.355188	-13.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.357701	-14.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.330333	-14.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.337992	-14.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.335326	-15.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.330025	-15.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.322034	-15.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.312427	-15.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.36016	-17.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.342989	-16.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.36479	-17.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.369131	-18.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.388958	-19.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.354209	-18.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.330412	-18.28%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.2211	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.317571	-18.89%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1941	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.35289	-20.97%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.1111	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.245108	-16.97%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.4221	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.214966	-15.73%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5361	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.205343	-16.04%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5361	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.127475	-6.99%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0585	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.131343	-6.84%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0953	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.13316	-7.24%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1091	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.13872	-7.47%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0777	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.138158	-6.97%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1680	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.137485	-6.92%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2562	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.143765	-6.70%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.2055	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.151513	-7.57%	0.436745	+166.42%	1.0036	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.147692	-6.23%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8565	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.155448	-5.87%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8766	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.160806	-6.64%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8420	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.144715	-3.29%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9381	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.153546	-3.16%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8581	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.137343	-4.43%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9256	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.136858	-4.19%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9215	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.146062	-5.00%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.9043	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.146778	-6.10%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8621	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.159075	-7.46%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7728	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.156683	-7.53%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.9333	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.164848	-6.60%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8646	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.156257	-6.39%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9792	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.142985	-3.41%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0795	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.153963	-6.01%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0818	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129345	-1.33%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1177	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.114793	+1.28%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1514	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.12191	+2.55%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1345	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096555	-1.95%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4609	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.092287	-6.49%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0507	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.085714	-8.30%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9709	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.087562	-8.57%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.9063	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.092263	-10.87%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2418	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.085723	-7.80%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3171	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.08546	-7.85%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3525	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.087302	-8.08%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3764	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.090218	-8.54%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3337	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.089608	-8.22%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3440	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.086375	-7.49%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.4078	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.089565	-7.73%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4467	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.089708	-7.86%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3991	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.089266	-7.86%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4382	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.089709	-8.28%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4705	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.092313	-8.49%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.3081	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.092972	-8.56%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3333	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.08947	-7.92%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.3105	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.09163	-8.09%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2797	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.096161	-9.07%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2737	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.103703	-11.13%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2244	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.087815	-7.15%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4563	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.089798	-7.12%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4057	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.095618	-7.31%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3449	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.097936	-7.46%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2792	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.105755	-7.70%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1302	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.104731	-7.87%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2137	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.105738	-8.04%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0055	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.109279	-8.26%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1543	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.111418	-8.37%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1253	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.109908	-8.36%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2143	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.112521	-9.05%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2031	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.111685	-9.25%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1780	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.114181	-9.45%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1700	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.117157	-9.83%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1032	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.12157	-10.14%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2534	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.130058	-10.82%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3052	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.135437	-12.73%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3255	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.106329	-9.04%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0878	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.111858	-9.30%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1339	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.112406	-9.36%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1870	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.107299	-8.85%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1075	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.104472	-8.65%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0881	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.09992	-8.37%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0568	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.101336	-8.33%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0445	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.103988	-8.50%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0360	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.10273	-8.42%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0148	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.099034	-8.02%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0226	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.101129	-8.32%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0238	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.102542	-8.53%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0172	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.098416	-8.30%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1406	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.103157	-9.20%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1677	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.097377	-7.86%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0622	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.093753	-7.79%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0320	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.081955	-6.14%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2006	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078083	-5.88%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2982	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078159	-5.88%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.3005	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.07788	-5.91%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3400	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.08087	-6.14%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3496	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.081821	-6.25%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3633	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.084904	-6.49%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2949	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.091625	-7.01%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2850	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.088517	-6.95%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3107	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.087448	-7.04%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3360	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.090663	-7.41%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3684	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.092786	-7.61%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4056	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.094041	-7.80%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4626	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.092902	-7.90%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5242	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.092673	-8.04%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2664	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.093701	-8.29%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2716	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.095356	-8.61%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2595	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.090537	-8.18%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2198	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.095893	-8.73%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1523	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.100523	-9.76%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0946	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.094378	-8.95%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1577	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.084183	-8.03%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2496	✗	1.00