DCR

Decred · native · gru_s3

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

75.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0614

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0129

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.5397	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5553	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3438	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.3114	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2769	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6011	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9485	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.8825	-1.67%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0827	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.0971	-1.64%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0860	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.0576	-1.68%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1021	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.4077	-1.67%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1102	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5991	-1.73%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1269	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.1498	-1.91%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1408	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.0415	-1.94%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1236	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.7149	-2.07%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0764	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.9742	-2.08%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0716	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.1224	-2.22%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0675	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.9565	-2.17%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0477	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8801	-2.28%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0398	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.8336	-2.31%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0015	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7541	-2.29%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0079	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9806	-2.46%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0087	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6879	-2.36%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0193	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.4159	-2.25%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0408	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0823	-2.36%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0042	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8505	-2.31%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0216	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.3116	-2.19%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0491	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8215	-2.44%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0150	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7921	-2.64%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0433	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.1954	-2.85%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0215	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.502	-2.61%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0466	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8784	-2.45%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0601	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0852	-2.39%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0359	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.3302	-2.30%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0113	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.5669	-1.69%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0145	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.582	-0.66%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0741	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.8224	+0.48%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1229	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6019	-0.54%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0027	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3193	-0.07%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0170	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.1699	+0.69%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0415	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	16.0839	+1.33%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0623	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.8248	+1.72%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0648	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.8023	+1.96%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0483	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.5892	+1.33%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1487	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.3483	+3.54%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0297	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	17.1508	+3.32%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0151	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.506	+3.86%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0030	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	16.165	+3.91%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0046	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	15.0463	+5.26%	15.558	+8.84%	0.0806	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.3245	+2.70%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1292	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.6438	+1.80%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1581	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.818	+1.88%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0577	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.242	+1.24%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1243	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3924	+0.98%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0820	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2107	+0.58%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0708	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0873	+1.11%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0038	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.9458	+0.68%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0195	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.754	+0.65%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0575	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9507	+0.72%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0463	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2977	+0.33%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0155	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0164	+0.22%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0033	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1298	+0.96%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0790	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.956	+0.01%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0711	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8144	-0.96%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0373	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5155	-1.68%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0296	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8573	-1.82%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0558	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7438	-1.88%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0314	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8135	-1.86%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0438	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7548	-1.80%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1293	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9196	-1.82%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1456	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0199	-1.85%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1014	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7135	-2.09%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1010	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.5262	-2.01%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0458	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6837	-2.07%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0246	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.535	-2.05%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0092	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4931	-2.03%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0110	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2647	-1.96%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0037	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7043	-2.10%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0171	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.0763	-2.30%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.9649	-2.30%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0216	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9253	-2.31%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0204	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.7913	-2.38%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0354	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8362	-2.45%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0411	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2609	-2.54%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0508	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4526	-1.69%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1141	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.3807	-1.73%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1591	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0096	-1.55%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1903	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5004	-1.58%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1676	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4071	-1.50%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1618	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4299	-1.41%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1599	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8256	-1.40%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1451	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.29	-1.44%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0218	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4176	-1.44%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0312	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5193	-1.65%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0901	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5029	-1.71%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0775	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5002	-1.70%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0689	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3607	-1.77%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0669	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.0668	-2.02%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1052	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.2255	-2.05%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0794	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4652	-2.17%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0894	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.2421	-2.16%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9638	-1.92%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0479	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0702	-1.62%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1243	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9753	-1.65%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1401	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8258	-1.69%	13.336	+21.10%	0.2001	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7799	-1.74%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1900	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8183	-1.76%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2172	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0104	-1.83%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1530	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9346	-1.89%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1071	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0651	-1.94%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0069	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2542	-2.00%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0320	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9585	-2.00%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0199	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.724	-1.97%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0109	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5258	-1.89%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0257	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0489	-2.06%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0390	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8858	-1.98%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0340	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2545	-2.04%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0413	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9805	-1.93%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0099	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7611	-1.81%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0140	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9081	-2.22%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0721	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.9606	-1.94%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0404	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2787	-2.03%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0554	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.2099	-1.95%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0458	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.6288	-2.06%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3902	-1.95%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0392	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.2644	-1.87%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7942	-2.04%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.1268	-2.12%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.3947	-2.17%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.538	-2.14%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.005	-1.94%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8122	-1.83%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0157	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.9473	-1.85%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.6571	-1.48%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7849	-1.48%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.062	-1.70%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1723	-1.69%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.149	-1.15%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0495	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9681	-1.11%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.9178	-1.78%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.229	-1.91%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.4087	-2.29%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1086	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.1839	-2.75%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.5383	-2.89%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0767	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.