DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
63.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2261
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0067
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001291 | -1.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000873001 | -8.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001371 | -1.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001811 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001996 | -1.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002761 | -1.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002376 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002294 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002358 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002499 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002578 | -0.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002841 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003127 | -0.83% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003038 | -0.51% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0858 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002925 | -0.74% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0809 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003007 | -0.92% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003039 | -0.89% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1134 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003201 | -1.00% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1837 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003276 | -0.98% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.00315 | -1.33% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002766 | -1.12% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002714 | -1.00% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0806 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.00282 | -1.08% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.0868 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002908 | -1.02% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0829 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002964 | -1.16% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002913 | -1.12% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0516 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002679 | -0.57% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2610 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002874 | -0.78% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003061 | -1.18% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1263 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.0033 | -1.72% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1620 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.00296 | -1.39% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002696 | -1.03% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1650 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002567 | -0.44% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1900 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002634 | -0.37% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.4061 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002794 | -0.72% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3304 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.00266 | +0.12% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1917 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002604 | +0.71% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.1025 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002762 | +0.31% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1575 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002893 | +0.28% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1526 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002627 | +2.11% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1462 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003271 | -0.22% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2545 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.00318 | +0.41% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1542 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.003003 | +1.56% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1570 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003515 | -0.21% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3425 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003949 | -1.60% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4600 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003979 | -1.42% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3787 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004192 | -1.76% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4711 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004293 | -1.72% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3388 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004018 | +0.36% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5402 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.004008 | +0.63% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.5194 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004414 | -0.70% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3817 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004811 | -2.03% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2779 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.00497 | -2.28% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.3097 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004949 | -1.83% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.2121 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.00515 | -2.47% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.1046 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005702 | -3.63% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1531 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005964 | -4.06% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2606 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.005001 | -0.21% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005272 | -0.60% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006363 | -4.07% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0635 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.00579 | -1.77% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1172 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005992 | -1.73% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005919 | -0.17% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006018 | +0.34% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005972 | +1.37% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2578 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005416 | +3.40% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.2219 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006421 | +1.76% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1538 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007625 | -0.58% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4824 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007218 | +1.16% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3754 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007496 | +1.33% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2387 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.00691 | +3.20% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1885 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006841 | +3.86% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1672 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.008107 | +2.37% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2441 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009441 | -0.20% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2598 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010651 | -2.56% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1662 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011068 | -3.08% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2754 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010975 | -2.68% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.2396 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011667 | -3.45% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.4075 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011945 | -3.61% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.4396 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014653 | -4.81% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.3230 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.01204 | -3.09% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.1548 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011562 | -1.67% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1533 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011924 | -1.66% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.2228 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011585 | -0.67% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1517 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.01143 | +0.41% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1810 | ✗ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011692 | +0.42% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012229 | -0.04% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013447 | -1.38% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.1369 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.015995 | -3.83% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.3339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.017984 | -4.61% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.4213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016888 | -3.49% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016352 | -2.52% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.3463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013569 | +1.11% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015857 | +0.24% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011338 | +2.59% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.1197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014447 | +2.10% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.0683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.016217 | +1.38% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.0689 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.017231 | +1.05% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0841 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.017226 | +1.15% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.1158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.023136 | -0.22% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.6053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016116 | -1.13% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0860 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.02003 | -1.62% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.6247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023916 | -1.67% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5517 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025288 | -1.67% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4548 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030035 | -1.81% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5713 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.03369 | -2.12% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6948 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009485 | +5.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016327 | +3.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015594 | +4.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016878 | +4.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025461 | -0.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024872 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026473 | -0.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033009 | -1.38% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3925 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028472 | -0.66% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.7225 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028513 | -1.17% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.7286 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032035 | -1.76% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.7214 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031099 | -1.59% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2402 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031621 | -1.19% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1610 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033027 | -1.38% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0809 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033447 | -0.75% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0445 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.00003154 | -0.38% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0137 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031677 | +0.02% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0158 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031767 | +0.28% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1128 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037642 | -0.89% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0750 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037836 | -0.69% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0914 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029633 | +1.17% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.0983 | ✓ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038835 | -0.50% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0617 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045413 | -0.34% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3351 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051118 | -0.65% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.5087 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047137 | -0.28% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4583 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037703 | +0.14% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041804 | +0.03% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0628 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045053 | +0.07% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049836 | -0.33% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2503 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.00005587 | -0.23% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.00005079 | -0.35% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000045219 | +0.49% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048393 | +0.03% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2994 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043679 | +0.92% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000046077 | +0.43% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060384 | -0.83% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.2075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060501 | -0.96% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.1112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061675 | +0.07% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1332 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000057141 | +0.21% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.2043 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057883 | +0.65% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1269 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.00006025 | +0.27% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3249 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000058116 | +0.37% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2161 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055691 | +0.02% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059523 | -0.81% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069045 | -1.32% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.2046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000062894 | -1.54% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.2002 | ✓ | 1.00 |