DCR

Decred · native · gru_s3

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0989

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0412

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.9368	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.0522	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.7964	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.7904	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.72	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.0261	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.3708	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.1351	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.4348	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.32	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.7815	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.9437	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.4283	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.3006	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.9671	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.2643	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.3664	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.2504	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.1363	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.0862	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.0357	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.1761	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	16.9502	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.7509	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.363	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.1698	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.7034	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.091	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	16.9818	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.308	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	16.7515	-6.79%	14.773	-17.80%	0.0897	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.0515	-7.23%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1024	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.2526	-7.14%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1193	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.4743	-7.13%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1424	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.7122	-6.76%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1398	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.8976	-5.03%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0665	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.2595	-3.34%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0114	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.8919	-4.79%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0155	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.5986	-4.49%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0113	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.5112	-3.41%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0092	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4718	-2.53%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0137	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2202	-2.17%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0428	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.1987	-1.70%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0374	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.927	-2.49%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0033	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.8947	+0.67%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0899	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.6875	+0.53%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0482	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.2287	+2.12%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0793	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.9101	+2.27%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0833	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.9209	+4.39%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1709	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.2049	+1.85%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1732	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.5681	+1.27%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1396	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.9318	+2.66%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1576	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.3577	+2.07%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1694	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.6261	+2.62%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1426	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.4973	+2.61%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1757	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.698	+5.50%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1735	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.5004	+4.69%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1445	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.3835	+5.26%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1764	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.7347	+6.38%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1581	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	15.0167	+5.37%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1297	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.7786	+5.67%	17.971	+28.50%	0.0928	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	14.0983	+8.40%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1722	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.3266	+3.11%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2585	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7867	-1.19%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2656	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.1865	-4.49%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2381	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.4777	-4.97%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1393	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.3115	-5.49%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0703	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.39	-5.38%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1544	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.3439	-5.23%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1547	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.5111	-5.18%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1246	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.6016	-5.26%	15.873	+29.62%	0.1056	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.2065	-6.00%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0458	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.0535	-5.71%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0978	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.2006	-5.80%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1505	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.0609	-5.76%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0596	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.0317	-5.65%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0953	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.8181	-5.53%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0671	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.2066	-5.94%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0218	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.483	-6.74%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1188	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.3524	-6.92%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.0894	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.3016	-7.02%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0550	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.1221	-7.48%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0579	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.1501	-7.66%	14.067	+6.91%	0.0803	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.6315	-7.16%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0818	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.0465	-5.18%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0522	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.9727	-5.25%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0140	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.6426	-4.83%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0533	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.1656	-4.45%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0255	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.0913	-4.22%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0242	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.1475	-3.85%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0598	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.5656	-3.57%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0284	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.031	-3.52%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0822	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.1744	-3.37%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1060	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.1935	-4.21%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0807	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.159	-4.41%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0374	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.1739	-4.26%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0032	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.0025	-4.62%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0133	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.6165	-5.40%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0354	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.8175	-5.07%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0416	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.0512	-5.18%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0484	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.9001	-4.90%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0129	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.6967	-4.11%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1075	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.8436	-3.64%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1626	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.7305	-3.85%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1781	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.5722	-3.99%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1668	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.5084	-4.22%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1560	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.5483	-4.21%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1571	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.7122	-4.49%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1833	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.6236	-4.68%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2244	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.7342	-4.88%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.2066	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	10.8995	-5.09%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1794	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.5966	-5.24%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1935	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.3513	-5.38%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1977	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.1447	-5.45%	13.606	+26.82%	0.2031	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.6268	-5.80%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0394	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.4618	-5.80%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0406	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	10.7989	-6.00%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0173	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.5448	-5.82%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0304	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.3436	-5.62%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0514	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.4024	-6.38%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0208	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.5369	-5.73%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0953	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.8366	-5.87%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1107	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.7647	-5.85%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1118	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.1553	-6.04%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1167	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.9208	-5.99%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1337	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.7919	-5.99%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1340	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.2901	-6.23%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.6052	-6.33%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1675	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.8617	-6.38%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1533	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	11.9934	-6.39%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1487	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.4816	-6.21%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1202	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.2848	-6.21%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0746	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.3982	-6.36%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.0898	-6.27%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.1866	-6.48%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.4251	-6.89%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.4981	-7.14%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0435	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.4352	-6.95%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0698	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.223	-7.26%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.1216	-7.83%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.3484	-7.98%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.4944	-8.49%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.2211	-8.92%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.552	-9.06%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0759	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.